Archives: Free Picks & Plays

October 11th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,888/25,808 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,051/25,808. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 33-28 (54%)…Week 5 Picks Below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…
Week Four 8-7 (53%)…

*College Football Picks Season 11-7 (61%)…This weeks Picks Below…

*Sunday’s Full Card Belmont Park Picks/Plays below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 On Time Delivery 3-1 18
#3 Runyon Canyon 4-1 17
#6 Miss Twitter 2-1 16
#5 Majestic Moonlight 5-1 15

Race 2:

#5 Turn N Burn 2-1 19
#2 Fairy Tale 9-5 18
#1 Fantasy Road 7-2 17
#4 Asset Light 7-2 16

Race 3:

#6 Valentine Crusader 5-2 19
#4 Tap Rules 2-1 18
#2 Karsten 3-1 17
#1 Galicat 4-1 17

Race 4:

#5 Dividend Recap 7-5 31
#4 Lisa Joy (GB) 5-1 30
#7 Kiamba (IRE) 3-1 29
#1 Consensus View (GB) 3-1 28

Race 5:

#4 Golden Ember 10-1 20
#8 Breaker 5-1 19
#1 Cornichiwa 4-1 19
#2 Rockabye 9-2 18

Race 6:

#3 Hot Property 2-1 29
#2 Escape Hall 6-1 28
#7 Bakuto 5-2 27
#8 Sports Hero 6-1 27

Race 7:

#6 Clap Back 4-1 28
#1 Our Preferred Pal 6-1 28
#2 Credit Risk 3-1 27
#3 Ishkabibble 5-1 26

Race 8:

#9 Printer’s Alley 4-1 29
#6 Kuhner 9-2 28
#1 Razorcat 8-1 27
#2 Sicilian Defense 7-2 26

Race 9:

#2 Perretti (IRE) 8-5 16
#5 Cuban Cowboy 6-1 15
#9 Prime Ranger 12-1 15
#4 Authentic Legend 4-1 14

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,3,6

Race 2: 5,2,1,4

Race 3: 6,4,2

Race 4: 5,4

Race 5: 4,8,1

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,2,1,4

Race 3: 6,4,2

Race 4: 5,4

Race 5: 4,8,1

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 6,4,2

Race 4: 5,4,7

Race 5: 4,8,1,2

Race 6: 3,2,7

Race 7: 6,1,2

$.50 Ticket: $162:

Pick 6:

Race 4: 5

Race 5: 4,8,1,2

Race 6: 3

Race 7: 6,1,2

Race 8: 9,6

Race 9: 2

$1.00 Ticket: $24

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 4,8,1

Race 6: 3,2,7,8

Race 7: 6,1,2

Race 8: 9,6,1

Race 9: 2,5

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 3,2

Race 7: 6,1,2,3

Race 8: 9,6,1,2

Race 9: 2,5,9,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

NFL Week 5 Picks:

Cowboys -8.5 X Buccaneers 24-Cowboys 16
Jaguars -7.5
Browns +1.5
Colts +2.5
Raiders +3.5
Packers +1.5
Giants +3.5
Saints +1.5
Bengals -7
Texans -7
Broncos -3.5
Lions -5.5
Seahawks -3
Ravens +3.5
Bills +3.5

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

October 10th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,873/25,787 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,038/25,787. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 33-28 (54%)…Week 5 Picks Below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…
Week Four 8-7 (53%)…

*College Football Picks Season 11-7 (61%)…This weeks Picks Below…

*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont & Keeneland Picks/Plays below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 Art Museum 2-1 20 2nd $2.94
#7 Hullabaloo Ray Ray 1-1 19 1st $2.90
#1 Iron Charger 8-1 18 4th
#5 Louisiana Baby 15-1 17 3rd $5.00 Spr $181.32

Race 2:

#1 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 8-5 33 1st $3.68
#5 Belouni (FR) 7-2 32
#8 Classic Creation 10-1 31 3rd $7.84
#6 Ramblin’ Wreck 5-1 30 scratched

Race 3:

#2 Morella 3-1 20 2nd $3.82
#6 Lookin’ Fine 8-1 19 scratched
#4 Saintly Villain 7-2 18 3rd $2.64
#1 Summer Memories 5-2 18

Race 4:

#6 Leftembehind 7-2 28 1st $12.50
#2 Shattuck 9-2 28 2nd $5.32 Ex $47.48
#7 Sara’s Shaman 2-1 27 3rd $2.54 Tri $119.64
#5 American Grant 6-1 26 4th Spr $454.30

Race 5:

