A Winning Day at the Races!

Monthly Archives: November 2018

December 1st , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here on weekends through the Aqueduct Meet. For Full Card Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site two years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 68% of the time, and top choice is first or second 42% of the time. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

Aqueduct Selections

Race 2 :     Strength Variable :

#8 Lion Dance 5-2                       21
#1 Closeau 9-2                             20
#9 Kentucky Wildcat 4-1            20
#6 Felix the Fox 3-1                    19

Race 4 :

#1 Enliven 6-5                              30
#7 Molto Bella 3-1                       28
#3 Filly Joel 7-2                             27
#4 Positive Spirit 6-1                   26

 “The Demoiselle”

Enliven was no match for winner in last, but it was first stakes attempt, and she got a lofty figure that no one in this field has yet come close to. She should improve off that effort, and gets a favorable inside draw with the short run to the first turn. Will be  short-priced favorite and looks like she should be. Molto Bella out ran her odds in Churchill Stake last out, breeding suggests the further the better for this gal, top jock takes the call, in with a chance if hot pace was to develop. Filly Joel broke maiden in convincing fashion in her first route attempt, she has home field advantage , working up a storm over the Big A surface for Rudy.

Race 6 :

#8 Pacific Wind 6-1                      35
#2 Browse 15-1                              34
#1 Marley’s Freedom 1-1             34
#5 Your Love 4-1                            33

 “The Go For Wand”

Pacific Wind is two for two at today’s mile distance , the last being the Grade 2 Ruffian at Belmont. She’s very talented , but seemed to be uncomfortable tucked down inside against the rail in behind horses last out. Have to think the outside draw, and small field will be more to her liking  today. She may also benefit from what appears on paper to be a more than honest pace scenario, race could set up nicely for her. A lot to like especially the price. Browse will be overlooked at the windows , but take notice she loves the Big A and the distance, and Ortiz was aboard for her last two appearances in the winner’s circle . Expecting a big effort from her today as well. Marley’s Freedom ships in for the always dangerous Baffert/Smith duo , but last was not good, and is a cause for pause. She also has to stretch out to a mile for the first time today, taking a stand against.

Race 7 :

#8 Frisky Magician 8-1                   31
#5 Tusk 10-1                                     30
#10 Fear 8-1                                      29
#2 Toughest ‘Ombre 6-1                 28

Dirt Selections

#15 Do Share 2-1
#13 Asterisk 12-1
#14 Dr. Shane 7-2
#11 Jewel Can Disco 6-1

Race 10 :

#11 Quest for Fire 2-1                      30
#10 Smokin Platinum 4-1                28
#2 Lem Me Tel Ya 10-1                     27
#3 I Love Jaxson 15-1                        26

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  1,6,8,9

Race 3 :  1,9,10,14 Dirt :  6,10,12,16

Race 4 :  1,7

Race 5 :  2,8,11,12 Dirt :  6,11,15,16

$.50 Ticket :  $64

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

December 1st , 2018 Daily Picks

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December 1st , 2018 Today’s Plays

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December 1st , 2018 Stakes

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December 1st , 2018 Daily Comments

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November 30th , 2018 Daily Picks

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November 30th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here on weekends through the Aqueduct Meet. For Full Card Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site two years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 68% of the time, and top choice is first or second 42% of the time. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :      Strength Variable :

#6 Missle Bomb 3-1                       29
#4 Wegotoldyougotsold 4-1         28
#5 McErin 9-5                                  28
#1 Pocket Personality 7-2             27

Race 2 :

#5 Three Eighty Eight 9-5              26
#3 Giant Ending 2-1                        25
#4 Moment of Triumph 5-1           24
#1 She’sgotthebeat 9-2                   24

Race 4 :

#8 Alisio 2-1                                      21
#2 Utiki 5-1                                        20
#5 Paynterbynumbers 7-2              19
#6 Passion Flower 9-2                     18

Race 7 :

#2 Out of Trouble 4-1                       29
#4 Face It 2-1                                      29
#5 Aikenetta 4-1                                28
#6 Take Charge Tina 20-1                28

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

November 30th , 2018 Today’s Plays

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November 30th , 2018 Stakes

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November 30th , 2018 Daily Comments

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