A Winning Day at the Races!

Archives: Free Picks & Plays

July 13th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,760/21,107 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,721/21,107. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Gerlin’s Empire 6-1              17
#2 Mischief Maxey 9-2              16
#7 Mezcalifornia 8-1                  16
#4 Dare to Breeze 4-5                15

Race 2:

#2 Mysterious Night 8-5          38 *Best Bet
#4 Talk of the Nation 2-1         36
#5 Carl Spackler (IRE) 2-1        36
#1 Call Me Harry 15-1               35

Race 3:

#1a Top Gunner 2-1                   33
#2 Poppy’s Pride 6-1                  32
#6 Milton the Monster 9-2       32
#4 Celestial Glaze 3-1                31

Race 4:

#3 Classic Legacy 5-2                32
#4 Kunshan Bridge 8-1             32
#2 Illuminare 7-5                       31
#8 J D Factor 6-1                        30

Race 5:

#3 Rebel Red (GB) 5-1              33
#1a Unit Economics 6-5           32
#8 Samburu (GB) 8-1                32
#4 Hunt Ball 8-1                         31

Race 6:

#1 Turriga 5-1                            29
#7 Stolen Future 7-2                 28
#11 Strictly Taboo 6-1              28
#9 Quick Power Nap 8-1           27

Race 7:

#1 Tough Catch 8-1                   19
#7 Munson 6-1                           18
#3 Tenacious Leader 5-2          18
#6 Sam’s Rocket 5-1                  17

Race 8:

#3 Upstanding 4-1                    20
#2 Point Clear 5-1                     19
#7 Commuted 5-1                     19
#4 Reynolds Channel 6-1        18

Race 9:

#8 Irish Aces 2-1                        35
#9 Beuys (IRE) 5-1                     34
#7 George W 8-1                        33
#3 Phileas Fogg 12-1                 32

Race 10:

#10 Chili Flag (FR) 9-2             39
#3 Mission of Joy 10-1              38
#6 Whitebeam (GB) 4-1            37
#8 Neecie Marie 12-1                37

Race 11:

#8 Mo Plex 6-1                           33
#1 Mentee 6-5                            33
#6 Studlydoright 7-2                 32
#7 War Tax 15-1                         31

Race 12:

#6 Sugar Gray Leonard 6-1       29
#9 Rithm Nic 9-2                        28
#5 Heymackit’sjack 8-1             27
#7 Three Zero 6-1                       27

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,2,7,4

Race 2:  2,4

Race 3:  1a/1,2,6,4

Race 4:  3,4,2

Race 5:  3,1a/1

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,4

Race 3:  1a/1,2,6,4

Race 4:  3,4,2,8

Race 5:  3,1a/1,8,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  3,4,2,8

Race 5:  3,1a/1

Race 6:  1,7,11,9

Race 7:  1,7,3,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  3,1a/1

Race 6:  1,7,11,9

Race 7:  1,7,3

Race 8:  3,2,7

Race 9:  8,9

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  1,7,11,9

Race 7:  1,7,3,6

Race 8:  3,2,7,4

Race 9:  8,9

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 7:  1,7,3,6

Race 8:  3,2,7

Race 9:  8

Race 10: 10,3,6

Race 11:  8,1

Race 12:  6,9

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  3,2,7,4

Race 9:  8,9,7,3

Race 10: 10,3,6

Race 11:  8,1,6

Race 12:  6,9

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  8,9,7,3

Race 10: 10,3,6,8

Race 11:  8,1,6

Race 12:  6,9,5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

July 12th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,753/21,097 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,716/21,097. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Lord I Wonder 2-1               18
#5 Martingale 9-2                     17
#2 Chanteuse 6-5                      17
#3 Reliable Lady 7-2                 16

Race 2:

#5 Stormquist 5-2                     27
#7 Dillinger 2-1                         26
#3 Paschal Moon 4-1                25
#4 Giant’s Fire 4-1                     25

Race 3:

#1a Storm Ready 6-5               19
#6 Clever Mischief 8-1            18
#5 Tom Collins 5-1                   17
#1 Steadfast Resolve 6-5         17

Dirt Selections

#11 Commander of Truth 2-1
#10 Military Road 1-1
#8 Praire Dunes 8-1
#9 Salacious 12-1

Race 4:

#4 Twenty Six Black 3-1          32
#5 Cigarette Boat 6-1               31
#3 Sesame Seed Bagel 8-1       30
#1 Inflation Nation (IRE) 6-1  30

Dirt Selections

#7 Tunisian Spring 2-1
#8 What’s Up Bro 5-2
#9 Super Chief 6-1
#3 Sesame Seed Bagel 8-1
#2 Aleah Aleah 20-1

Race 5:

#9 Saffa’s Day 5-2                    33
#1a Kant Beat the Rock 8-1    32
#4 Gangly 7-2                            32
#6 Chateau 5-1                          31

Race 6:

#9 Replevin 12-1                     18
#2 Reteko 9-2                           18
#10 Classic Time 5-2               17
#5 Storm the Streets 10-1      17

Race 7:

#7 Mauritius 4-1                     31
#5 Palace View (IRE) 9-2       30
#2 Gilded Craken 10-1           29
#4 Classic Creation 6-1          29

Dirt Selections

#14 Strapped 5-2
#15 Gun Maestro 9-2
#2 Gilded Craken 10-1
#16 Ski Country 8-1
#3 Devil’s Cay 10-1
#8 Leftembehind 6-1

