A Winning Day at the Races!

Monthly Archives: November 2020

November 27th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8710/13149, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5745/13149. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

Happy Thanksgiving!!

*All content will be posted here on the Free Page through the Holiday Weekend…

 

 

 

 

Aqueduct Selections

*Races 2 & 10 are off the turf, picks will be updated after scratches & changes…

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#5 Reunion Tour 7-2                      16 3rd
#3 Our Man Mike 4-5                     15 scratched
#6 A Longlongtimeago 9-2           14 scratched
#4 Full Moon Fever 12-1               13 scratched

Race 2 :

#11 Miss Dracarys 6-1 AE              18
#12 O’Gotten Girl 5-2 AE               17
#9 Palm Court 8-1                            16
#1 Stuck On Kitten 7-2                    15
#7 Except Temptation 30-1            15
#2 Singe 4-1                                       14

Dirt Selections

#16 Shop Girl 5-2 1st $5.60
#2 Singe 4-1 scratched
#9 Palm Court 8-1
#14 Mun Luv 4-1 2nd $3.10

Race 3 :

#4 Viradia 9-2                                    29 3rd $2.70
#1 Movie Score 4-1                           28 scratched
#1a Stay Fond 4-1                             28
#9 Nana’s Shoes 5-1                         27 scratched

Race 4 :

#8 Impazible Donna 4-1                   30 2nd $3.60
#7 Ellarella 8-1                                   29
#3 Honey Money 6-1                         28 3rd $3.30
#4 Spin a Yarn 8-5                              27 1st $3.70

Race 5 :

#6 Price Talk 9-2                                 34 3rd $3.70
#11 Bodecream 5-1                             34 2nd $9.40
#4 Basquiat 4-1                                    33
#2 Ajourneytofreedom 6-1                32 4th

Race 6 :

#9 Sirenic 5-2                                        29 2nd $3.80
#3 Suz 8-1                                              29 1st $49.60 Ex $227
#1 Miss Liana 12-1                               28 4th
#5 Fair Lassie 9-2                                  28 3rd $6.00 Spr $11,269

Race 7 :

#4 Pete’s Play Call 7-5                         33 1st $5.00
#5 Cucina 10-1                                      32
#1 Clench 8-5                                        31 3rd $2.10
#6 Secret Rules 8-1                              30 2nd $5.40

Race 8 :

#3 Ice Princess 12-1                             32 2nd $6.60
#5 Thankful 4-1                                    32 3rd $4.10
#1 Miss Marissa 3-1                              31
#4 My Sweet Wife 15-1                        30

Race 9 :

#4 Feel Glorious (GB) 9-2                    36 1st $9.80
#9 Myhartblongstodady 4-1                35 3rd $3.20
#12 Tapit Today 2-1                              34 2nd $3.10 Tri $103
#2 Simplicity (FR) 15-1                        33

Race 10 :

#10 Trade Deadline 2-1                         15
#9 Moonshine Now 4-1                         14
#3 Accessible 9-2                                    14
#7 Prince of Caps 8-1                             13

Dirt Selections

#15 Southerner 5-1
#1 This Ill Defend 8-1
#3 Accessible 9-2
#4 Bourbon Rising 12-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  5,3,6 x

Race 2 :  11,12,9,1 Dirt : 16,2,9,14 16

Race 3 :  4,1/1a x

Race 4 :  8,7,3 x

Race 5 :  6,11,4 x

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  11,12,9,1 Dirt : 16,2,9,14 16

Race 3 :  4,1/1a,9 x

Race 4 :  8,7,3,4 4

Race 5 :  6,11 x

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  6,11,4,2 x

Race 6 :  9,3,1,5 3

Race 7 :  4 4

Race 8 :  3,5,1 x

Race 9 :  4,9,12 4

Race 10 : 10,9 Dirt : 15,1

$.20 Ticket :  $57.60

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  9,3,1,5 3

Race 7 :  4,5,1 4

Race 8 :  3,5,1 x

Race 9 :  4,9 4

Race 10 : 10,9,3 Dirt : 15,1,3

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  4,5,1 4

Race 8 :  3,5,1 x

Race 9 :  4,9,12 4

Race 10 : 10,9,3,7 Dirt : 15,1,3,4

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Churchill Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Mau Mau 2-1                             14 1st $5.60
#3 Niles Channel 3-1                    13 2nd $3.60 Ex $15.60
#1 Lemon and Diem 7-2               12 3rd $3.20 Tri $55.40
#4 Shananies Paynter 12-1          11

