A Winning Day at the Races!

Archives: Free Picks & Plays

October 2nd, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,409/17,396, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,860/17,396. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Check back Wednesday for Thursday’s Aqueduct Picks/Plays…

October 1st, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,398/17,374, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,848/17,374. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Downtown Mischief 4-1           19 scratched
#1 Pretty Miss Keens 4-1               18 3rd $3.50
#3 Miss Fashionista 5-2                 17 4th
#6 Vax 9-2                                         16

Race 2:

#7 Hola Gata 6-1                             19
#5 Justifiable Belle 7-2                   18
#8 Idea Generation (IRE) 7-2        18
#3 Nyxed 10-1                                  17

Dirt Selections

#9 River Oaks 8-1 3rd $3.00
#3 Nyxed 10-1
#5 Justifiable Belle 7-2
#2 Junipermarshmallow 12-1 scratched

Race 3:

#2 Lost in Rome 2-1                        27 2nd $2.60
#1 Runabout 9-2                              26 1st $8.40 Ex $18.40
#4 Tapizearance 3-1                        26 3rd $2.50 Tri $38
#3 Our Philly Special 5-2                25 scratched

Race 4:

#2 Bees and Honey 2-1                   33 1st $6.60
#4 Brattle House 1-1                       32 2nd $2.20 Ex $10.60
#1 Halo City 10-1                             29 3rd $2.30 Tri $20.60
#5 Vegas Weekend 9-2                    28 4th Spr $41.60

Race 5:

#4 Limits of Power 4-1                    20 4th
#2 Inflationary 7-2                           19 scratched
#1 Cascais 8-1                                   18 3rd $3.30
#6 Town Square 8-1                         17

Race 6:

#4 Frank’s Art 5-2                             29
#12 War Terminator 7-2                   28
#7 Sheriff Bianco 5-1                        28
#10 Courageoous Oh La 10-1          27

Dirt Selections

#6 Bold Journey 10-1
#15 Storm Shooter 7-2 3rd $4.60
#14 Fenway 6-1
#1 Hudson Overpass 50-1 scratched

Race 7:

#1 Life Is Good 1-9                           43 1st $2.10
#5 Informative 15-1                         37
#3 Thomas Shelby 15-1                   35 scratched
#2 Law Professor 8-1                        34 2nd $3.90

Race 8:

#3 Pleasant Passage 8-1                  30 1st $21.20 Dbl $21.60
#6 Be Your Best (IRE) 6-5                29 3rd $2.30
#2 Free Look 9-5                                29 2nd $3.10 Tri $119
#1 Goerges Spirit 10-1                      28

Dirt Selections

#2 Free Look 9-5
#3 Pleasant Passage 8-1
#5 Im Just Kiddin 12-1
#1 Georges Spirit 10-1

Race 9:

#10 Dancing Buck 6-1                      34 1st $10.60 Dbl $126
#7 Thin White Duke 9-2                  33 Pk 3 $158
#1 Noble Emotion 20-1                    32 scratched
#3 Nothing Better 12-1                    31 scratched

Dirt Selections

#10 Dancing Buck 6-1
#13 Greeley and Ben 3-1
#7 Thin White Duke 9-2
#6 Voodoo Zip 9-2

Race 10:

#4 Champions Dream 5-1               32
#6 Gulfport 2-1                                  32 3rd $2.50
#3 Verifying 9-5                                 31 2nd $5.00
#1 Andiamo a Firenze 6-1                31 4th

Race 11:

#9 Liberty Flame 12-1                       28 scratched
#3 Kant Hurry Love 5-2                     27 2nd $4.40
#6 Carbon 5-1                                      27 3rd $6.10
#8 Ribot’s Valentine 4-1                    26 4th

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,1,3,6 *2 scratched using 1,3,6,4 4

Race 2:  7,5,8 Dirt: 9,3,5 x

Race 3:  2,1 1

Race 4:  2,4 2

Race 5:  4,2,1,6 *2 scratched using 4,1,6,8 8

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,5,8,3 Dirt: 9,3,5,2 x

Race 3:  2,1,4 1

Race 4:  2,4 2

Race 5:  4,2,1,6 *2 scratched using 4,1,6,8 8

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 5:

Race 4:  2,4,1,5 2

Race 5:  4,2,1 *2 scratched using 4,1,6 x

Race 6:  4,12,7 Dirt: 6,15,14 x

Race 7:  1

Race 8:  3,6,2,1 Dirt: 2,3,5,1 3

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 6:  4,12,7 Dirt: 6,15,14 x

Race 7:  1

Race 8:  3,6,2 Dirt: 2,3,5 3

Race 9:  10,7 Dirt: 10,13 10

Race 10: 4,6,3 x

Race 11:  9,3,6 *9 scratched using 3,6,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  1

