Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,547/20,774 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,551/20,774. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Spaliday 8-5                           18 1st $5.00
#6 Just the Sky 3-1                     17 3rd $3.00
#3 Gasparilla 12-1                      17
#2 Positive Carry (IRE) 5-2       16 2nd $2.60

Race 2:

#4 Autumn Evening 8-5             29 1st $6.40 Dbl $22.80
#3 Camera 7-5                              28 2nd $3.00 Ex $16.40
#1 Patricia Ann 7-2                     27
#2 Play Good Pay Good 6-1       27 3rd $3.50

Race 3:

#7 Bold Endeavor 8-5                 33 scratched
#5 Gentleman Joe 5-1                 32 1st $6.60 Dbl $27.40
#1 Alternate Reality 8-1             31 scratched Pk 3 $97.50
#4 Grandpa’s Kid 8-1                  30

Race 4:

#2 Mighty Atlas 9-5                     30 1st $3.80 Dbl $20.40
#3 Debate 3-1                                29 3rd $2.10 Pk 3 $74.00
#1 Lucency 2-1                              28 2nd $3.20
#4 Memphis 8-1                            28 4th

Race 5:

#4 Miracle Mike 3-1                    29 1st $6.30 Dbl $12.20
#8 Lord Flintshire 4-1                 29                   Pk 3 $96.50
#6 Into It 4-1                                 28 4th
#9 Victors Valiant 5-1                  27 2nd $6.20

Race 6:

#5 Cascais 9-5                               32 1st $5.70 Dbl $24.20
#2 Mr. Ripple 5-1                          31 4th            Pk 3 $56.50
#3 Drake’s Passage 7-5                30 2nd $2.70
#4 Moore’s Law 8-1                      29

Race 7:

#1 Clem Labine 5-2                      29 scratched
#4 Beach Boy Al 7-2                     28
#2 Red D G P 9-2                           27 scratched
#3 Hot Rod Rumble 5-1               26

Race 8:

#2 Atone 8-1                                 37 scratched
#4 Exact Estimate 9-2                 36 scratched
#3 Limited Liability 12-1            35 4th
#8 Siege of Boston 4-1                34 scratched

Race 9:

#5 Dancing Buck 7-2                   38 1st $8.50
#4 Nothing Better 4-1                 38
#2 Our Shot 3-1                            37
#7 Alogon 6-1                               36 3rd $5.30

Race 10:

#1 Randomized 3-5                     36
#6 Shidabhuti 8-1                        35
#2 Green Up 5-2                           35
#5 Ain’t Broke 10-1                     34

Race 11:

#7 Laurana 3-1                             17
#4 Shehanah 12-1                        15
#2 Boxed Wine 4-1                      15
#10 Lu’s Redemption 8-1           14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,6,3,2 1

Race 2:  4,3 4

Race 3:  7,5,1 *7,1 scratched using 5,4,6 5

Race 4:  2,3 2

Race 5:  4,8,6,9 4

$.50 Ticket:  $96 $298

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,3 4

Race 3:  7,5,1,4 *7,1 scratched using 5,4,6 5

Race 4:  2,3,1,4 2

Race 5:  4,8,6,9 4

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $83.37

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  2,3,1,4

Race 5:  4,8,6,9

Race 6:  5,2,3

Race 7:  1,4,2 *1,2 scratched using 4,3

Race 8:  2,4,3 *2,4 scratched using 3,1,6

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  4,8,6,9

Race 6:  5,2,3,4

Race 7:  1,4 *1 scratched using 4,3

Race 8:  2,4,3,8 *2,4,8 scratched using 3,1,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 6:  5,2,3

Race 7:  1,4,2 *1,2 scratched using 4,3

Race 8:  2,4,3,8 *2,4,8 scratched using 3,1,6

Race 9:  5,4

Race 10: 1

Race 11:  7,4,2

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  1,4,2 *1,2 scratched using 4,3

Race 8:  2,4,3,8 *2,4,8 scratched using 3,1,6

Race 9:  5,4

Race 10: 1,6,2

Race 11:  7,4,2

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  2,4,3,8 *2,4,8 scratched using 3,1,6

Race 9:  5,4,2

Race 10: 1,6,2

Race 11:  7,4,2,10

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Churchill Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 House United 5-1                  18
#2 Pure Force 5-2                        17 1st $5.66
#7 Culprit 7-2                               16 3rd $4.54
#1 Evan On Earth 3-1                 15

Race 2:

#6 Scylla 6-5                                 32 1st $2.98
#8 Coppa Girl 4-1                        30
#10 Secret Statement 10-1        29 2nd $7.40
#4 Steel Racer 8-1                       28

