November 22nd , 2017 Free Picks & Plays

• November 21, 2017
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks will appear in this space daily, to get full card picks and plays, comments, and stakes analysis, please visit the member area.

*Updated stats as of 11/01/17 , since website was launched July of 2016 :

• Winner in top three picks 67% of the time 2496/3734.
• Top Choice finishing 1st or 2nd 44% of the time 1657/3734.

*Update 8:50, all races are off the turf at Aqueduct, will adjust after changes are available.

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :          Strength Variable :

#2 Souperfast 8-5                               28
#4 Tiznoble 10-1                                 26
#6 Lewis Vale 5-2                                25
#5 Tusk 7-2                                           24

Off-Turf :

Leaving as is.

Race 4 :

#3 Tap Tap Taparoo 5-2                      24
#4 Honored Promise 8-1                     22
#1a Great Reward 10-1                        20
#9 Glossy 4-1                                         19

Off-Turf :

#3 Tap Tap Taparoo 5-2
#1 Elevenses 10-1
#5 Nevisian Spirit 5-1
#6 No deal 7-2

Race 8 :

#2 Not in Charge 5-2                              28
#1 Astounding 5-1                                  25
#7 Focus Group 7-2                                 24
#4 Shahroze (IRE) 2-1                             23

Off-Turf :

#1 Astounding 5-1
#4 Shahroze (IRE) 2-1
#3 Altar Boy 8-1
#6 Iggy Loco 20-1

Race 9 :

#9 Grand Valour 3-1                                 26
#5 Minus Two 10-1                                   24
#8 Givetheman a Cigar 6-1                      23
#4 Run for Boston 5-1                               21

Off-Turf :

#8 Givetheman a Cigar 6-1
#13 Quai Voltaire 5-1
#5 Minus Two 10-1
#4 Run for Boston 5-1

Aqueduct Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  1,5,6,3 off-turf : 5,8,7,2

Race 7 :  2,6,3,7

Race 8 :  2,1 off-turf : 1,4

Race 9 :  9,5,8,4 off-turf : 8,13,5,4

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Churchill Selections

Race 4 :

#5 Darlon’s Dream 8-5                                22
#8 Twilight Appeal 2-1                                19
#9 Stay Spicy 8-1                                           17
#4 North Princess 10-1                                 14

Race 5 :

#8 Shakedown 4-1                                         19
#9 Papa Caliente 9-2                                     17
#11 Decision Time 8-1                                  16
#10 Tizpure 6-1                                              14

Race 7 :

#7 Touch of Bling 4-1                                    33
#10 Excessivespending 5-2                           32
#4 Spellker 6-1                                                 30
#3 Childhood 5-1                                             28

Race 9 :

#2 Bee Jersey 5-2                                               27
#1 Class Won 10-1                                             25
#3 Because It’s Time 6-1                                  25
#6 Adulation 4-1                                                23

Churchill Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  7,10,4,3

Race 8 :  7,2,3,6

Race 9 :  2,1,3,6

Race 10 : 8,5

$.50 Ticket :  $64

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.