Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,245/23,478 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,853/23,478. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*Early Pick 5/4 for us last Sunday at Saratoga…$916.25 on a $64 ticket, $190.25 on a $48 ticket…

*Pick 6 (5 of 6) for us last Sunday at Saratoga…$4,497.50 on a $72 ticket…

*Middle Pick 5 Races (3-7) for us yesterday at Saratoga…$967 on a $108 ticket…

*Middle Pick 5 Races (5-9) for us yesterday at Saratoga…$232 on a $81 ticket…

*Sunday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Chillax 7-5                            20 2nd $2.40
#5 Secured Lender 3-1             19 4th
#4 Classicist 5-2                        18 1st $6.00
#1 Sturdy 6-1                              17 3rd $2.60 Spr $41.40

Race 2:

#6 Briland 3-1                            32
#2 Aterradora (IRE) 5-2            32
#1 Competitive Market 7-2      31
#4 Pookie 6-1                              30

Dirt Selections

#6 Briland 3-1 2nd $2.80
#8 Table Flirt 8-5 1st $5.00 Ex $12.40
#1a Donor Advised 7-2 3rd
#9 Stipulate 5-1 4th

Race 3:

#7 Article 5-2                              15 3rd $2.60
#6 Adventurist 1-1                     15 1st $4.40
#4 Smallchangegeep 8-1           14
#1 Belmont Union 4-1               13 4th

Race 4:

#3 Say Yes To Dreams 4-1        19
#5 Cleopatra’s Key 12-1            19
#4 Sugar Run 12-1                      18
#8 Scarlett’s Halo 7-2                 18

Dirt Selections

#11 Marital Trust 20-1 scratched 
#7 Coastal Cabin 6-1 scratched 
#5 Cleopatra’s Key 12-1 2nd $4.00
#4 Sugar Run 12-1 3rd $2.90
#14 Yankee Doodle 8-1 4th

Race 5:

#1 Paxsational 5-2                      30 *Best Bet 1st $4.90
#8 Big Gain 12-1                          29 4th
#7 Admundson 2-1                     29 2nd $3.20
#6 Fitzpatrick 8-1                        28 3rd $6.80 Spr $774

Race 6:

#8 Schwarzenegger 5-2              20
#7 Freestate 10-1                        19
#5 Augustinian 3-1                     19
#4 Malus 8-1                                 18

Dirt Selections

#8 Schwarzenegger 5-2 scratched 
#4 Malus 8-1 1st $13.60 Dbl $28.00
#3 Brooklyn Styles 6-1 scratched
#1 Final Score 6-1 2nd $5.30 Ex $49.60

Race 7:

#10 The Paddock Pastor 5-2      30
#2 Bosun 4-1                                 29
#11 Coach Case 9-2                      28
#6 Dakota Country 10-1              28

Dirt Selections

#16 Refuah 7-2 3rd $3.40
#8 Detail Oriented 30-1
#14 Just Licorice 4-1 1st $20.20
#15 Leo’s Reward 3-1
#9 Van Vollenhoven 20-1

Race 8:

#7 Intermittent Fast 9-5             27 4th
#3 Maggie T 8-1                            26 2nd $5.60
#8 Scarborough Fair 8-1              25
#1 Violent Vixen 20-1                  25

Race 9:

#7 Ortley Avenue (IRE) 10-1      30 2nd $10.60
#2 Governor Sam 6-5                   29 1st $3.50 Ex $40.60
#3 Grayscale 6-1                           29 scratched 
#6 Insubordination (IRE) 8-1     28 4th

Dirt Selections

#3 Grayscale 6-1
#8 Soontobeking 7-5
#2 Governor Sam 6-5

Race 10:

#14 Saipan 6-1 AE                        17
#13 Lucy Playa 8-1                       16
#2 Vino Samara 8-1                     16
#1 Dividend Recap 9-2                15
#3 Wild Mischief 7-2                    15

Dirt Selections

#7 Calling an Audible 6-1 4th
#16 Lady Looie 8-1 scratched 
#10 Professor Grace 4-1 scratched
#6 Forget Tomorrow 12-1
#15 Sabby Sunset 6-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,5,4

Race 2:  6,2,1 Dirt: 6,8,1a

Race 3:  7,6

Race 4:  3,5,4,8 Dirt: 5,4,14

Race 5:  1,8,7

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,2,1 Dirt: 6,8,1a

Race 3:  7,6

Race 4:  3,5,4,8 Dirt: 5,4,14

Race 5:  1,8,7

$.50 Ticket:  $27

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  7,6

Race 4:  3,5,4,8 Dirt: 5,4,14

Race 5:  1,8,7

Race 6:  8,7,5 Dirt: 8,4,3

Race 7:  10,2,11 Dirt: 16,8,14

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  3,5,4,8 Dirt: 5,4,14

Race 5:  1,8,7,6

Race 6:  8,7,5,4 Dirt: 4,1

Race 7:  10,2 Dirt: 16,8

$.50 Ticket:  $24

Pick 6:

Race 5:  1,8,7

Race 6:  8,7,5 Dirt: 4,1

Race 7:  10 Dirt: 16

Race 8:  7

Race 9:  7,2,6 Dirt: 3,8,2

Race 10: 14,13,2,1 Dirt: 7,6,15

$1.00 Ticket:  $54

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  8,7,5 Dirt: 4,1

Race 7:  10,2,11 Dirt: 16,8,14

Race 8:  7,3,8

Race 9:  7,2,6 Dirt: 3,8,2

Race 10: 14,13,2,1 Dirt: 7,6,15

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  10,2,11 Dirt: 16,8,14

Race 8:  7,3,8

Race 9:  7,2,3,6 Dirt: 3,8,2

Race 10: 14,13,2,1 Dirt: 7,6,15

$.50 Ticket:  $40.50

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.