Race 8:

#4 Striker Has Dial 3-1         31
#1 Miss Justify 3-1                30
#3 Courbe 6-1                        30
#6 Bells Beach 5-2                 29

Race 9:

#10 Star of Mystery  9-5       34
#4 Pipsy (IRE) 6-1                  33
#7 Kairyu (IRE) 15-1              32
#5 Twirling Queen 8-1          31

Dirt Selections

#13 Golden Degree 7-2
#12 Do Gooder 9-2
#1 Toupie 8-1
#11 Value Area 4-1
#5 Twirling Queen

Race 10:

#8 Adventurous Spirit 5-2    17
#5 Beach Blanket 15-1           16
#6 Comanche Peak (GB) 6-1 15
#7 Over and Ollie 6-1             15

Dirt Selections

#9 Remember the Chief 8-1
#13 Always Be Smart 7-2
#11 Guile 12-1
#5 Beach Blanket 15-1
#14 Mano E Mano 20-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,5,2,3

Race 2:  5,7

Race 3:  1a/1,6,5 Dirt: 11,10,8

Race 4:  4,5,3,1 Dirt: 7,8,9,3

Race 5:  9,1a/1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,7,3

Race 3:  1a/1,6,5 Dirt: 11,10,8

Race 4:  4,5,3,1 Dirt: 7,8,9,3

Race 5:  9,1a/1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4,5,3,1 Dirt: 7,8,9,3

Race 5:  9,1a/1,4,6

Race 6:  9,2,10,5

Race 7:  7,5 Dirt: 14,15

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  9,1a/1,4

Race 6:  9,2,10,5

Race 7:  7,5 Dirt: 14,15

Race 8:  4,1

Race 9:  10 Dirt: 13

Race 10: 8,5,6 Dirt: 9,13,11

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  9,2,10,5

Race 7:  7,5,2,4 Dirt: 14,15,2,16

Race 8:  4,1,3,6

Race 9:  10,4 Dirt: 13,12

Race 10: 8,5,6 Dirt: 9,13,11

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  7,5,2,4 Dirt: 14,15,2,16

Race 8:  4,1,3,6

Race 9:  10,4 Dirt: 13,12

Race 10: 8,5,6,7 Dirt: 9,13,11,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

July 11th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,745/21,086 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,713/21,086. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 I Am the Law 3-1                 33
#7 Empty Tomb 9-2                  32 1st $15.00
#6 Accidental Hero 6-1            31 4th
#9 People Force 8-1                  30

Race 2:

#1 No Show Sammy Jo 7-2      32
#1a Avenue Niel (IRE) 7-2       31
#3 Be Your Best (IRE) 3-1        30
#4 Aspen Grove (IRE) 7-5        30

Dirt Selections

#8 Amanda’s Folly 2-1 1st $3.20
#9 Toned Up 5-2 2nd
#7 Sweetest Princess 50-1 3rd

Race 3:

#4 Miss Maximus 4-1               15
#5 Dreaming of Carli 6-1         14
#3 Neigh Jude 7-2                     14
#7 Going for Glory 6-1             13 3rd $5.80

Race 4:

#2 Lady Milagro 8-1               36
#1a Lady Mia (FR) 5-1            35
#5 Sunday Shoes 10-1            34
#4 Run for the Hills 2-1         34

Dirt Selections

#7 Shootoutthelights 4-1
#9 Bustin Bay 7-2 4th
#2 Lady Milagro 8-1 2nd $10.20
#5 Sunday Shoes 10-1 scratched

Race 5:

#9 Concorde Spirit 6-1          17 scratched
#1 New York Scrappy 3-1      16
#7 Brown Eyed Cat 9-2          16 1st $7.90
#5 Crescendo’s Rein 6-1        15 scratched

Race 6:

#8 Mean Eileen 8-1               16 scratched
#1 Strong State 5-2               16 1st $4.10
#10 Honestly 15-1                 15
#6 My Vanilla 20-1                14

Race 7:

#9 Latest Edition 10-1         29
#7 Marco T 3-1                      29
#3 Solib 4-1                            28
#4 Mz Big Bucks 5-1             28

Dirt Selections

#11 Speightful Lily 8-5
#13 Mosienko 2-1 scratched
#10 Sunday Girl 6-1 1st $9.80
#4 Mz Big Bucks 5-1
#12 Bank On Anna 12-1 3rd $6.70

Race 8:

#4 Lakeside Getaway 5-1    30
#9 Elle Est Forte 7-2             29
#7 Spring Magic 4-1             28
#3 More Than Glory 8-1      28

Dirt Selections

#11 Just Music 2-1 3rd $2.40
#12 Miss Fashionista 5-2
#14 Shigeko 8-1 scratched
#13 Crushed Ice 6-1 1st $8.80

Race 9:

#3 Film Star 5-1                   37 3rd $5.30
#6 Rocket Can 9-2               36
#5 Warrior Johny 10-1        35 1st $21.00
#4 Artorius 8-1                     35

Race 10:

#5 Complexion 7-2               33
#10 Viggiedal 9-2                 32
#6 Carmen’s Candy Jar 6-1 31 4th
#3 Sherbini 9-2                     31 2nd $7.80

Race 11:

#5 Sugar Hook 8-1                17
#9 Kick a Buck 9-5                17
#4 Bourbon Outlaw 12-1     16
#6 El Alacran 15-1                15

