September 28th , 2017 Free Picks & Plays

• September 27, 2017
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free picks will appear in this space daily, to get full card picks and plays, comments, and stakes analysis, please visit the member area.

*Updated Stats as of 9/10, since website was launched last July :

• Winner in top three picks 67% of the time 2140/3196.
• Top Choice finishing 1st or 2nd 44% of the time 1416/3196.

*Tracks covered Friday 9/29 through Sunday 10/1 will be Belmont and Santa Anita.

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :        Strength Variable :

#7 Honor Way 2-1                             30
#3 Wildcat Belle 3-1                          29
#1 Tarquinia 5-2                                 28
#6 Murrell’s Belle 12-1                       25

Race 2 :

#2 Factorial 2-1                                   29
#1 Sethary 7-2                                      27
#5 Le Pin (IRE) 5-2                              26
#7 Hit the Diamond 12-1                    22

Race 5 :

#5 Lamontagne 3-1                             29
#7 Sunnysammi 2-1                            29
#4 Vicki’s Dancer 5-1                          27
#2 Ready for Summer 5-1                   25

Belmont Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  1a,2,3,7

Race 7 :  1a,1x,6,8

Race 8 :  4,5

Race 9 :  1,4,7,9

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Churchill Downs Selections

Race 3 :

#7 Glennwood 6-5                                22
#9 Majestic Force 7-2                           19
#2 Miss You Jo 12-1                              14
#4 Rocky Roma 12-1                             12

Race 4 :

#8 Queenofthepalace (NZ) 5-2           28
#9 Eqho 6-1                                             27
#1 Maryblueeyes 3-1                              26
#3 Tiz Taken Back 30-1                          20

Race 5 :

#3 Palmilla Moon 6-1                            16
#4 Miz K 6-1                                            15
#9 Foxy Mischief 12-1                           15
#7 Lady Warrior 10-1                             12

Churchill Late Pick 4 :

Race 5 :  3,4,7,9

Race 6 :  4,5,9,10

Race 7 :  3,7

Race 8 :  7,8,9,10

$.50 Ticket :  $64

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.