#3 Southside Samurai 5-1 18 2nd $5.44
#6 Miracle Michael 3-1 17
#9 Billy Bucchero 10-1 16 1st $19.92
#7 Neptuneroad Richie 6-1 16 4th

Race 6:

#2 Run Classic 6-1 33 4th
#6 Baby Yoda 2-1 33 2nd $4.10
#5 Paradise Valley 9-2 32 1st $10.68
#3 Pair of Socks 5-1 31

Race 7:

#2 Irish Goodbye 3-5 16 scratched
#5 Hellz Kitchen 12-1 15
#4 Sfumato 9-2 15
#6 Chris’s Song 10-1 14 1st $7.92

Race 8:

#1 Two Out Hero 8-5 33
#7 Intricate Spirit 6-1 32
#3 Big Destroyer 5-1 31 3rd $4.20
#5 Iron Palace 10-1 31 2nd $9.42

Race 9:

#6 Okay Annie 3-1 16 3rd $3.08
#3 Promise Me Amelody 2-1 15
#5 Our Sweet Harpie 8-1 14
#7 Liberty’s Advance 4-1 14 4th

Race 10:

#6 Caroline St. Beat 7-5 34 2nd $3.30
#9 Third Coast 6-1 33 1st $13.76 Ex $38.46
#8 Chambersville 5-1 32
#4 Lennox the Grey 8-1 31

Race 11:

#1 Gilbane 9-5 17 1st $6.52
#7 Fresh Start 8-1 16
#9 Bourboncentric 3-1 15 2nd $4.52
#4 Surfside Dan 12-1 15

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,7

Race 2: 1,5

Race 3: 2,6,4,1 *6 scratched using 2,4,1,5

Race 4: 6,2,7

Race 5: 3,6,9,7

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,5

Race 3: 2,6,4,1 *6 scratched using 2,4,1,5

Race 4: 6,2,7

Race 5: 3,6,9,7

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 2,6,4,1 *6 scratched using 2,4,1,5

Race 4: 6,2,7

Race 5: 3,6,9,7

Race 6: 2,6,5

Race 7: 2,5 *2 scratched using 5,4

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 6,2,7,5

Race 5: 3,6

Race 6: 2,6,5,3

Race 7: 2,5,4 *2 scratched using 5,4,6

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 3,6,9,7

Race 6: 2,6,5

Race 7: 2,5,4 *2 scratched using 5,4,6

Race 8: 1,7,3

Race 9: 6,3

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 6:

Race 6: 2,6,5

Race 7: 2 *2 scratched using 5

Race 8: 1

Race 9: 6,3

Race 10: 6,9

Race 11: 1,7,9

$1.00 Ticket: $36

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 2,5,4 *2 scratched using 5,4,6

Race 8: 1,7,3

Race 9: 6,3

Race 10: 6,9,8

Race 11: 1,7,9

$.50 Ticket: $81

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 1,7,3

Race 9: 6,3,5,7

Race 10: 6,9,8

Race 11: 1,7,9

$.50 Ticket: $54

Keeneland Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 Lost Chord 4-5 27 1st $3.64
#7 Lexico 6-1 26 2nd $3.38
#1 Unlimited Gold 3-1 26 3rd $2.74
#3 Motown Sound (ON) 8-1 25

Race 2:

#10 Dolly P 5-1 15 1st $8.72 Dbl $16.32
#8 Maple Ridge 3-1 14 3rd $3.30
#11 Kefka 6-1 13
#6 Coherent 8-1 12 scratched

Race 3:

#1 Hit the High Note 5-2 28 scratched
#6 Merlin Monroan 4-1 28 1st $5.70 Dbl $22.48
#4 Battlefield Hero 6-1 27 4th Pk3 $48.14
#8 Culpable 8-1 26

Race 4:

#7 Alder 8-1 33
#5 Gilden Craken 2-1 32
#8 Money Supply 7-2 31 1st $7.90
#2 Morunning 3-1 30 3rd $3.30

Race 5:

#13 Follow Your Heart 5-2 19 scratched
#4 Free Verse 4-1 18 2nd $3.32
#12 Meleys 6-1 18 3rd $4.00
#11 Practical Patsy 8-1 17 4th
#9 Global Unrest 8-1 16 1st $12.46 Spr $1,279.80

Race 6:

#5 Sneaky Good 5-2 33 2nd $3.80
#7 Where Luck Lives 3-1 32 1st $5.14 Ex $16.92
#6 Carmel Coast 3-1 31
#1 Braverthanubelieve 4-1 30 4th

Race 7:

#9 Sugar Hallow 8-1 20
#12 Viaggio 6-1 19
#7 Rumana 9-2 19 2nd $6.40
#3 Just Peachy 7-2 18 3rd $3.34