Dirt Selections

#11 Bolt d’Plata 15-1
#15 Houlton 5-2
#16 Always Be Smart 9-2
#4 Bourbon Outlaw 12-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,7,6,9

Race 2:  1/1a,3,4 Dirt: 8,9,7

Race 3:  4,5,3

Race 4:  2,1a/1,5,4 Dirt: 7,9,2,5

Race 5:  9,1 *9 scratched using 1,7

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1/1a,3,4 Dirt: 8,9,7

Race 3:  4,5,3,7

Race 4:  2,1a/1,5,4 Dirt: 7,9,2,5

Race 5:  9,1,7 *9 scratched using 1,7,10

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  2,1a/1,5,4 Dirt: 7,9,2,5

Race 5:  9,1,7 *9 scratched using 1,7,10

Race 6:  8,1,10,6 *8 scratched using 1,10,6,2

Race 7:  9,7,3 Dirt: 11,13,10 *13 scratched using 11,10,4

Race 8:  4,9,7 Dirt: 11,12,14 *14 scratched using 11,12,13

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  9,1,7,5 *9 scratched using 1,7,10,4

Race 6:  8,1,10,6 *8 scratched using 1,10,6,2

Race 7:  9,7,3,4 Dirt: 11,13,10,4 *13 scratched using 11,10,4,12

Race 8:  4,9,7 Dirt: 11,12,14 *14 scratched using 11,12,13

$.50 Ticket:  $96 $186.75

Pick 6:

Race 6:  8,1,10,6 *8 scratched using 1,10,6,2

Race 7:  9,7,3,4 Dirt: 11,13,10,4 *13 scratched using 11,10,4,12

Race 8:  4,9 Dirt: 11,12

Race 9:  3,6

Race 10: 5

Race 11:  5,9 Dirt: 11,15 *15 scratched using 11,16

$1.00 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  9,7,3,4 Dirt: 11,13,10,4 *13 scratched using 11,10,4,12

Race 8:  4,9,7,3 Dirt: 11,12,14,13 *14 scratched using 11,12,13,6

Race 9:  3,6

Race 10: 5,10,6

Race 11:  5,9 Dirt: 11,15 *15 scratched using 11,16

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  4,9,7,3 Dirt: 11,12,14,13 *14 scratched using 11,12,13,6

Race 9:  3,6,5,4

Race 10: 5,10,6

Race 11:  5,9,4,6 Dirt: 11,15,16,4 *15,4 scratched using 11,16,3,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

July 7th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65 % of the time 13,738/21,077 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,707/21,077. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Tempermental 8-5               28
#5 Halo City 4-1                         28
#3 Awesome Annmarie 7-2      27
#1 Willful Desire 6-1                 26

Race 2:

#5 City Man 8-5                         38
#1 Spirit of St Louis 1-1           37
#3 Itsallcomintogetha 12-1     35
#2 Jerry the Nipper 5-1             35

Race 3:

#6 Typhoon Fury 4-5               17
#7 Arteta 8-1                             15
#2 Crash the Gate 8-1              14
#8 Betta Go Go Go 7-2             14

Race 4:

#1 Empire Magic 3-5               18
#5 Happy’s Smile 6-1              16
#6 Santagata 9-2                      15
#7 Gregorian Solo 6-1             15

Race 5:

#4 Whatlovelookslike 2-1       36
#5 Silver Skillet 6-5                  35
#1 Marvelous Maude 5-2         34
#2 Snowy Evening 6-1              33

Race 6:

#6 Shoot the Waves 9-2         17
#8 Richard Ave 4-1                  16
#2 McDiesel 7-2                       16
#9 Caddiemaster 6-1               15

Race 7:

#1 Scoring Chance 5-2           27
#7 Foxy Cara 3-1                     26
#2 Carol T 6-1                          26
#8 Capital Gal 5-1                   25

Race 8:

#8 Eternal Silence 8-5          33
#2 Mrs. Astor 9-2                   32
#4 Hola Gata 7-2                    31
#6 Collaboration 9-2             31

Race 9:

#2 Alette d’Oro 5-2                16
#3 Superstarsusan 8-1           15
#1 Quite Continental 7-2      14
#7 Starlight Dancer 5-1         14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,5,3 *2,5 scratched using 3,1,4

Race 2:  5,1

Race 3:  6

Race 4:  1

Race 5:  4,5 *4 scratched using 5,1

$.50 Ticket:  $6

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,1

Race 3:  6,7,2,8

Race 4:  1,5,6

Race 5:  4,5 *4 scratched using 5,1

$.50 Ticket:  $24

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  6,7,2,8

Race 4:  1,5,6,7

Race 5:  4,5 *4 scratched using 5,1

Race 6:  6,8,2,9

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  1

Race 5:  4,5,1 *4 scratched using 5,1,2

Race 6:  6,8,2

Race 7:  1,7

Race 8:  8,2,4

Race 9:  2,3,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  4,5 *4 scratched using 5,1

Race 6:  6,8,2,9

Race 7:  1,7,2,8

Race 8:  8,2,4

Race 9:  2,3,1

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  6,8,2,9

Race 7:  1,7,2,8

Race 8:  8,2,4

Race 9:  2,3,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

July 6th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,725/21,056 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,696/21,056. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Monmouth Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Showcase 8-5                       19 1st $3.40
#6 Western Wolf 10-1              18 scratched
#3 Protected 4-1                       17 2nd $6.20 Ex $17.60
#1 Tiz Freedom 5-2                  17 3rd $3.00 Tri $35.20

Race 2:

#3 Domestic Product 6-5        31 1st $3.40
#1 Billal 8-5                               30 3rd
#4 Save the Trees 4-1              29 4th

Race 3:

#5 Run Curtis Run 7-5            32 4th
#2 Script 5-2                             31 2nd $6.10
#1 Senbei 3-1                            30 1st $6.70
#6 Fore Harp 8-1                      29 3rd $4.70 Spr $290

Race 4:

#1 Play Good Pay Good 7-5   27 2nd $3.20
#5 Low Society 2-1                  27 1st $4.50
#6 Five to Two 5-1                   26 3rd $2.50 Tri $22.40
#3 Grammy Girl 9-2                 25

Race 5:

#4 Gentleman Joe 2-1             31 2nd $2.20
#5 Kneedeepinsnow 5-2         31 scratched
#1 Digital 5-1                            30 scratched
#2 Six Percent 6-1                    29 3rd $2.50

Race 6:

#1 Legend of Time (GB) 5-2 33 3rd $2.20
#4 Trikari 7-2                           32 1st $12.40
#2 White Palomino 5-1          31 2nd $4.20 Tri $122
#3 Royal Majesty (GB) 6-1     31 4th Spr $274.40

Race 7:

#6 Refuah 8-1                          28 2nd $8.20
#4 Vespucci 1-1                       27
#1 Big Night Out 8-1              27
#7 Andy Cant 4-1                    26

Race 8:

#1 Everso Mischievous 5-2   35
#3 Prevalence 5-2                   34 4th
#4 Coastal Mission 7-2          33 2nd $3.80
#2 Ninetyprcentmaddie 6-1 33 3rd $3.40

Race 9:

#9 Sy B 15-1                            33
#2 Dynamic Pricing 5-1        33
#7 She Feels Pretty 2-1         32 3rd $2.30
#1 Pin Up Betty 10-1             31 4th

Race 10:

#6 Victors Valiant 6-1           31 2nd
#2 Torigo 5-2                          30
#4 Alexis Zorba (GB) 2-1      30 3rd
#1 Dissolved 10-1                  29

Race 11:

#1a Research Results 1-1     19
#6 Side Eye 4-1                       18
#8 Prospero (IRE) 8-1           18
#1 Creditworthy 1-1              17

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,6,3,1

Race 2:  3,1

Race 3:  5,2

Race 4:  1,5

Race 5:  4,5,1 *5,1 scratched using 4,2,6

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,1

Race 3:  5,2,1

Race 4:  1,5,6,3

Race 5:  4,5,1 *5,1 scratched using 4,2,6

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  1,5

Race 5:  4,5,1,2 *5,1 scratched using 4,2,6

Race 6:  1,4

Race 7:  6,4,1,7

Race 8:  1,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  4,5 *5 scratched using 4,2

Race 6:  1,4,2,3

Race 7:  6,4,1,7

Race 8:  1,3,4,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 6:  1,4

Race 7:  6,4

Race 8:  1,3,4

Race 9:  9,2,7

Race 10: 6,2,4 *2 scratched using 6,4,1

Race 11:  1a/1

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  6,4,1,7

Race 8:  1,3

Race 9:  9,2,7,1

Race 10: 6,2,4 *2 scratched using 6,4,1

Race 11:  1a/1,6,8

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  1,3,4

Race 9:  9,2,7,1

Race 10: 6,2,4,1

Race 11:  1a/1,8,6

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Monmouth Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Air Masque 5-2                    15 2nd $3.20
#8 Vivid Artiste 5-1                 14
#3 One Fine Wine 7-2              13 3rd $3.20
#7 Let Her Run 9-2                   12 1st $13.80

Race 2:

#4 Festinate 3-1                       26 1st $3.40
#5 Grated Coconut 2-1            26 scratched
#3 Run Cory Run 9-5               25 2nd $2.80
#2 El de Leo 6-1                        24 3rd $2.60

Race 3:

#1 The Drunk Neighbor 7-2    16
#2 Attrayant 5-2                        16 2nd $2.80
#8 New Spell 3-1                       15 1st $5.80
#3 Editor’s Choice 4-1              14

Race 4:

#8 Groovy Sensation 8-1        14 3rd $9.40
#1 Allison Park 7-2                  13
#7 Lady Marleen 3-1                12
#5 J Willard 6-1                         11 4th

Race 5:

#9 Fast Fixer 3-1                      27 2nd $3.60
#8 Eddie the Great 9-2           26 1st $6.40 Ex $20
#1 Fly Fly Away 6-1                 25 scratched 
#4 Wood Be Wild 5-1              25 scratched

Race 6:

#3 Flag Song Flyin 3-1           14 3rd $2.80
#7 S K Moon 6-1                      13 4th
#2 Yumyum Eat Em Up 5-2   12
#6 Classy Chick 4-1                 11 1st $4.80

Race 7:

#4 Bazzarina 8-1                     27 *Best Bet
#3 Shogun Be Fast 9-2           25 1st $8.60
#8 Oy Vey 2-1                          24 3rd $2.40
#7 Dreaming of Abba 7-2      23 4th

Race 8:

#4 I’m On Fire 7-2                  29
#7 Pogi 6-1                               28 3rd $2.10
#5 Grouch 8-1                          27 1st $11.00
#3 Jasper’s Pride 5-1               26 3rd $2.20

Race 9:

#11 The Classy One 6-1         27
#2 Bingo’s Birkin 12-1            26
#3 Sea Maiden 15-1                 26
#9 Joy and Prosperity 10-1     25

