A Winning Day at the Races!

December 6th , 2017 Free Picks & Plays

*Free Picks will appear in this space daily, to get full card picks and plays, comments, and stakes analysis, please visit the member area.

*Updated stats as of 12/01/17 , since website was launched July of 2016 :

  • Winner in top three picks 67% of the time 2732/4106.
  • Top Choice finishing 1st or 2nd 44% of the time 1822/4106.

Aqueduct Selections

Race 2 :        Strength Variable :

#3 Minus Two 15-1                          24
#10 Summer Mischief 2-1              23
#2 Run for Boston 7-2                     23
#5 Alexander David 4-1                  21

Off-Turf :

#16 Playwright 5-2
#10 Summer Mischief 2-1
#2 Run for Boston 7-2
#5 Alexander David 4-1

Race 4 :

#7 Free Kitty 9-5                                 23
#8 Countessofpotenza 15-1              20
#6 Madeline’s Hope                            19
#1 Paula’s Pistol 6-1                           18

Race 7 :

#7 Roc Doc 5-2                                      29
#2 Danebury 4-1                                   26
#1 Cerretalto 7-2                                   25
#9 Ethan Hunt 10-1                              23

Aqueduct Late Pick 4 :

Race 5 :  1,2,6,8 Off-Turf : 4,7,9,5

Race 6 :  5,6,7,8

Race 7 :  2,7

Race 8 :  1,7,9,12

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Gulfstream Selections

Race 2 :

#5 Blue Chip Prospect 7-2                   21
#1 R Secret Life 9-5                               20
#6 Burton 9-2                                         18
#8 Cotton To 6-1                                    17

Race 6 :

#6 Mo’s Ginny 9-2                                   24
#9 Run Blondie Run 5-1                         23
#2 Sunfest 3-1                                          23
#7 Untruthful Sonnet 4-1                       21

Race 7 :

#7 Purely Boy 8-5                                      27
#4 Gotsomemojo 6-1                                24
#1 Top of the Page 5-1                             23
#10 Brickyard Kitten 8-1                          21

Race 8 :

#2 Miss Sophia’s Star 5-2                        23
#7 Cotton Queen 5-1                                20
#10 Sunny My Way 10-1                          18
#6 Ornamental Iron 12-1                         16

Gulfstream Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  4,7

Race 8 :  2,6,7,10

Race 9 :  3,4,5,9

Race 10 : 5,6,11,12

$.50 Ticket :  $64

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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