September 23rd, 2017 Free Picks & Plays

• September 22, 2017
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free picks will appear in this space daily, to get full card picks and plays, comments, and stakes analysis, please visit the member area.

*Updated Stats as of 9/10, since website was launched last July :

• Winner in top three picks 67% of the time 2140/3196.
• Top Choice finishing 1st or 2nd 44% of the time 1416/3196.

Belmont Selections

Race 3 :         Strength Variable :

#4 Time and Motion 5-2                  39
#1 Celestine 4-1                                 37
#5 Off Limits (IRE) 2-1                     35
#2 Sassy Little Lila 5-2                      35

Race 4 :

#4 Guick 2-1                                        26
#3 Bar None 3-1                                  25
#6 Curtis 7-2                                        22
#2 The Orphan Miracle 10-1            18

Race 5 :

#1 Tommy T 8-5                                 28
#6 Commandeering 7-2                    25
#3 Eight Town 6-1                              22
#7 Via Castagna 20-1                         18

Race 9 :

#5 Sharp Azteca 4-5                          42
#1 Tom’s Ready 8-1                           36
#4 Divining Rod 2-1                           35
#6 Bird Song 12-1                               30

Belmont Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 : 2,1,12,8

Race 8 : 3,7,10,2

Race 9 : 5,1

Race 10 : 10,6,5,12

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Parx Selections

Race 4 :

#7 Hidden Mystery 5-2                       27
#4 Toby Girl 3-1                                    25
#1 Filibustin 12-1                                 23
#9 Rosie P 6-1                                        22

Race 8 :

#6 Mr. Jordan 4-1                                34
#9 Just Call Kenny 9-2                        34
#2 Donegal Moon 4-1                         33
#4 Matt King Coal 3-1                         32

Race 9 :

#7 Excitations 5-2                                  34
#1 Petrov 2-1                                           32
#5 American Pastime 7-2                      30
#4 Running Mate 15-1                           29

Race 13 :

#2 Curious Cal 3-1                                27
#9 Irish Colonel 8-1                              24
#4 Pop Keenan 4-1                                22
#6 Cowboy Mz 8-1                                 20

Parx Pick 4 Races 8-11 :

Race 8 :  6,9,2,4

Race 9 :  7,1,5,4

Race 10 : 2,9,8,5

Race 11 : 4

$.50 Ticket :  $32

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.