Race 8:  3,6,2 Dirt: 2,3,5 3

Race 9:  10,7 Dirt: 10,13 10

Race 10: 4,6,3 x

Race 11:  9,3,6 *9 scratched using 3,6,8

$.50 Ticket:  $27

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  3,6,2,1 Dirt: 2,3,5,1 3

Race 9:  10,7,1,3 Dirt: 10,13,7,6 10

Race 10: 4,6,3 x

Race 11:  9,3,6,8

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Churchill Downs Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Thach 8-5                                 12 2nd $2.56
#3 Little Red Rifle 8-1                 11
#6 Command Central 5-2           10
#1 Hey Boss 8-1                              9 1st $9.30

Race 2:

#6 Minute Waltz 2-1                    28 1st $4.92
#3 Comedy Act 5-2                       27 4th
#1 Shaniah 3-1                              26 2nd $3.90
#2 Shell Shock 5-1                        25

Race 3:

#11 Twelve Sharp 10-1                 15
#4 Cupids Payday 5-1                   14 1st $13.38
#6 Ms Hayley 5-1                           14
#3 Tenacious Lady 10-1                13 3rd $5.04

Race 4:

#4 Runaway Magic 2-1                 28 2nd $2.56
#5 Undecoded 7-2                          27
#1 West Warpath 8-1                     26
#2 American Pure 3-1                    26 3rd $2.86

Race 5:

#10 Tapit’s Conquest 5-2              19 1st $5.60
#2 Prairie Dunes 3-1                      18 4th
#3 No Easy Days 15-1                     17
#5 Denington 7-2                            16

Race 6:

#6 Kavod 5-2                                    31 scratched
#2 Surveillance 3-1                         30 2nd $2.58
#4 O Besos 9-5                                 29 1st $3.56
#3 My Man Flintstone 12-1           28

Race 7:

#7 Curlins Incharge 10-1                19
#8 Desert Wolf 9-2                           18 2nd $4.14
#4 Game Warden 6-1                       17
#6 Recker Point 4-1                          17

Race 8:

#7 Strong Quality 7-2                      33 2nd $3.94
#1 Tepeu 3-1                                      32 4th
#4 The Prince’s Spur 10-1               31
#3 Tiz Rye Time 12-1                       30 3rd $5.16

Race 9:

#3 Fulsome 5-1                                 38
#10 Twilight Blue 12-1                    37
#2 Untreated 9-2                               36
#1 Speaker’s Corner 1-1                   36

Race 10:

#3 Happy Saver 5-2                          44 4th
#2 Art Collector 2-1                         42
#1 King Fury 15-1                             40 3rd
#5 Hot Rod Charlie 8-5                    38 1st

Race 11:

#7 Scarlet Stripe 5-2                         18 2nd $4.10
#3 One Time Mo 8-1                         18 3rd $2.98
#6 Bidofhoney 12-1                           17 scratched
#11 Delightof the Nile 10-1             16

Churchill Downs Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,3,6,1 1

Race 2:  6,3,1 6

Race 3:  11,4,6,3 4

Race 4:  4,5 x

Race 5:  10,2 10

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,3,1,2 6

Race 3:  11,4,6,3 4

Race 4:  4,5,1 x

Race 5:  10,2 10

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  4,5,1,2 x

Race 5:  10,2 10

Race 6:  6,2,4 8 *6 scratched using 2,4,3 4

Race 7:  7,8,4,6 x

Race 8:  7,1 x

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  10,2,3,5 10

Race 6:  6,2,4 *6 scratched using 2,4,3 4

Race 7:  7,8,4,6 x

Race 8:  7,1,4,3 x

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 6:

Race 6:  6,2,4 *6 scratched using 2,4,3 4

Race 7:  7,8,4,6 x

Race 8:  7,1,4,3 x

Race 9:  3,10,2,1 x

Race 10: 3,2 x

Race 11:  7,3

$.20 Ticket:  $153.60

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  7,8,4,6 x

Race 8:  7,1,4,3 x

Race 9:  3,10,2,1 x

Race 10: 3,2 x

Race 11:  7,3,6 *6 scratched using 7,3,11

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  7,1,4,3 x

Race 9:  3,10,2,1 x

Race 10: 3,2 x

Race 11:  7,3,6,11 *6 scratched using 7,3,11,12

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

September 30th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,394/17,365, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,847/17,365. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Super Quality 6-1                     16 4th
#7 Abundant Honor 8-5                16 1st $8.20
#5 North Pole 3-1                           15 3rd $2.10
#4 Fazaro 10-1                                14

Race 2:

#3 Mischievous Dream 3-1           32 3rd $2.90
#2 Lia Marina 4-1                           31
#7 Mail Order 2-1                           30 1st $7.60
#5 Stop War 8-1                              30 2nd $8.70

Race 3:

#7 Photon 5-2                                  17 2nd $4.40
#5 Latest Edition 6-1                      16 1st $21.40 Ex $123
#6 Succulent 3-1                              15
#2 Lem Me Drink 6-1                      14

Race 4:

#4 Actualize 2-1                               18 4th
#5 Grand Again 8-1                         16
#3 Sainthoodforbrian 8-1               15 3rd $4.10
#6 Upper Level 9-5                           15 2nd $3.80

Race 5:

#2 Stage Left 9-2                              34 4th
#6 Happy Farm 4-1                          33 2nd $5.60
#1 Saint Selby 9-5                            32
#4 Senbei 3-1                                    31

Race 6:

#4 Galatrona 8-1                               17
#10 Moonage Daydream 9-2          16 1st $6.10
#2 Fancypants Juliana 7-2              16 4th
#3 Follow the Fed 12-1                    15

Race 7:

#7 Runaway Rumour 9-2                  34 3rd
#4 Marvelous Maude 5-2                  33 2nd
#1 Classic Lady 6-1                            32
#2 Make Mischief 3-1                        32 4th

Race 8:

#4 Pioneer Spirit 10-1                        32
#3 Winter Pool 7-2                              31
#2 Locally Owned 3-1                         30
#5 American Tattoo (ARG) 7-2         30

Race 9:

#3 Parnac (FR) 4-1                              32
#1 Diamond Hands 4-1                      32
#5 Marketsegmentation 3-1              32
#8 Unruly Julie 15-1                            31

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,7,5,4 7

Race 2:  3,2,7 7

Race 3:  7,5,6 5

Race 4:  4,5,3,6 x

Race 5:  2,6 x

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,2,7,5 7

Race 3:  7,5,6,2 5

Race 4:  4,5,3,6 x

Race 5:  2,6,1 x

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 6:

Race 4:  4,5,3,6 x

Race 5:  2,6,1 x

Race 6:  4,10,2 10

Race 7:  7,4

Race 8:  4,3 *4 scratched using 3,2

Race 9:  3

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  2,6,1 x

Race 6:  4,10,2,3 10

Race 7:  7,4,1

Race 8:  4,3,2 *4 scratched using 3,2,5

Race 9:  3,1

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  4,10,2,3 1o

Race 7:  7,4,1,2

Race 8:  4,3,2 *4 scratched using 3,2,5

Race 9:  3,1,5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

September 29th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,391/17,356, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,843/17,356. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Clairarific 9-2                          17
#2 Alessia 5-2                               17
#1 Firewolves 2-1                         16 4th
#6 Funny How 7-2                        15 1st $16.00

Race 2:

#6 Rocket’s Red Glare 6-5         18 2nd $2.10
#7 Java Buzz 5-2                          17 1st $6.40
#3 Smoke and Heat 3-1              16
#2 Chucka Moon 8-1                   15 3rd $3.00

Race 3:

#4 Artic Arrogance 4-5               31 2nd $2.80
#3 Donegal Surges 7-5                29 3rd $2.10
#2 Blame It On Daddy 6-1          27 4th
#1 General Banker 10-1              27

Race 4:

#2 Viradia 8-5                                28 2nd $2.50
#2b Alpine Queen 8-5                  27 3rd 
#5 Prairie Fire 7-2                         27
#4 Daily Briefing 10-1                  26

Race 5:

#6 Nobilis 2-1                                 18
#3 Wanna Winna 10-1                  17
#1 Inspector 5-2                             16 4th
#5 Canarsie 4-1                               16 1st $13.60

Race 6:

#8 Ready To Venture (GB) 7-2      33
#7 Fouette 4-1                                 32 4th
#5 Hit the Woah 3-1                       31 3rd $2.40
#2 Keeper of Time (IRE) 6-1         30 2nd $5.40

Race 7:

#5 Therapist 5-1                               35
#4 Starting Over 15-1                      34
#1 Big Everest (GB) 7-2                    33 1st $7.20
#3 Anaconda 10-1                             32 3rd $6.00

Race 8:

#6 Up to the Mark 3-1                      33
#3 Golden Alchemist 5-2                 32
#5 Gasoline 7-2                                  31
#9 Winit 9-2                                        31

Race 9:

#1 West Star 8-1                                 18
#11 Uncle Marty 7-2                          17
#8 Leftembehind 8-1                         16
#3 Looms Boldly 6-1                          15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,2,1,6 6

Race 2:  6,7,3 7

Race 3:  4,3 x

Race 4:  2/2b x

Race 5:  6,3,1 x

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,7,3,2 7

Race 3:  4,3 x

Race 4:  2/2b x

Race 5:  6,3,1,5 5

$.50 Ticket:  $16

Pick 6:

Race 4:  2/2b x

Race 5:  6,3,1 x

Race 6:  8,7,5 x

Race 7:  5,4,1 1

Race 8:  6,3

Race 9:  1,11,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  6,3,1,5 5

Race 6:  8,7,5 x

Race 7:  5,4,1,3 1

Race 8:  6,3

Race 9:  1,11,8,3

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  8,7,5,2 x

Race 7:  5,4,1 1

Race 8:  6,3,5

Race 9:  1,11,8,3

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

September 25th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,384/17,346, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,840/17,346. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Check back Wednesday for Thursday’s Aqueduct Picks/Plays…

September 24th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,364/17,322, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,827/17,322. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Parx Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Excursionniste 2-1                16 1st $8.60
#8 Silent Running 3-1                15
#1 Dreampoint 5-2                      15 3rd $2.60
#5 Uragano 4-1                             14 4th

Race 2:

#7 Kinetic Sky 7-5                        29 1st $3.20 Dbl $19
#3 Arrio 6-1                                   28
#5 Corkman 5-2                            27 2nd $3.40
#4 Spectatorless 12-1                  26 3rd $4.40

Race 3:

#5 Kalifornia Queen (GER) 6-5  34 3rd $2.20
#3 Love And Thunder (IRE) 5-2 33 1st $4.00
#1 In a Hurry 5-2                           32
#4 Tass 12-1                                    31 4th

Race 4:

#3 Funny Joke 8-5                          28 3rd $2.40
#5 Printrack 5-1                              27 1st $23.00
#2 Hagler 6-1                                   27
#6 Be the Boss 9-2                          26 2nd $4.10

Race 5:

#4 Let Her Inspire U 8-5               29 1st $3.20
#6 Sunset Louise 4-1                     28 2nd $3.80 Ex $12.40
#1 Bustin Bay 7-2                           27 4th
#3 Sister Linda 9-2                         27

Race 6:

#6 Happy Cat 10-1                         18
#5 Rutherford 6-1                           17 4th
#2 Global Surprise 5-2                   17
#4 Nagirroc 7-2                                16 1st $13.00

Race 7:

#6 Cathedral Beach 3-1                  29 2nd $2.70
#4 Leddy 5-1                                     28 1st $6.10 Ex $14.40
#7 Drink the Wind 5-2                    27 3rd $2.80 Tri $37.80
#1 Catching Cupid 10-1                  26

Race 8:

#4 Transactional (GB) 5-2               33
#3 Celestial City 2-1                         33 1st $6.90
#1a Hilliard 9-2                                  32
#2 Danzigwiththestars 6-1              31 2nd $4.70

Race 9:

#3 Nicky the Vest 6-1                        34
#7 Key Point 5-2                                 33 3rd $2.70
#2 Best Idea 3-1                                  32 4th
#8 Montebello 5-1                              31

Race 10:

#5 City Man 7-5                                  36 1st $4.20
#6 Sanctuary City 7-2                        35 2nd $4.10 Ex $17.80
#4 Cross Border 9-2                           35
#2 Jerry the Nipper 3-1                     33 4th

Race 11:

#5 Capital Gal 2-1                               16 1st $5.50 Dbl $11.60
#11 Latest Edition 5-2 AE                 15 scratched
#9 Oak Loves a Fight 4-1                   14 3rd $2.60
#2 Frosty Invasion 20-1                     13
#3 Jannie Mae 8-1                               13 2nd $5.30

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,8,1,5 6

Race 2:  7,3,5 7

Race 3:  5,3 3

Race 4:  3,5,2 5

Race 5:  4,6,1 4

$.50 Ticket:  $108 $224

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,3,5,4 7

Race 3:  5,3,1 3

Race 4:  3,5,2 5

Race 5:  4,6,1 4

$.50 Ticket:  $54 $40.62

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  3,5,2,6 5

Race 5:  4,6,1 4

Race 6:  6,5,2 x

Race 7:  6,4,7 4

Race 8:  4,3 3

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 6:

Race 6:  6,5,2,4 4

Race 7:  6,4,7 4

Race 8:  4 x

Race 9:  3,7 x

Race 10: 5

Race 11:  5,11,9 *11 scratched using 5,9,2 5

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  6,4,7 4

Race 8:  4,3 3

Race 9:  3,7,2 x

Race 10: 5,6,4 5

Race 11:  5,11,9 *11 scratched using 5,9,2 5

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  4.3 3

Race 9:  3,7,2,8 x

Race 10: 5,6,4,2 5

Race 11:  5,11,9,2 5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Parx Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#9 Tuskegee Airmen 5-1              19 1st $7.80
#12 Didinger 7-2                            18 2nd $3.00 Ex $23
#2 All Eyes On You 6-1                 18
#5 Checkitup 6-1                            17

Race 2:

#14 Rosie’s Alibi 9-2                       17 1st $4.20
#10 Foggy Night 7-2                       16 2nd $3.80 Ex $16.80
#7 Sandy Q 8-1                                15 Dbl $36
#1 Por Una Cabeza 8-1                   15 3rd $3.60

Race 3:

#5 Lookin At Roses 5-1                   29 scratched
#7 Malibu Star 6-1                           28 4th
#10 Exit Right 3-1                            28
#2 Eloquist 12-1                                27 1st $20.20

Race 4:

#5 Flor de Sombra 8-5                     29 3rd $2.20
#9 Marion Grace 4-1                        27 4th
#1 Midnight Parade 5-1                   26 1st $12.60
#2 Pachelbel 8-1                                26 2nd $10.80 Spr $310.40

Race 5:

#6 Gordian Knot 2-1                         30 1st $2.80
#4 Ninetyprcentmaddie 9-5            29 scratched
#9 In Spades 5-1                                27
#2 Keithsendshelloooo 8-1              26 2nd $3.40

Race 6:

#8 Leader of the Band 9-5                34 2nd $2.10
#3 Love in the Air 4-1                        32 1st $7.60 Ex $13
#1 Chub Wagon 2-1                            31
#4 Midnight Obsession 6-1               29 4th

Race 7:

#5 Too Boss 9-2                                  35
#8 Derby House 5-1                           34
#2 Mind Control 6-5                          33 1st $3.20
#4 Far Mo Power 6-1                          33 2nd $6.40

Race 8:

#8 Fearless 6-5                                    37
#7 The Reds 5-1                                  35
#5 Riden With Biden 8-1                   33 1st $19.20
#3 Magic Michael 4-1                         32 2nd $7.00

Race 9:

#4 Nothing Better 4-1                        34 scratched
#1 That’s Right 3-1                             33 1st $7.40
#5 Uncle Ernie 8-1                              32
#7 Boat’s a Rockin 10-1                      31 2nd $6.00

Race 10:

#3 Provocateur 4-1                             33
#9 Runninsonofagun 6-1                   32 3rd $4.00
#11 Nakatomi 9-2                                32 4th
#2 Of a Revolution 6-1                        31 2nd $6.80

Race 11:

#7 Shahama 8-1                                  35
#1 Green Up 6-1                                  34 4th
#6 Secret Oath 2-1                              34 3rd $3.00
#9 Society 8-1                                      33 1st $17.60

Race 12:

#8 Taiba 5-2                                         38 1st $4.80
#5 Cyberknife 3-1                                37 3rd $3.00
#6 We the People 12-1                        35
#1 Zandon 5-1                                      34 2nd $3.80

Race 13:

#1 Buy Land and See 5-2                    33 1st $3.80
#3 Irish Cork 12-1                                32
#8 Crisper 8-1                                       31 3rd $4.40
#7 You Must Chill 3-1                          31 4th

Parx Plays

Early Pick 4:

Race 1:  9,12,2,5 9

Race 2:  14,10,7,1 14

Race 3:  5,7,10 x

Race 4:  5,9 x

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  5,7,10,2 2

Race 4:  5,9,1 1

Race 5:  6,4 6

Race 6:  8,3,1,4 3

$.50 Ticket:  $48 $190

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  6,4,9,2 6

Race 6:  8,3,1,4 3

Race 7:  5,8,2 2

Race 8:  8,7 x

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 4 (7-10):

Race 7:  5,8,2 2

Race 8:  8,7 x

Race 9:  4,1,5,7 1

Race 10: 3,9,11,2 x

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 5:

Race 9:  4,1,5,7 1

Race 10: 3,9,11,2 x

Race 11:  7,1,6,9 9

Race 12: 8,5 8

Race 13: 1,3,8,7 1

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 10:  3,9,11,2 x

Race 11:  7,1,6,9 9

Race 12:  8,5,6 8

Race 13:  1,3,8,7 1

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

September 23rd, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,359/17,313, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,821/17,313. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Hay Stack 9-5                           19 4th
#9 Invest Wisely 6-1                    19 3rd $6.20
#7 Agua Dulce (GB) 8-1               18
#10 Mademoisellejackie 8-1       18 2nd $7.70

Race 2:

#6 Dame Cinco 9-5                      29 1st $4.50
#7 Beautiful Karen 5-2                27 2nd $3.60 Ex $12.20
#1 Sweet as Sugar 7-2                  26
#2 Boss Cara 7-2                           25 3rd $2.60

Race 3:

#7 Ocean’s Reserve 8-5                19 2nd $3.30
#1 Today’s Flavor 6-5                   18
#5 Conquist 8-1                             17
#6 Baldizar 12-1                            16 1st $23.00

Race 4:

#6 Majority Partner 5-1                 31 2nd $7.30
#3 Excellent Timing 7-2                30
#8 Big Engine 8-1                           29 1st $21.80
#1 Who Hoo Thats Me 5-2            28 3rd $2.70

