A Winning Day at the Races!
Monthly Archives: September 2023
October 1st, 2023 Today’s Plays
October 1st, 2023 Daily Picks
October 1st, 2023 Daily Comments
October 1st, 2023 Stakes
October 1st, 2023 Free Picks & Plays
*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,932/19,791, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,091/19,791. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Early Pick 5 for us last Thursday…$765.75 on a $72 ticket…
*Middle Pick 4 for us last Friday…$877.25 on a $64 ticket…
*8 on top winners on last Saturday’s Parx Card…
*5 on top winners on last Sunday’s Aqueduct Card…
*6 on top winners on Thursday’s Aqueduct Card…
*No picks this week due to illness…
September 29th, 2023 Daily Picks
September 29th, 2023 Today’s Plays
September 29th, 2023 Daily Comments
September 29th, 2023 Stakes
September 28th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays
*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,917/19,770, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,078/19,770. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Early Pick 5 for us last Thursday…$765.75 on a $72 ticket…
*Middle Pick 4 for us last Friday…$877.25 on a $64 ticket…
*8 on top winners on last Saturday’s Parx Card…
*5 on top winners on last Sunday’s Aqueduct Card…
*Visit the Membership Page to Purchase a “Weekend Pass” Thursday Evening or Friday…$24.99 for Full Access to Friday, Saturday, and Sunday’s Aqueduct Picks/Plays…
*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Caitlinhergrtness 9-5 19 1st $4.20
#3 Nikitis 8-5 18 3rd $2.20
#2 Backstretch Rose 9-2 17 2nd $5.20 Tri $40.40
#1 Classy Mischief 8-1 16
Race 2:
#3 Bowl of Cherries 7-5 29 *Best Bet
#4 Timed Out 8-1 27
#1 Miss Domina 7-2 26
#8 Diva Banker 12-1 26
Race 3:
#5 Jamestown 10-1 19
#8 Rebel Red (GB) 5-1 18
#6 Conversing 3-1 18
#7 Right to Win (IRE) 9-5 17
Dirt Selections
#9 Quality Chic 4-5 1st $2.40
#6 Conserving 3-1 scratched
#4 Malibu Springs 12-1 2nd
#1 Sacred Rhyme 7-2 scratched
#2 Whenlovetakesover 20-1 3rd
Race 4:
#5 Sundaeswithsandy 3-1 32
#4 Set Sail 7-2 31 1st $6.60
#3 Register 9-2 30
#1 Abadin 7-2 30 3rd $3.60
Race 5:
#11 Moonlight 2-1 AE 19
#8 Spirit Prince 7-5 18
#3 Rocket Night 6-1 17
#2 Live to Ride (GB) 10-1 16
#1 Inherent Promise 8-1 16
Dirt Selections
#3 Rocket Night 6-1
#16 Stolen Magic 9-2 AE 3rd $2.60
#7 Marceau 12-1
#1 Inherent Promise 8-1
Race 6:
#1x Listentothemusic 6-5 29
#4 Son of a Birch 4-1 28
#3 Famous Gent 6-1 27
#1 Acoustic Ave 6-5 27
Dirt Selections
#11 Digitize 3-5 1st $2.90
#1x Listentothemusic 6-5 scratched
#10 Twelth Man 5-1 2nd $3.20
#1a Notah 6-5 scratched
#4 Son of a Birch 4-1 scratched
Race 7:
#5 Enfuega 5-1 19 1st $14.00 Dbl $24.20
#3 Granadilla 9-2 18
#7 Landed 7-2 17 3rd $3.70
#1 Dame Catherine 12-1 16
Race 8:
#10 Bourbon’s Hope 9-2 27 2nd $4.40
#8 Cousin Andrew 6-1 26
#5 Striking Speed 12-1 25
#6 Joker Boy 7-2 25
Race 9:
#9 Yarrow 3-1 31
#6 King Moonracer 8-1 29
#8 Winners Laugh 5-1 28
#5 Feathers Road 10-1 28
Dirt Selections
#13 Win for Gold 2-1 1st $5.10
#14 Zeebear 5-2
#11 Runningwscissors 5-2 AE 4th
#8 Winners Laugh 5-1
#2 Disarmed 7-2
Race 10:
#10 Variable Cost (GB) 2-1 15
#2 Elevated Causeway 9-2 14
#3 Sixwillberich 8-1 13
#6 Bolt d’Plata 5-1 12
Dirt Selections
#16 Strapped 6-5
#14 American Day 10-1 AE
#12 Assertive Attitude 10-1 AE
#3 Sixwillberich 8-1
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,3
Race 2: 3
Race 3: 5,8,6,7 Dirt: 9,6,4,1
Race 4: 5,4,3,1
Race 5: 11,8,3 Dirt: 3,16,7
$.50 Ticket: $48
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 3
Race 3: 5,8,6,7 Dirt: 9,6,4,1
Race 4: 5,4
Race 5: 11,8,3,2 Dirt: 3,16,7,1
$.50 Ticket: $16
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 5,4,3,1
Race 5: 11,8,3,2 Dirt: 3,16,7,1
Race 6: 1x/1,4,3 Dirt: 11,1x/1a,10
Race 7: 5,3,7,1
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 6:
Race 5: 11,8 Dirt: 3,16
Race 6: 1x Dirt: 11
Race 7: 5,3,7
Race 8: 10,8,5
Race 9: 9,6,8 Dirt: 13,14,11
Race 10: 10,2 Dirt: 16,14
$1.00 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 1x/1, 4,3 Dirt: 11,1x/1a,10
Race 7: 5,3,7
Race 8: 10,8,5,6
Race 9: 9,6 Dirt: 13,14
Race 10: 10,2,3 Dirt: 16,14,12
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 5,3,7,1
Race 8: 10,8,5,6
Race 9: 9,6,8,5 Dirt: 13,14,11,8
Race 10: 10,2 Dirt: 16,14
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.