A Winning Day at the Races!

Monthly Archives: April 2021

May 1st , 2021 Daily Picks

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May 1st , 2021 Today’s Plays

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May 1st , 2021 Stakes

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May 1st , 2021 Daily Comments

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May 1st , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9415/14261, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6285/14261. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Going forward Picks/Plays will remain free on weekdays and posted here…Weekends will require the purchase of a One or Two Day/Weekend Pass…

*For Full Card Saturday Churchill Downs/Kentucky Derby and Belmont Park Pick/Plays visit the “Membership” Page for a One Day Pass

Belmont Park

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#3 Apex Predator 5-1                       26
#8 Spitball 7-2                                   25
#10 Future Book 8-1                        24
#2 Wardenofthenorth 5-2               24 3rd $3.10

Race 2 :

#4 Yes and Yes 5-2                            28 3rd $3.10
#5 The Right Path 8-1                      27
#6 Artemus Citylimits 5-1               26 1st $13.00
#1 Perceived 9-2                                25 2nd $6.00

Race 11 :

#5 Lemon Taffy 4-1                            15
#4 Exfiltration 6-1                              14
#12 Bewps 6-1                                     13
#2 Emma and I 10-1                           12

Churchill Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Santos Dumont 7-2                      30 scratched
#8 Randello 12-1                                29
#4 Cool Bobby 3-1                              292nd $3.40
#9 Ekati’s Verve 6-1                           28

Race 2 :

#10 Elle Est Forte 3-1                         18
#5 Texas Shuffle 15-1                         18 3rd $11.20
#12 The Ginger Queen (IRE) 9-2      17
#4 Surrealist 12-1                                17 2nd $11.00

Race 14 :

#1 Bagboss 4-1                                      19
#10 Gun Lap 10-1                                 18
#8 K C Rocket 6-1                                 18
#5 Happy Hepo 6-1                               17

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

April 30th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9401/14239, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6276/14239. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Going forward Picks/Plays will remain free on weekdays and posted here…Weekends will require the purchase of a One or Two Day/Weekend Pass…

*To get full Belmont and Churchill Downs Friday and Saturday Picks/Plays , analysis , and Kentucky Derby/Oaks coverage visit the “Membership” Page to Purchase a Derby Weekend Pass…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#6 Hey It’s Tati 2-1                        27 4th
#9 Tourrista 15-1                           26
#8 Empress Luciana 6-1               25
#3 Scaterra 30-1                             25 scratched

Race 5 :

#11 Kept Waiting 2-1                     29 1st $4.80
#7 Out First 10-1                            29 3rd $5.40
#8 Moana’s Tale 4-1                       28
#1 Big Time Lady 5-2                     28

Race 8 :

#3 Union Gables 4-1                       31
#8 Minaun (IRE) 2-1                       30 1st $4.00
#6 Magical Soul 9-2                        30
#1 Rivendell 8-1                               29 2nd $7.10

Churchill Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#6 Mucho Macho Momma 8-1      29 2nd $3.40
#4 Powder River 7-2                        28 1st $12.60
#1 Favorite Sin 5-2                          28 4th Ex $37.60
#5 Bayshore Foxes 4-1                    27

Race 5 :

#7 Big Dreaming 10-1                     33
#9 Fighting Seabee 8-1                   31
#4 Ever Dangerous 5-1                    31 3rd $3.00
#10 Spooky Channel 4-1                 30 2nd $4.80

Race 13 :

#10 Played Hard 9-2                         18
#6 Only Kidding 8-1                         17
#2 Liberty Isle 9-2                             16
#11 Callen’s Charisma 4-1              16

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

April 30th , 2021 Daily Picks

To access this content, you must purchase Saratoga Day Pass, Saratoga Meet Pass or Saratoga Two Day/Weekend Pass, or log in if you are a member.

April 30th , 2021 Today’s Plays

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April 30th , 2021 Daily Comments

To access this content, you must purchase Saratoga Day Pass, Saratoga Meet Pass or Saratoga Two Day/Weekend Pass, or log in if you are a member.

April 30th , 2021 Stakes

To access this content, you must purchase Saratoga Day Pass, Saratoga Meet Pass or Saratoga Two Day/Weekend Pass, or log in if you are a member.