Race 2 :

#6 Unspoken Memories 8-1          12
#3 Bold Delivery 10-1                     11 2nd $2.80
#11 Payster 9-2                                10 3rd
#8 Goodtime Artie 7-2                     9 2nd $3.20

Race 3 :

#2 Silver State 6-5                           33 1st $3.60
#3 Straight Shot 5-2                        32 3rd $2.20
#1 Shashashakemeup 12-1             31 2nd $4.00 Tri $20.80
#4 Dennis’ Moment 7-5                   30

Race 4 :

#3 Barakat 7-2                                   19
#5 Dr. Roger 4-1                                18 4th
#2 He’smyhoneybadger 7-2            18 2nd $6.60
#6 Manitowish 6-1                            17

Race 5 :

#2 Honorable Memory 6-1              30
#6 Jilted Bride 3-1                             30 2nd $3.40
#5 Never Forget 5-2                          29 3rd $2.80
#3 She Can’t Sing 2-1                       29 1st $4.40

Race 6 :

#5 Shes Got It 8-1                              17 2nd $11.40
#1 Ship It 5-2                                      16
#10 Andrea’s Angel 15-1                  15
#2 Blossom Road 6-1                         15 1st $11.20

Race 7 :

#8 Stripping 9-2                                 30 3rd $4.20
#9 Tonal Vision 4-1                           29 4th
#2 Funnybet 7-2                                 28 1st $10.00
#5 Hat Tip 15-1                                   27

Race 8 :

#6 Tempers Rising 5-2                      31
#2 Villanelle 7-2                                 29
#8 Matt’s Honey 15-1                        28
#7 Longpants Required 10-1            28

Race 9 :

#4 Hog Creek Hustle 3-1                 36
#8 Looking At Bikinis 2-1                35
#6 Casino Star 8-1                             34
#3 Empty Tomb 6-1                           32

Race 10 :

#5 Aurelius Maximus 8-1                 40
#14 Silver Prospector 15-1               39
#3 Code of Honor 3-1                        39
#10 Bourbon Calling 30-1                 38

Race 11 :

#1 My Mane Girl 3-1                          18
#7 Silverbella 9-5                                17
#3 Atlanta 20-1                                    16
#4 Speighty Shirl 3-1                          16

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,3,1 2

Race 2 :  6,3,11,8 x

Race 3 :  2,3 2

Race 4 :  3,5,2 x

Race 5 :  2,6,5 x

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  6,3,11,8 x

Race 3 :  2,3,1 2

Race 4 :  3,5,2 x

Race 5 :  2,6,5,3 3

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 5 (4-8) :

Race 4 :  3,5,2,6 x

Race 5 :  2,6,5 x

Race 6 :  5,1,10,2 2

Race 7 :  8,9,2 2

Race 8 :  6

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 4 (5-8) :

Race 5 :  2,6,5,3 3

Race 6 :  5,1,10,2 2

Race 7 :  8,9,2,5 2

Race 8 :  6,2

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 (6-11) :

Race 6 :  5,1,10,2 2

Race 7 :  8,9,2 2

Race 8 :  6,2

Race 9 :  4,8

Race 10 : 5,14,3

Race 11 :  1,7,3,4

$.20 Ticket :  $115.20

Late Pick 5 :

Race 7 :  8,9,2 2

Race 8 :  6,2

Race 9 :  4,8,6

Race 10 : 5,14,3

Race 11 :  1,7 *7 scratched using 1,3,4

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  6,2

Race 9 :  4,8,6,3

Race 10 : 5,14,3,10

Race 11 :  1,7,3,4

$.50 Ticket :  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

November 26th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8700/13130, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5740/13130. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

Happy Thanksgiving!!