Race 10:

#1 She Can Scat 8-5                28
#7 Bornforgreatness 7-2        26
#6 General Robinson 8-1       25
#3 Buckin’ Lucky 5-2              25

Monmouth Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,8,3,7

Race 2:  4,5,3 *5 scratched 4,3,2

Race 3:  1,2

Race 4:  8,1,7

Race 5:  9,8

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,5 *5 scratched 4,3

Race 3:  1,2,8,3

Race 4:  8,1,7,5

Race 5:  9,8,1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  9,8,1,4

Race 6:  3,7,2

Race 7:  4,3,8

Race 8:  4,7,5

Race 9:  11,2,3,9

Race 10: 1,7

$.20 Ticket:  $172.80

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  3,7,2,6

Race 7:  4,3

Race 8:  4,7,5

Race 9:  11,2,3,9

Race 10: 1,7

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  4,3,8,7

Race 8:  4,7,5,3

Race 9:  11,2,3,9

Race 10: 1,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

July 5th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65%  of the time 13,720/21,047 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,692/21,047. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Late Pick 5 for us yesterday at Aqueduct$521.25

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 My First Love 2-1                    27 scratched
#5 Trade Secret 9-5                      26 2nd $2.70
#3 Slack Tide 4-1                          26 4th
#2 Gringotts 12-1                         25

Race 2:

#8 Welcome Back Babe 3-1        15 3rd $2.20
#1 Noble Disguise 5-1                 14
#7 Dancing Liana 5-1                  13 2nd $8.00
#4 Teresa 8-1                                 12

Race 3:

#5 Kuramata (IRE) 7-5                31 2nd $2.60
#6 High Tide 4-1                          30 4th
#3 So High (GB) 7-2                     30 3rd $2.60
#1 Paros 8-1                                  29 1st $8.90 Spr $201

Race 4:

#2 What’s Up Bro 5-2                 32
#7 Chileno 2-1                             31 scratched
#5 Light Man 5-1                         30 1st $8.80
#1 Kingdom 10-1                         29 2nd $13.20

Race 5:

#8 Malibu Margarita 9-2           15
#1 A Lister 5-1                             14 1st $11.40
#4 Within View 10-1                  13 2nd $9.40
#10 Perno 12-1                            13

Race 6:

#8 Cara’s Dreamweaver 8-1     18 2nd $9.70
#2 Miss C Banker 7-2                 18
#1 Rad Llama 5-1                        17 4th
#6 Slightly Busy 5-2                   16

Race 7:

#5 Perform 3-1                           33 3rd $3.40
#4 Power Seeker 4-1                  32 2nd $5.90
#7 Donegal Forever 7-2             31 1st $9.30 Tri $133
#2 Mistical Curlin 4-1                31 4th Spr $431.40

Race 8:

#3 Crupi 7-2                                39 2nd $3.40
#6 Next 4-5                                  38 1st $2.90 Ex $12.00
#4 Masqueparade 12-1              37 4th
#5 Drake’s Passage 4-1              36 3rd $2.20

Race 9:

#6 Summer Whirl 3-1               18 2nd $3.70
#5 Island Fox 8-1                       17 1st $31.20 Ex $110
#7 Sainte Chapelle 6-1             16
#1 Autumn 9-2                           15 3rd $3.80

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,5 *4 scratched using 5,3

Race 2:  8,1,7,4

Race 3:  5,6,3,1

Race 4:  2,7

Race 5:  8,1,4,10

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  8,1,7,4

Race 3:  5,6,3

Race 4:  2,7,5

Race 5:  8,1,4,10

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  5,6,3

Race 4:  2,7,5

Race 5:  8,1,4,10

Race 6:  8,2,1,6

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 4:  2,7

Race 5:  8,1,4,10

Race 6:  8,2,1,6

Race 7:  5

Race 8:  3,6

Race 9:  6,5

$1.00 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  8,1,4,10

Race 6:  8,2,1,6

Race 7:  5,4

Race 8:  3,6

Race 9:  6,5,7,1

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  8,2,1,6

Race 7:  5,4,7,2

Race 8:  3,6

Race 9:  6,5,7,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

July 4th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,709/21,030 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,683/21,030. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Happy Fourth of July!!…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Monmouth Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Italian Soiree 7-2                19 1st $7.50
#6 Yellow 2-1                            18 2nd $2.60 Ex $17.60
#1 As Catch Can 3-1                17 4th
#2 Home Wrecker 8-1              16 3rd $2.50 Spr $63.40

Race 2:

#6 Sedona 1-1                           31 *Best Bet 2nd $2.30
#3 Miz Sense 5-2                      29 4th
#1 Toned Up 10-1                     28
#2 Sweet Mystery 5-1              27 3rd $3.00

Race 3:

#5 Midnight Mile (IRE) 2-1    33 2nd $2.90
#4 Lady Beth 5-2                      32 3rd $2.10
#2 Moonage Daydream 10-1  31 4th
#1 Mouffy 7-5                            30 1st $4.00

Race 4:

#4 Silvology 8-5                        19
#5 Patty Brown Eyes 5-2         19 2nd $3.70
#1 No Tricks 12-1                     18
#6 Headline Numbers 3-1       17 1st $5.50

Race 5:

#3 Enigmatic 2-1                       29 scratched
#6 Call Her Bluff 6-1                 28 1st $12.00
#1 Just Music 7-2                       27 2nd $4.20 Ex $31.60
#4 Cover the Spread 6-1           27 4th