Race 3:

#11 Mindframe 2-1                     33 1st $2.92
#9 Invigorated 9-2                      31
#1 Cartucho 4-1                           30
#3 Elephants Ear 8-1                  29

Race 4:

#11 Oscar Eclipse 8-1                 34
#7 Kupuna 6-1                             33 2nd $6.90
#6 Best Actor 5-2                         32
#8 Strava 8-1                                31

Race 5:

#8 Mischief Magic (IRE) 4-1     37 3rd $4.04
#4 Motorious (GB) 7-2               36
#3 Coppola 10-1                          35 4th
#6 Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) 12-1  35 2nd $24.50

Race 6:

#7 Alva Star 5-2                          38 2nd $3.66
#10 Vahva 3-1                              37 1st $5.44 Ex $26.40
#1 Three Witches 8-1                 36
#2 Olivia Darling 10-1                35

Race 7:

#6 Delahaye 8-1                         33 3rd $4.04
#3 Chili Flag (FR) 4-1                32 1st $10.06
#8 Heavenly Sunday 6-1           32 scratched
#2 Walkathon 10-1                     31

Race 8:

#8 Top Conor 5-2                       35
#2 Beeline 10-1                          34
#11 Vlahos 8-1                           33 3rd $5.50
#12 Nash 3-1                               33 2nd $4.46

Race 9:

#5 Legend of Time (GB) 7-2      33
#3 Lagynos 15-1                          32 3rd $19.60
#11 Cugino 10-1                          32 4th
#6 Neat 6-1                                   31

Race 10:

#3 Bo Cruz 10-1                          38
#11 Hoist the Gold 7-2              37
#6 Zozos 3-1                                36
#4 Mr. Wireless 6-1                    35

Race 11:

#11 Naval Power (GB) 7-2        39
#6 I’m Very Busy 4-1                 38
#5 Program Trading 9-2           37
#1 Integration 5-1                      37

Race 12:

#2 Sierra Leone 3-1                   38
#19 Resilience 20-1                   37
#4 Catching Freedom 8-1         36
#17 Fierceness 5-2                     36

Race 13:

#2 Discreet Mischief 5-2          34
#7 Jefferson Street 7-2              33
#13 Pirate 12-1                           32
#9 General Partner 2-1             32

Race 14:

#11 Fracture 12-1                      18
#12 Timeout 6-1                        18
#8 D’oro Unbridled 10-1           17
#6 Banned for Life 5-1               17

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,2,7,1

Race 2:  6,8

Race 3:  11,9,1,3

Race 4:  11,7,6,8

Race 5:  8,4

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,8,10,4

Race 3:  11,9,1,3

Race 4:  11,7,6,8

Race 5:  8,4,3

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  11,9,1,3

Race 4:  11,7,6

Race 5:  8,4

Race 6:  7,10

Race 7:  6,3,8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  11,7,6,8

Race 5:  8,4,3,6

Race 6:  7,10

Race 7:  6,3,8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

All Dirt Pick 5:

Race 4:  11,7,6,8

Race 6:  7,10

Race 8:  8,2,11,12

Race 10: 3,11,6 *3 scratched using 11,6,4

Race 12:  2,19,4,17

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  8,4,3,6

Race 6:  7,10

Race 7:  6,3,8 *8 scratched using 6,3,2

Race 8:  8,2,11

Race 9:  5,3,11,6

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  7,10

Race 7:  6,3,8,2

Race 8:  8,2,11,12

Race 9:  5,3,11,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 7:  6,3,8,2

Race 8:  8,2,11,12

Race 9:  5,3,11,6

Race 10: 3,11,6 *3 scratched using 11,6,4

Race 11:  11,6,5

Race 12:  2

$.20 Ticket:  $115.20

Pick 5 (8-12):

Race 8:  8,2,11,12

Race 9:  5,3,11,6

Race 10: 3,11,6 *3 scratched using 11,6,4

Race 11:  11,6,5,1

Race 12:  2,19

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Pick 4 (9-12):

Race 9:  5,3,11,6

Race 10: 3,11,6,4

Race 11:  11,6,5,1

Race 12:  2,19

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Late Pick 5:

Race 10:  3,11,6,4

Race 11:  11,6,5,1

Race 12:  2,19,4,17

Race 13:  2,7

Race 14:  11,12,8,6

$.50 Ticket:  $256

Late Pick 4:

Race 11:  11,6,5,1

Race 12:  2,19,4,17

Race 13:  2,7,13

Race 14:  11,12,8

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.