*All content will be posted here on the Free Page through the Holiday Weekend…

 

 

*Thanksgiving Day Full Card Churchill Downs & Del Mar Picks/Plays Below…

Churchill Downs Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#7 Folly 6-1                                    28 3rd $10.40
#1a Wish You Were Mine 4-1     28
#6 Seeds of Time 5-2                    27
#5 Shackleford County 3-1          26

Race 2 :

#3 Laddie Boy 3-1                          29 2nd $2.40
#7 Royal Commission 3-1            28 3rd $2.10
#5 Reason to Soar 1-1                   28 1st $3.40 Tri $11.40
#1 Ransack 10-1                             27 scratched

Race 3 :

#6 Ann in the Middle 5-2              27 scratched
#4 Bold Article 3-1                         27 1st $7.60
#8 Kentucky Pride 10-1                 26 3rd $2.60
#7 Artie’s Rose 2-1                          26 2nd $3.40 Tri $80.40

Race 4 :

#6 Hardly a Secret 8-1                   30 4th
#2 Lone Rock 1-1                            29 1st $4.60
#4 Intrepid Heart 5-1                     28 2nd $3.40
#1 Charlie’sarchangel 4-1              27

Race 5 :

#10 Bertrada 12-1                            17 3rd $3.20
#4 How Lucky 4-1                            16 scratched
#5 Hot as Blue Blazes 3-1               15 2nd $4.60
#6 Targeted Return 5-1                   15 1st $10.40 Tri $152.80

Race 6 :

#2 Handy 4-1                                    30 4th
#9 Perfect Sense 10-1                      30
#7 Substantial 5-2                            29
#5 Fra Mauro 7-2                              28

Race 7 :

#5 Hindsight 5-2                               18 1st $6.80
#2 Anoush 7-2                                   18
#6 Bow Bow Girl 10-1                       17 4th
#1 Tayet 6-1                                        16

Race 8 :

#10 Lake Avenue 3-1                         33
#1 Zanadu 8-1                                     31
#5 Casual 9-2                                      30 3rd $3.80
#4 Secondary Market 7-2                  30 2nd $4.60

Race 9 :

#11 Tough Love 7-2                           34 4th
#1 Strike Power 12-1                         33 2nd $8.20
#6 Rubus 3-1                                       32 3rd $3.60
#4 Dabo 12-1                                       31

Race 10 :

#1 Envoutante 5-2                              35 1st $7.20
#3 Bonny South 8-5                            34 2nd $2.60 Ex $14.40
#4 Smooth With a Kick 5-1               32
#2 Another Broad 10-1                       31 3rd $5.60

Race 11 :

#1 Gallant Plunger 8-1                       32
#12 Senor Jobim 4-1                           31
#10 Girolamo’s Attack 7-2                 30
#7 Coltonator 4-1                                30

Churchill Downs Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  7,1a,6,5 x

Race 2 :  3,7,5 5

Race 3 :  6,4 *6 scratched using 4,8 4

Race 4 :  6,2 2

Race 5 :  10,4,5 *4 scratched using 10,5,6 6

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  3,7,5 5

Race 3 :  6,4,8,7 4

Race 4 :  6,2,4 2

Race 5 :  10,4,5 *4 scratched using 10,5,6 6

$.50 Ticket :  $54 ($40.50 scratches) $48

Pick 5 (4-8) :

Race 4 :  6,2,4,1 2

Race 5 :  10,4,5 *4 scratched using 10,5,6 6

Race 6 :  2,9,7,5 x

Race 7 :  5,2 5

Race 8 :  10 x

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Pick 4 (5-8) :

Race 5 :  10,4,5,6 6

Race 6 :  2,9,7 *9 scratched using 2,7,5 x

Race 7 :  5,2,6 5

Race 8 :  10,1,5 x

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Pick 6 :

Race 6 :  2,9,7,5 x

Race 7 :  5,2 5

Race 8 :  10,1,5,4 x

Race 9 :  11,1,6 x

Race 10 : 1,3

Race 11 :  1,12,10

$.20 Ticket :  $115.20

Late Pick 5 :

Race 7 :  5,2 5

Race 8 :  10,1,5 x

Race 9 :  11,1,6 x

Race 10 : 1,3,4

Race 11 :  1,12,10

$.50 Ticket :  $81

Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  10,1,5,4 x

Race 9 :  11,1,6,4 x

Race 10 : 1,3

Race 11 :  1,12,10,7

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Del Mar Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#3 Papale 9-5                                 12 2nd $3.20
#2 Govenor’s Party 9-2                11 1st $15.60 Ex $42.80
#5 Today Matters 2-1                   10
#7 Cozy Bear 6-1                            9 3rd $2.80

Race 2 :