Race 5:

#9 Signal From Noise 7-2              20 2nd $3.30
#3 Tizzy in the Sky 2-1                  19 1st $4.50 Ex $12.60
#6 Inventing 5-2                             19 3rd $2.70 Tri $36.60
#2 Beachfront Bid 10-1                  18 4th Spr $158.40

Race 6:

#9 Fire King 4-1                               17
#4 Eye Witness 3-1                          16 3rd $4.20
#2 Twenty Six Black 9-2                 15 scratched
#7 Dr. Settle’s Dream 10-1             15 1st $27.00

Race 7:

#7 Orchestration 5-2                       33 2nd $3.30
#4 C Falls 8-1                                     32
#3 Mo Rewards 6-1                           31
#8 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 7-2        31 1st $13.80

Race 8:

#7 Miracle 2-1                                   29 2nd $2.50
#2 Security Code 3-1                        28 4th
#6 Gambling Girl 7-2                        27 1st $8.50
#1 Small Pebbles 15-1                      27

Race 9:

#6 Saratoga Gaze 4-1                        29
#4 Aunt Virgina 6-1                          28
#10 Busy Morning 5-2                      28
#2 Lisa’s Vision 9-2                           27 2nd $9.60

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,9,7,10 x

Race 2:  6,7,1 6

Race 3:  7,1 x

Race 4:  6,3,8 8

Race 5:  9,3,6 3

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,7,1 6

Race 3:  7,1 x

Race 4:  6,3,8,1 8

Race 5:  9,3,6,2 3

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 4:  6,3,8,1 8

Race 5:  9,3,6 3

Race 6:  9,4,2 *2 scratched using 9,4,7 7

Race 7:  7 x

Race 8:  7 x

Race 9:  6,4 *4 scratched using 6,10 x

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  9,3,6,2 3

Race 6:  9,4,2,7 7

Race 7:  7,4,3 x

Race 8:  7,2 x

Race 9:  6,4,10 *4 scratched using 6,10,2 x

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  9,4,2,7 7

Race 7:  7,4,3,8 8

Race 8:  7,2,6 6

Race 9:  6,4,10 *4 scratched using 6,10,2 x

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

September 22nd, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,352/17,304, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,815/17,304. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Personal Pursuit 8-1                18 1st $8.20
#5 Caly Bali 4-1                              18
#10 Quarrel 12-1                            17 2nd $5.50
#3 Galileo’s Jewel (IRE) 6-1          16 scratched

Dirt Selections

Leaving as is…

Race 2:

#5 Monshun 9-5                             28 1st $4.30
#4 Run Up the Score 5-2               27 3rd $2.90 Dbl $25
#1 Preposterous 4-1                      26
#6 Belarus 6-1                                 26 4th

Race 3:

#6 Rocky Sky (IRE) 7-5                 32
#3 Wicked Groove 5-2                  31
#2 Creative Cairo 9-2                    30
#4 Community Adjusted 4-1       30

Dirt Selections

#7 Baby Man 1-1 1st $4.00 Pk 3 $52.50

Race 4:

#2 With Know Name 3-1              15 1st $5.60 Dbl $19.80
#9 Fast Study 8-1                           14 Pk 3 $36.60
#4 Saratoga Banker 5-1                14
#6 Central Love 10-1                     13 2nd $10.40

Race 5:

#5 Stonewall Star 7-2                    16 1st $6.30 Dbl $31.80
#1 Three Unions 8-1                      15 4th Pk 3 $93.50
#2 La Conquistadora 8-1               15
#8 Sweet Liberty 12-1                    14

Race 6:

#5 Deep Cover 9-2                           31
#1 Not Phar Now 5-2                      30
#8 Swashbuckle 6-1                        29
#9 Battle Station 6-1                      28

Dirt Selections

#12 Majority Partner 5-2 scratched
#11 Quickflash 6-1 3rd $2.40
#10 Unique Unions 9-2 scratched
#13 Foolish Ghost 2-1 scratched
#1 Not Phar Now 5-2  4th

Race 7:

#5 Dreamful 2-1                               30
#1 Quaria Thunder 8-1                   29
#10 Tapple Cider 10-1                     28
#7 Ocean Air 5-2                               28

Dirt Selections

#14 Spooky Road 5-1 3rd $3.70
#4 Maybe Later 6-1
#13 Kerik 6-1 1st $24.60
#12 Raffinity 8-1 2nd $22.20

Race 8:

#3 To a T 2-1                                      29 2nd $2.70
#6 Mosienko 7-5                                28 1st $3.60 Ex $11
#2 Snicket 4-1                                    27 3rd $2.60 Tri $29
#5 Chloe Rose 12-1                           26

Race 9:

#2 Spicy Ginger 5-1                          16
#10 Divine Wine 8-1                         15
#6 Temerity 15-1                               15
#5 Diamant Damhsa (IRE) 6-1        14

Dirt Selections

#14 Afilada 6-1
#1 Always Connected 9-2
#3 Mostly Harmless 10-1
#13 She’s Awesome 8-1 2nd $19.20

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,5,10,3 Dirt: as is 6

Race 2:  5,4 5

Race 3:  6,3,2 Dirt: 7 7

Race 4:  2,9,4 2

Race 5:  5,1,2 5

$.50 Ticket:  $27 $159.75

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,4 5

Race 3:  6,3,2,4 Dirt:7 7

Race 4:  2,9,4,6 2

Race 5:  5,1,2,8 5

$.50 Ticket:  $16 $49.12

Pick 6:

Race 4:  2,9,4 2

Race 5:  5,1,2

Race 6:  5,1 Dirt: 11,1 x

Race 7:  5 Dirt: 14 x

Race 8:  3,6 6

Race 9:  2,10,6 Dirt: 14,1,3 x

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  5,1,2,8

Race 6:  5,1,8 Dirt: 11,1 x

Race 7:  5,1 Dirt: 14 x

Race 8:  3,6,2 6

Race 9:  2,10,6,5 Dirt: 14,1,3,13 x

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  5,1,8 Dirt: 11,1 x

Race 7:  5,1,10,7 Dirt: 14,4,13,12 13

Race 8:  3,6 6

Race 9:  2,10,6,5 Dirt: 14,1,3,13 x

$.50 Ticket:  $32

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

September 18th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,345/17,294, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,809/17,294. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Check back Wednesday for Thursday’s Aqueduct Picks/Plays…

September 17th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,330/17,272, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,799/17,272. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#8 A Royal Shin 6-1                       17
#6 Souffle 9-5                                 17 4th
#9 Fleetfooted 8-1                         16 1st $11.40
#4 Red Butterfly 6-1                      16 2nd $13.20

Race 2:

#2 Bronx Bomber 9-5                    29 4th
#6 Alcools 1-1                                 28 2nd $2.40
#4 Jemography 4-1                         27 1st $9.70
#1 Long Term Thinking 10-1       26 3rd $3.90 Spr $85

Race 3:

#9 Aruba 5-1                                     19 4th
#1 Indemnify 7-5                             19 3rd $2.20
#2 Bobbie D (IRE) 4-1                     18
#10 Siege of Boston 5-1                  17 2nd $6.50

Race 4:

#8 Its All Relevant 7-5                   30 2nd $3.10
#1 Kumar 7-2                                   28
#5 Lil Commissioner 9-2               27
#6 Dark Storm 6-1                          26 1st $20.00

Race 5:

#8 Amedeus Music 9-2                   28
#5 Once a Giant 5-2                        27 scratched
#3 Umbria 9-5                                  27 1st $3.70
#4 Lucky Brody 4-1                         26

Race 6:

#4 Spun Special 8-1                        19 *Best Bet 3rd $3.80
#3 Padma 9-5                                   19 1st $3.90
#8 Candy Strike 6-1                         18
#5 Binsky 5-1                                    18

Race 7:

#4 Toskana Belle (FR) 7-2              34 2nd $3.10
#1 McKulick 4-5                               33 1st $3.60
#6 Beside Herself 4-1                      32 4th
#3 Canisy 8-1                                    31

Race 8:

#1 King Angelo 3-1                          32 scratched
#8 Gianni Lambo 8-1                       31 2nd $5.60
#3 Outlaw Kid 6-1                            30 1st $10.20 Ex $84
#4 Phantom Smoke 7-2                   30

Race 9:

#7 Expressman 2-5                           34 2nd $2.20
#2 Mackillop 6-1                               30
#5 Nabokov 6-1                                 29 1st $18.00
#3 Dot’s Dollar 15-1                         28 4th

Race 10:

#3 Nations Pride 1-1                        36 1st $3.10
#4 The Grey Wizard (IRE) 8-1        32 2nd $6.10 Ex $33.40
#1 Classic Causeway 2-1                  32 3rd $2.40 Tri $92
#6 Ardakan (GB) 4-1                         31 4th Spr $137

Race 11:

#4 Shinful 9-2                                   16 2nd $4.90
#8 Royal Dancer 7-5                         16 1st $3.30 Ex $11
#9 Ard Macha 8-1                             15 3rd $3.10 Tri $35.60
#2 Aleste 8-1                                     15 4th Spr $162.40