Race 6:

#3 Son of a Birch 6-1                33 3rd $3.80
#4 Outlaw Kid 5-1                     32 1st $10.80
#2 Thin White Duke 8-1          31
#1 Heaven Street 2-1                30

Race 7:

#6 Catch a Wave 2-1                 30 1st $5.70
#2 Be Like Clint 7-2                   29 3rd $3.60
#1 Going Concern (GB) 9-5      29
#4 Scat Tu Tap 12-1                   28

Race 8:

#3 Emery 6-5                              34 1st $3.20 Dbl $11.80
#5 Autumn Evening 6-1           33 4th
#4 Halina’s Forte 5-2                32 3rd
#1 Mystic Lake 5-2                    32 2nd $3.60

Race 9:

#8 Devil Arrow 5-1                    17
#1 Bossy Jeans 5-2                     16 1st $7.20
#5 Tongue Twister 9-2              16
#10 Saving Memories 15-1       15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,6,1

Race 2:  6

Race 3:  5,4,2,1

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  3,6,1 *3 scratched using 6,1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,3

Race 3:  5,4,2,1

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  3,6,1 *3 scratched using 6,1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $24

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  5,4,2,1

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  3,6,1,4

Race 6:  3,4,2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  3,6,1 *3 scratched using 6,1,4

Race 6:  3,4,2,1

Race 7:  6,2,1

Race 8:  3

Race 9:  8,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  3,6,1 *3 scratched using 6,1,4 6

Race 6:  3,4,2,1 4

Race 7:  6,2,1 6

Race 8:  3,5,4 3

Race 9:  8,1,5 1

$.50 Ticket:  $162 $521.25

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  3,4,2,1

Race 7:  6,2,1

Race 8:  3,5,4

Race 9:  8,1,5

$.50 Ticket:  $54 $69.75

Monmouth Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Flip My Id 6-1                      26 4th
#7 Ben’s Sunny Island 9-5      25
#9 Explosive Exchange 7-2     25 2nd $3.80
#2 Moving in Stereo 10-1        24
#4 Awesomenewyear 4-1         24

Race 2:

#6 Golden Juan 2-1                   29 2nd $2.60
#5 Itwasthedevilsidea 6-1       27
#3 King of Hollywood 5-2        26 1st $5.20
#7 Assembly Point (BRZ) 5-1  25 scratched

Race 3:

#7 Up Her Sleeve 4-1                28
#8 Bizymaline 3-1                     28 1st $4.80
#1 Anador (FR) 9-2                    27 2nd $3.20
#6 Never So Lucky (IRE) 6-1    27

Race 4:

#2 St. Erling 7-2                       15
#5 Smuggler’s Gold 4-1          15 2nd $4.40
#4 J J Zo Zo 6-1                         14 3rd $3.00
#8 Howler 15-1                         13 1st $24.60

Race 5:

#5 Horsepower 5-2                16 1st $5.00
#6 Sebastianthe First 3-1     15
#2 Big Z Og 4-1                       15 4th
#8 Be There 9-2                      14 2nd $5.80

Race 6:

#10 Authenticate Now 6-1   17
#2 Me Governor 2-1               16 1st $6.40
#1 Tiz Purple 3-1                    15 2nd $3.20
#7 A Cozy Thing 10-1            15 4th

Race 7:

#9 Live High Live Low 5-2   28 1st $6.20
#5 Ice the Kicker 7-2             27
#7 Rapture Bay 3-1                27 4th
#2 Frizzante 9-2                     26 2nd $8.00
#4 Searcy 10-1                         25 scratched

Race 8:

#3 Long Astride 3-1              15 3rd $3.00
#5 Rossington 6-1                 14
#8 The Heights 7-2                13 4th
#7 Imaginized 7-2                  13 1st $7.00

Monmouth Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,7,9,2

Race 2:  6,5,3

Race 3:  7,8,1

Race 4:  2,5,4

Race 5:  5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,5,3,7

Race 3:  7,8,1,6

Race 4:  2,5,4

Race 5:  5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 3:  7,8,1,6

Race 4:  2,5,4

Race 5:  5,6

Race 6:  10,2,1

Race 7:  9,5

Race 8:  3,5,8

$.20 Ticket:  $86.40

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  2,5,4,8

Race 5:  5,6,2

Race 6:  10,2,1

Race 7:  9,5

Race 8:  3,5,8

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  5,6

Race 6:  10,2,1,7

Race 7:  9,5,7,2

Race 8:  3,5,8,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $83.95

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

June 30th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,706/21,021 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,679/21,021. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*4 on top winners on last Sunday’s Aqueduct card…$3.50$11.80$11.20$14.20

*Late Pick 5/4 for us at Aqueduct last Sunday…$9,233.25 on a $108 ticket…$726.75 on a $64 ticket…

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Check back later in the week for Aqueduct Picks/Plays…

 

June 29th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,689/20,998 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,665/20,998. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*4 on top winners on last Sunday’s Aqueduct card…$3.50$11.80$11.20$14.20

*Late Pick 5/4 for us at Aqueduct last Sunday…$9,233.25 on a $108 ticket…$726.75 on a $64 ticket…

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Victorious Wave 5-2           29 1st $3.70
#3 Hot Rod Rumble 3-1           28 3rd $4.00
#1 Writer’s Regret 4-1              27
#6 Hatch 9-2                              26 2nd $4.30

Race 2:

#7 Gum Island 9-2                     26
#3 Midnight Express 3-1          25 3rd $2.60
#6 Buckortwo 6-1                       25
#1 Badlands Ruler 5-2               24 1st $4.30

Race 3:

#7 High Heat 3-1                       27 scratched
#4 Colonel Vargo 9-5                27 1st $3.60
#1 Bronx Bomber 12-1              26 3rd $2.90
#6 Sagamore Mischief 8-1        25

Race 4:

#7 Vettriano 9-5                        30 1st $2.60
#2 Russian Realm 5-2               28 2nd $2.80
#5 Thethrillofvictory 8-1         27
#1 Wine Responsibly 7-2          27 scratched

Race 5:

#9 Nano Man 3-1                        16 2nd $3.50
#2 Art of Courage 2-1                15 1st $3.50
#6 Price Is Truth 7-2                  15
#5 Twisted Whisker 12-1          14

Race 6:

#6 Valenzan Day 5-2                 29 1st $3.60
#3 Goldini 3-1                             27
#1 Co Conspirator 10-1             26 4th
#7 Disappearance 8-1                25

Race 7:

#4 Move to Gold 5-2                 29 3rd $2.10
#5 Please Advise 7-2                 28 4th
#1 Mattingly 9-2                        27
#3 Neat 3-1                                 27 1st $6.40

Race 8:

#4 Kerry 5-2                               29 1st $6.50
#6 Epic Miss Justice 9-2           28
#8 Proud Mary 7-2                    28 3rd $3.80
#1 Reflexivity (IRE) 4-1            27

Race 9:

#1 Repo Rocks 2-1                     34
#4 Subrogate 7-2                        33 1st $4.90
#7 He’smyhoneybadger 4-1     32 4th
#2 Runninsonofagun 10-1       32

Race 10:

#3 Just for Luck 3-1                  32
#7 Yo Daddy 7-2                        31 2nd $3.70
#8 Skellig Island 15-1               31
#4 Into It 9-2                              30 1st $23.60

Race 11:

#5 Relate 7-2                              30
#8 Willintoriskitall 6-1            29
#6 Shadizaar 10-1                     28
#2 Emirates Road 6-1               28

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,3,1,6

Race 2:  7,3,6,1

Race 3:  7,4 *7 scratched using 4,1

Race 4:  7,2

Race 5:  9,2,6

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,3,6,1

Race 3:  7,4,1,6

Race 4:  7,2,5,1

Race 5:  9,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  7,2

Race 5:  9,2,6,5

Race 6:  6,3,1,7

Race 7:  4,5,1,3

Race 8:  4,6

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  9,2,6,5

Race 6:  6,3

Race 7:  4,5,1,3

Race 8:  4,6,8,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 6:  6,3,1,7

Race 7:  4,5

Race 8:  4,6,8

Race 9:  1

Race 10: 3,7

Race 11:  5,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  4,5,1,3

Race 8:  4,6,8

Race 9:  1,4

Race 10: 3,7

Race 11:  5,8,6,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  4,6,8,1

Race 9:  1,4,7,2

Race 10: 3,7

Race 11:  5,8,6,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Churchill Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Dr Kringle 3-1                     28
#8 Hitting Bombs 6-1              27
#7 Mo Rhodes 5-1                    27 3rd $4.58
#4 Copper Echo 6-1                 26 2nd $8.96

Race 2:

#6 Tallahatchiebridge 4-1      29 4th
#3 Harold’s Cloud 3-1             28
#7 Saqeel 7-2                             27 1st $7.68
#1 Kahala 10-1                          26 3rd $7.10

Race 3:

#3 Expensive Cut 3-1              31 4th
#5 Kavod 5-2                             30 1st $6.54
#7 Can’t Hush This 7-2           29 2nd $3.84
#6 Backside Buzz 5-1               28

Race 4:

#9 Two Sharp 3-1                     20 2nd $2.44
#11 Beach Bunny 10-1            19
#2 Ghostrider 12-1                   18 scratched
#4 Hey Olivia 12-1                    17 3rd $4.76

Race 5:

#6 Scalable 7-2                         29 1st $7.64
#14 Simply Enchanting 4-1   29
#10 Lemon Muffin 3-1            28
#12 Yes Indeed 6-1                  28 2nd $5.16
#9 Promisemeanempire 8-1  27

Race 6:

#5 Hurry Hurry 6-1                 33
#3 Santos Dumont 6-1           32 4th
#8 Onthestage 12-1                31
#12 Stowaway 10-1                 31 scratched

Race 7:

#2 Ottoman Fleet (GB) 1-1    38 1st $3.40
#5 Win for the Money 9-2      37 4th
#3 Chasing the Crown 3-1      36 2nd $3.48
#1 Strong Tide 20-1                 35 3rd $4.66 Spr $139

Race 8:

#2 Shotgun Hottie 4-1           35 2nd $3.06
#4 Scylla 6-5                             34 1st $3.82 Ex $22.76
#6 Xigera 9-2                            33
#1 Free Like a Girl 6-1            32

Race 9:

#8 Brilliant Berti 8-1             33 1st $13.16
#7 First World War 4-1          32 2nd $4.84 Ex $60.32
#2 Moonlight 8-1                   31
#1 Green Light 3-1                 31 3rd $2.58

Race 10:

#6 Closethegame Sugar 7-2 35 1st $4.88 Dbl $50.36
#5 Hoist the Gold 3-1            34 3rd $3.36
#4 Tejano Twist 4-1               33 4th
#1 Anarchist 6-1                     32