Race 8:

#4 Bold Strength 5-2 33
#1 Thailand 4-1 32 2nd $5.88
#7 Break Out 12-1 31 scratched
#8 Steeze 6-1 30 1st $12.96

Race 9:

#3 Tam Tam 4-1 35 1st $10.54
#2 Luster (ON) 5-2 34
#4 Faithful Departed 7-2 33 2nd $4.10
#10 Deep Learning 12-1 32

Race 10:

#5 Ghost Sense 12-1 19
#11 Kaykay 5-2 18 1st $5.08
#4 Glow of a Rose 8-1 18 3rd $3.54
#3 Only Me 10-1 17

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,7,1

Race 2: 10,8,11

Race 3: 1,6 *1 scratched using 6,4

Race 4: 7,5,8

Race 5: 13,4,12 *13 scratched using 4,12,11

$.50 Ticket: $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 10,8,11,6 *6 scratched using 10,8,11,1

Race 3: 1,6,4 *1 scratched using 6,4,8

Race 4: 7,5,8,2

Race 5: 13,4,12 *13 scratched using 4,12,11

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 5: 13,4,12 *13 scratched using 4,12,11

Race 6: 5,7

Race 7: 9,12,7,3

Race 8: 4

Race 9: 3,2

Race 10: 5,11,4

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 5,7,6

Race 7: 9,12,7,3

Race 8: 4,1

Race 9: 3,2,4

Race 10: 5,11,4

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 9,12,7,3

Race 8: 4,1

Race 9: 3,2,4

Race 10: 5,11,4,3

$.50 Ticket: $48

NFL Week 5 Picks:

College Football Picks:

Washington -2.5 X Iowa 41-Washington 24
Washington State +3.5 ✓ Utah State 17-Washington St 16
North Carolina +3.5 ✓ NC 21-Pitt 17
Missouri -3.5 ✓ Missouri 27-Texas A&M 6
Indiana -7.5 X Indiana 20-Nebraska 17
Wake Forest -3.5 ✓ WF 38-NC ST 14
South Carolina +11.5 ✓ SC 31-Fla 13
Appalachian State -9.5 X Old D 10-App St 3
Miami Ohio -4.5 X Miami Ohio 20-U Mass 19
Kent State +13.5 X WM 38-Kent St 7
Virginia Tech -9.5 X Cal 25-VT 20
Georgia Tech +6.5 ✓ GT 28-Duke 25
Ole Miss -9.5 ✓ Ole Miss 52-Vanderbilt 17
Central Michigan +2.5 X Ohio 31- CM 14
Eastern Michigan -5.5 X EM 25-Akron 23
Temple -3.5 X U Conn 34-Temple 20
Tennessee -13.5
LSU -8.5
Marshall -4.5
Alabama -1.5
Penn State -1.5
Minnesota -2.5

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

October 9th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,870/25,778 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,036/25,778. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 33-28 (54%)…Week 5 Picks Below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…
Week Four 8-7 (53%)…

*College Football Picks Season 11-7 (61%)…This weeks Picks Below…

*No Belmont Park Picks/Plays Thursday 10/8…

*Friday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Growth Trajectory (GB) 9-5 32 4th
#5 Good Long Cry 7-2 31 1st $8.16
#6 Marketplaceofideas (GB) 3-1 30 3rd $3.30
#3 La Ceiba (FR) 4-1 29

Race 2:

#5 City Blocks 2-1 30 4th
#4 Nina Kay 4-1 29 scratched
#3 Kay Cup 5-2 28 1st $8.08
#2 Irish Fortune 4-1 27 2nd $4.06

Race 3:

#3 Sparks Will Fly 7-2 16 2nd $7.22
#6 Suited Connectors 3-1 15
#7 San Antonio Sara 9-2 14
#4 Magic in My Eyes 4-1 14 4th

Race 4:

#4 Queen Paola 7-2 17 4th
#7 Doves and Hawks 2-1 16 2nd $3.00
#5 Zipline 6-1 15
#6 Bubble and Squeak 8-1 15

Race 5:

#1 Apalta 6-1 28 4th
#10 Peek 5-1 27 3rd $3.60
#3 Expensive Cut 9-2 26 2nd $7.52
#5 Interlock Empire 6-1 26

Race 6:

#9 Borago 7-2 18
#11 Tinian 6-1 17 3rd $4.02
#10 Jordan the Caddy 5-1 16 4th
#7 Pyralis 12-1 15

Race 7:

#12 Market Perception 12-1 17 2nd $6.44
#9 All Show 9-5 16 4th
#6 Hammers Nickel 10-1 16
#1 Illustrating 6-1 15 1st $11.18

Race 8:

#4 Baseball Lady 7-2 31 3rd $3.62
#6 Adrian 5-2 30 1st $7.00
#2 Power of Women 5-1 29 4th
#8 Starwood 3-1 28

Race 9:

#8 Shake Em Off 12-1 16
#4 Midtown Mischief 3-1 15
#5 Daylight Dreamer 6-1 15
#2 Ticket to Ride 4-1 14

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,5,6

Race 2: 5,4,3 *4 scratched using 5,3,2

Race 3: 3,6,7

Race 4: 4,7

Race 5: 1,10,3

$.50 Ticket: $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,4,3 *4 scratched using 5,3,2

Race 3: 3,6,7

Race 4: 4,7,5

Race 5: 1,10,3,5

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 3,6,7

Race 4: 4,7,5

Race 5: 1,10,3

Race 6: 9,11,10

Race 7: 12,9,6

$.50 Ticket: $121.50

Pick 6:

Race 4: 4,7

Race 5: 1,10,3

Race 6: 9,11,10

Race 7: 12,9

Race 8: 4

Race 9: 8,4

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 1,10,3,5

Race 6: 9,11,10

Race 7: 12,9,6,1

Race 8: 4,6

Race 9: 8,4,5

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 9,11,10

Race 7: 12,9,6,1

Race 8: 4,6

Race 9: 8,4,5,2

$.50 Ticket: $48

NFL Week 5 Picks:

Cowboys -8.5 X Buccaneers 24-Cowboys 16
Jaguars -7.5
Browns +1.5
Colts +2.5
Raiders +3.5
Packers +1.5
Giants +3.5
Saints +1.5
Bengals -6.5
Texans -7.5
Broncos -3.5
Lions -5.5
Seahawks -3
Ravens +3.5
Bills +3.5

College Football Picks:

Washington -2.5
Washington State +5.5
North Carolina +3.5
Missouri -3.5
Indiana -7.5
Wake Forest -3.5
South Carolina +12.5
Appalachian State -9.5
Miami Ohio -2.5
Kent State +13.5
Virginia Tech -9.5
Georgia Tech +6.5
Ole Miss -10.5
Central Michigan +2.5
Eastern Michigan -6.5
Temple -3.5
Tennessee -13.5
LSU -8.5
Marshall -3.5
Alabama -1.5
Penn State -1.5
Minnesota -2.5

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

October 7th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,866/25,769 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,032/25,769. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 33-28 (54%)…Week 5 Picks Below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…
Week Four 8-7 (53%)…

*College Football Picks Season 11-7 (61%)…This weeks Picks Below…

*No Belmont Park Picks/Plays Thursday 10/8…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 Weighted Average 6-5 33 1st $2.92
#2 Thankfulness (IRE) 4-1 32
#1 Don’t Jinx It 2-1 31 4th
#7 Agia Marina 10-1 30

Race 2:

#6 Very Clever 2-1 20 4th
#3 Ready Set Roll 8-1 19 3rd $4.40
#7 Mioruilt 5-2 18 1st $7.14
#5 Tinker Taylor 4-1 18

Race 3:

#7 Screaming Uncle 7-2 27 1st $4.96
#4 Gypsy Dreaming 4-1 26
#3 Mission Critical 5-1 25
#8 Strategicoperation 8-1 25 3rd $5.32

Race 4:

#6 Iron Sight 8-5 33 1st $3.44
#5 Likeness 4-1 32
#1 Mutaawid 3-1 32 4th
#4 Urgency 5-1 31 2nd $3.86

Race 5:

#4 Audible Johnny 2-1 15 scratched
#1 Max O Nidas 7-2 14 2nd $4.14
#12 Maddenbleu 12-1 13
#7 Hotshotmcgilicudy 4-1 12

Race 6:

#3 Hard Circle 7-2 32 3rd $3.12
#8 Pineland 9-2 31
#11 English Law 6-1 31
#2 In the Dark 6-1 30 2nd $10.58

Race 7:

#10 Maximum Heat 8-1 29
#1 Salt Spartan 4-1 29 2nd $3.56
#3 Dinner Royale 6-1 28
#6 Sociably Johnny 8-1 27 4th

Race 8:

#12 Tuthilltown 3-1 30 4th
#1 Mobile 5-2 29 2nd $4.34
#9 Garden of Grace 6-1 29 3rd $4.70
#8 Emergency Nine 5-1 28

Race 9:

#6 Griselda (FR) 3-1 31
#12 Ori 2-1 30
#8 Private Property 10-1 29
#10 Cravings 8-1 28

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,2,1

Race 2: 6,3,7

Race 3: 7,4,3

Race 4: 6,5,1

Race 5: 4,1 *4 scratched using 1,12

$.50 Ticket: $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 6,3,7,5

Race 3: 7,4,3

Race 4: 6,5,1

Race 5: 4,1 *4 scratched using 1,12

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 7,4,3

Race 4: 6,5,1,4

Race 5: 4,1,12,7 *4 scratched using 1,12,7,11

Race 6: 3,8

Race 7: 10,1,3

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 6:

Race 4: 6,5

Race 5: 4,1 *4 scratched using 1,12

Race 6: 3,8

Race 7: 10,1,3

Race 8: 12,1

Race 9: 6,12

$1.00 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 4,1,12,7 *4 scratched using 1,12,7,11

Race 6: 3,8,11

Race 7: 10,1,3

Race 8: 12,1

Race 9: 6,12

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 3,8,11,2

Race 7: 10,1,3,6

Race 8: 12,1,9,8

Race 9: 6,12

$.50 Ticket: $64

NFL Week 5 Picks:

Cowboys -8.5
Jaguars -7
Browns +1.5
Colts +2.5
Raiders +3.5
Packers +2.5
Giants +3.5
Saints +1.5
Bengals -7.5
Texans -7
Broncos -3.5
Lions -5.5
Seahawks -3
Ravens +3
Bills +3

College Football Picks:

Washington -3.5
Washington State +5.5
North Carolina +3.5
Missouri -3.5
Indiana -7.5
Wake Forest -3.5
South Carolina +12.5
Appalachian State -9.5
Miami Ohio -2.5
Kent State +13.5
Virginia Tech -9.5
Georgia Tech +6.5
Ole Miss -10.5
Central Michigan +2.5
Eastern Michigan -6.5
Temple -3.5
Tennessee -13.5
LSU -9.5
Marshall -2.5
Alabama -1.5
Penn State -1.5
Minnesota -2.5

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

October 4th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,864/25,759 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,028/25,759. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 25-21 (54%)…Week 4 Picks below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…

*Saturday’s College Football Picks 11-7 (61%)…

*Sunday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#7 Jackpot Jackie 3-1 16
#5 My Man Max 5-1 15 4th
#3 Barden 12-1 15
#2 Rufus the Red 6-1 14 scratched

Race 2:

#4 Save Us Melania 6-5 28 scratched
#8 Vekomancer 7-2 27 1st $3.62
#2 Pocket Queens 10-1 26
#1 Cloudy Chance 6-1 25 4th

Race 3:

#2 Empress New Groove 7-2 17 2nd $4.14
#5 Channelview 6-1 17
#4 Ilenas Kaz Way 6-1 16
#7 Sweet Mackenzie 10-1 15

Race 4:

#7 Sellonthenews (GB) 7-5 19 2nd $2.40
#11 Attachment 9-2 18
#10 Whatever It Takes 8-1 18
#4 Belmont Street 12-1 17 4th

Race 5:

#1 Pentathlon 8-1 36 1st $15.88
#6 Georgia Magic 7-2 35 3rd $3.10
#4 Admiral Dennis 6-1 35 scratched
#5 Tip Top Thomas 3-1 34 2nd $5.18 Tri $254.48

Race 6:

#2 Escapades 3-1 32
#7 Sod Siren (FR) 4-1 31 4th
#10 Moment’s Notice 6-1 30 2nd $6.78
#4 Global Prosperity 8-1 29 1st $19.94

Race 7:

#3 Boomington 6-1 31 4th
#8 Factory Setting 5-2 30 2nd $4.18
#5 Athena’s Fury 12-1 30
#4 Silly Season 5-1 29 1st $13.08

Race 8:

#6 Two Eagles River 9-2 33 scratched
#8 Barb 10-1 32
#2 Captain Cook 7-5 32 3rd $2.18
#4 Mischievous M 5-1 31

Race 9:

#2 Counterintuitive 2-1 31
#10 Nonconsecutivetrms 4-1 30
#3 Mid Summer 12-1 29 3rd $7.00
#4 Chartist 8-1 28

Race 10:

#3 Instability (IRE) 5-2 30 2nd $4.72
#11 Shirl’s Soul Town 8-1 29
#6 Repentless 8-1 28
#2 Funny Factor 8-1 27 1st $22.08

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 7,5,3,2 *2 scratched using 7,5,3,6

Race 2: 4,8 *4 scratched using 8,2

Race 3: 2,5,4

Race 4: 7,11