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  8,6,9,4 9

Race 2:  2,6,4 4

Race 3:  9,1,2 x

Race 4:  8,1 x

Race 5:  8,5,3 *5 scratched using 8,3,4 3

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,6 x

Race 3:  9,1,2,10 x

Race 4:  8,1,5 x

Race 5:  8,5,3,4 *5 scratched using 8,3,4,7 3

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  8,1,5 x

Race 5:  8,5,3 *5 scratched using 8,3,4 3

Race 6:  4,3,8,5 *5 scratched using 4,3,8,7 3

Race 7:  4,1 1

Race 8:  1,8,3 *1 scratched using 8,3,4 3

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 6:

Race 6:  4,3,8,5 *5 scratched using 4,3,8,7 3

Race 7:  4,1 1

Race 8:  1,8,3 *1 scratched using 8,3,4 3

Race 9:  7 x

Race 10: 3

Race 11:  4,8,9,2 8

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  4,1,6 1

Race 8:  1,8,3,4 3

Race 9:  7,2 x

Race 10: 3,4 3

Race 11:  4,8,9,2 8

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  1,8,3,4 3

Race 9:  7,2 x

Race 10: 3,4,1 3

Race 11:  4,8,9,2 8

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Churchill Downs Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Conspiracy Fact 6-1                 15 4th
#5 Big Woo 6-1                               14
#8 Star Entertainer 8-1                 13 3rd $4.64
#9 Pistol Or Shotgun 9-2              13

Race 2:

#7 Peacock Lass 12-1                     17 1st $14.46
#1 Comparative 5-2                        16 3rd $3.84
#5 Tiny Temper 4-1                        15 2nd $4.26 Tri $197.72
#10 Sweet Sweetfantasy 15-1       15

Race 3:

#5 Pledgeofallegiance 9-2            31 3rd $3.22
#1 Nepotism 3-1                             29
#8 Miacomet 4-1                             28
#7 Winterwood 12-1                       27 1st $62.96

Race 4:

#9 Luv Dragon 7-2                           19 4th
#10 Sinfiltre 3-1                               18
#6 Beyond Perfection 12-1             16
#1 Sweet Lady Ivanka 4-1               15 3rd $4.12

Race 5:

#6 Kupp 8-1                                       20
#5 Loggins 3-1                                   20 1st $3.84
#10 Easy Action 10-1                       19 2nd $5.22
#12 Create Trouble 6-1                    18

Race 6:

#9 Pro Oxidant 5-1                          31 4th
#12 Gulfstream Way 6-1                 30 2nd $4.36
#11 Olliemeister 15-1                     29
#1 Film Star 4-1                                28 3rd $6.42

Race 7:

#4 Bell’s the One 6-5                       35 1st $3.08
#5 Club Car 5-1                                 34 scratched
#2 Joyful Cadence 7-2                      33 2nd
#1 Sconsin 8-5                                   33 3rd

Race 8:

#3 Crazy Beautiful 9-5                     36 2nd $3.34
#5 Played Hard 2-1                           35 1st $6.24 Ex $15.08
#2 Envoutante 5-2                            34
#4 Li’l Tootsie 8-1                             32 3rd $3.08

Race 9:

#9 Echo Again 2-1                             33 *Best Bet
#3 Damon’s Mound 5-2                   32
#5 Curly Jack 5-1                               30 1st $23.66
#1 Hayes Strike 12-1                         28 4th

Race 10:

#6 Isolate 7-5                                    37 2nd $3.20
#5 Miles Ahead 6-1                          35 1st $7.46 Ex $24.24
#4 Necker Island 5-2                        34 3rd $2.40 Tri $49.58
#2 A C Expressway 8-1                     32

Race 11:

#3 Naughty Gal 5-1                          31
#5 Grand Love 9-2                            30 3rd $2.94
#9 Jet Setting 8-1                              28
#11 Justa Warrior 4-1                       28

Churchill Downs Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,5,8,9 x

Race 2:  7,1,5 7

Race 3:  5,1,8 x

Race 4:  9,10 x

Race 5:  6,5,10,12 5

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,1,5,10 7

Race 3:  5,1,8,7 7

Race 4:  9,10 x

Race 5:  6,5,10,12 5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5:

Race 4:  9,10,6,1 x

Race 5:  6,5,10,12 5

Race 6:  9,12,11,1 x

Race 7:  4

Race 8:  3,5 5

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  6,5,10,12 5

Race 6:  9,12,11,1 x

Race 7:  4,5 *5 scratched using 4,2 4

Race 8:  3,5,2 5

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 6:  9,12,11,1 x

Race 7:  4,5,2,1 4

Race 8:  3,5 5

Race 9:  9,3 x

Race 10: 6 x

Race 11: 3,5,9,11 x

$.20 Ticket:  $51.20

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  4,5,2,1 4

Race 8:  3,5,2 5

Race 9:  9,3 x

Race 10: 6,5 5

Race 11:  3,5,9 x

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  3,5,2 5

Race 9:  9,3,5 5

Race 10: 6,5,4 5

Race 11:  3,5,9 x

$.50 Ticket:  $40.50

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.