Race 11:

#1 Pyrenees 12-1                    39 2nd $12.10
#7 Kingsbarns 6-1                  38 1st $21.90 Ex $171.64
#2 First Mission 6-5               38 4th
#9 Skippylongstocking 5-2   37 3rd $4.66 Spr $1,754

Race 12:

#8 Pipsy (IRE) 7-2                 34
#3 Kathynmarissa 5-1          33 3rd $4.74
#5 Poolside With Slim 5-1   32 4th
#1 Simply in Front 4-1          32

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,8,7,4

Race 2:  6,3,7

Race 3:  3,5,7

Race 4:  9,11,2,4

Race 5:  6,14,10

$50 Ticket:  $216

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,3,7,1

Race 3:  3,5

Race 4:  9,11,2,4

Race 5:  6,14,10,12

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  9,11,2,4

Race 5:  6,14,10

Race 6:  5,3,8,12 *12 scratched using 5,3,8,7

Race 7:  2,5

Race 8:  2,4

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  6,14,10,12

Race 6:  5,3,8,12 *12 scratched using 5,3,8,7

Race 7:  2,5

Race 8:  2,4,6

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 5 (6-10):

Race 6:  5,3,8,12 *12 scratched using 5,3,8,7

Race 7:  2,5,3

Race 8:  2,4

Race 9:  8,7,2,1

Race 10: 6,5,4

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 6:

Race 7:  2

Race 8:  2,4,6

Race 9:  8,7,2,1

Race 10: 6,5,4

Race 11:  1,7,2,9

Race 12:  8,3,5

$1.00 Ticket:  $86.40

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  2,4,6

Race 9:  8,7,2,1

Race 10: 6,5,4

Race 11:  1,7,2,9

Race 12:  8,3,5

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  8,7,2,1

Race 10: 6,5

Race 11:  1,7,2,9

Race 12:  8,3,5,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

June 28th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,683/20,989 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,658/20,989. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*4 on top winners on last Sunday’s Aqueduct card…$3.50$11.80$11.20$14.20

*Late Pick 5/4 for us at Aqueduct last Sunday…$9,233.25 on a $108 ticket… $726.75 on a $64 ticket…

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Check back tomorrow morning for Saturday’s Aqueduct Churchill Downs Picks/Plays…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Shakin the Belle 5-2            14 2nd $2.60
#1 Hours in a Day 7-2               13 3rd $3.20
#5 No Surrender 3-1                 12 4th
#3 Battle of Britain 9-2            12

Race 2:

#3 Nimitz Class 9-5                  31 scratched
#4 St Andrews 2-1                    30 2nd $2.90
#1a First Glimpse 9-2               28 3rd
#2 Fromanothamutha 3-1       28 1st $4.80

Race 3:

#4 Solib 9-5                               30 *Best Bet scratched
#5 Determined Lilly 6-1          28 1st $6.00
#1 Ribot’s Valentine 6-1          27
#6 Spooky Lady 5-2                  27 3rd $2.10

Race 4:

#8 Chalky Cat 6-1                    28 scratched
#2 Andy Cant 5-2                     28 2nd $3.10
#3 Endowed 5-1                        27
#5 Ice Road 8-1                         27 3rd $2.80

Race 5:

#4 On the Hill 5-1                    29 2nd $5.70
#3 Big Prankster 9-5                28 3rd $2.40
#2 Apollo Code 2-1                  28 4th
#1 Solo’s Fury 8-1                     27

Race 6:

#5 Risk Threshold (IRE) 7-2    19 1st $6.50
#10 Stage Presence 5-1            18
#9 Scarlet Poppy (IRE) 6-1       18 2nd $4.10
#6 Out too Late (GB) 15-1        17 3rd $11.20

Race 7:

#4 Miss Lao 9-2                         17 3rd $2.30
#7 Spirit of Esther 8-1             16 2nd $5.50
#3 Starts Now 5-2                     15 1st $7.40 Tri $50.48
#1 Mia Nipotina 30-1               14 scratched

Race 8:

#1 Quick Hammer 2-1             28
#1a Magnificent Mile 2-1        27 2nd $2.70
#4 Rider’s Special 3-1              27 1st $8.20
#5 Twelth Man 6-1                   26 4th

Race 9:

#5 Solo Empire 4-1                  27 1st $10.80
#4 Frozen Four 7-2                   26
#6 Podere 20-1                          25
#3 Wo Hop 5-1                           25

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,1,5,3

Race 2:  3,4,1a/1 *3 scratched using 4,1a/1,2

Race 3:  4 *4 scratched using 5

Race 4:  8,2,3

Race 5:  4,3,2

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,4,1a/1,2

Race 3:  4,5 *4 scratched using 5,1

Race 4:  8,2,3,5

Race 5:  4,3,2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  4,5 *4 scratched using 5,1

Race 4:  8,2,3,5

Race 5:  4,3,2,1

Race 6:  5,10,9,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  8,2,3 *8 scratched using 2,3,5

Race 5:  4,3,2

Race 6:  5,10,9

Race 7:  4,7,3

Race 8:  1/1a

Race 9:  5,4

$1.00 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  4,3,2

Race 6:  5,10,9,6

Race 7:  4,7,3

Race 8:  1/1a,4

Race 9:  5,4

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  5,10,9,6

Race 7:  4,7,3,1

Race 8:  1/1a,4

Race 9: 5,4,6,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $122.12

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.