#7 Squared Straight 4-1                15
#9 One Fast Bro 7-2                       14 1st $8.00
#2 Mambo Cool 8-1                       14
#6 Burnin Turf 4-1                         13 3rd $4.00

Race 3 :

#7 Horse Greedy 3-1                       32
#6 Leading Score 3-1                      31 scratched
#1 Royal Trump 6-1                        30 scratched
#4 Julius 5-2                                     30 scratched

Race 4 :

#5 Dolce 6-1                                     30
#7 Over Attracted 4-1                     29
#11 Miss Addie Pray 15-1              28
#1 Beguiled 5-1                                27 1st $12.00

Race 5 :

#5 Malibu Prince 6-1                       13
#2 Most Sandisfactory 5-2             12 2nd $3.00
#8 Street Behavior 3-1                    11 1st $4.60
#3 Western Smoke 3-1                    10

Race 6 :

#3 Colonial Creed 12-1                   35
#8 Blame Debbie 3-1                       34
#10 Quick (GB) 6-1                          33
#1 California Kook 5-1                    32

Race 7 :

#3 Uncaptured Hero 5-1                  29
#10 Octopus 5-2                                28
#6 Smileforme 6-1                             27
#1 Satchel de Ritches 8-1                 27

Race 8 :

#9 Invictatatus 6-1                            30
#2 Bench Judge 3-1                           29
#4 Gregdar 10-1                                 28
#5 Armour Plate 8-1                          27

Del Mar Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  3,2,5 2

Race 2 :  7,9,2 9

Race 3 :  7,6 x

Race 4 :  5,7,11,1 1

Race 5 :  5,2,8

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  7,9,2,6 9

Race 3 :  7,6 x

Race 4 :  5,7,11,1 1

Race 5 :  5,2,8,3 8

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 3 :  7,6 x

Race 4 :  5,7,11,1 1

Race 5 :  5,2,8 8

Race 6 :  3,8,10

Race 7 :  3,10

Race 8 :  9,2

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 5 :

Race 4 :  5,7,11,1 1

Race 5 :  5,2 x

Race 6 :  3,8,10

Race 7 :  3,10

Race 8 :  9,2

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Late Pick 4 :

Race 5 :  5,2,8 8

Race 6 :  3,8,10,1

Race 7 :  3,10,6,1

Race 8 :  9,2,4

$.50 Ticket :  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

November 27th , 2020

To access this content, you must purchase One Day Pass, Monthly Pass or Two Day Pass, or log in if you are a member.

November 23rd , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8700/13130, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5740/13130. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Check back Wednesday for Thanksgiving Day Picks/Plays…

*All content will be posted here on the Free Page through the Holiday Weekend…

 

November 22nd , 2020

To access this content, you must purchase One Day Pass, Monthly Pass or Two Day Pass, or log in if you are a member.

November 21st , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8678/13100, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5728/13100. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#4 Beautiful Karen 3-1                   15 2nd $3.70
#2 Lucky Lizzie 8-1                         14
#3 Snicket 6-5                                  13 1st $4.80
#5 Munnings Muse 5-2                  12 3rd $2.60

Race 2 :

#6 Vodka Lemonade 3-1                 17
#9 He’s a Lucky Devil 6-1               15
#7 Straw Into Gold 7-2                    14 1st $11.40
#3 Ruse 6-1                                        13 2nd $5.20

Race 10 :

#7 Open Lengths 10-1                      15
#2 Bielefeld 6-1                                  14
#8 Michael’s Bad Boy 2-1                 14
#6 Bricco 5-2                                       13

Churchill Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Richies Great Girl 4-1                    30 3rd $2.60
#5 Henrys Deal 5-1                              29 scratched
#4 Rumpleminx 15-1                           29
#1 Misty Blue 4-5                                 28 1st $2.60

Race 6 :

#3 Moliere 3-1                                        17
#8 Mystic Night 4-1                               16
#1 Speightstown Again 4-1                  15 4th
#6 Pintxos 8-1                                         14

Race 10 :

#4 New Eagle 3-1                                    28
#11 Smirk 4-1                                          27
#8 Blanket of Roses 6-1                         26
#7 Martial Eagle 6-1                               25

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

November 21st , 2020 Daily Picks

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November 21st , 2020 Today’s Plays

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November 21st , 2020 Daily Comments

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November 21st , 2020 Stakes

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