April 12th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,873/22,883 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,581/22,883. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Late Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Aqueduct…$961 on a $72 ticket…

*Late Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Aqueduct…$417.25 on a $72 ticket…

*Middle Pick 4 for us last Sunday at Aqueduct…$1,096.50 on a $64 ticket…

*Late Pick 5 for us last Sunday at Aqueduct…$469.50 on a $64 ticket…

*No Picks Friday…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Boss Three O Two 5-2 26
#4 Persistent Danger 9-2 25 1st $12.00
#3 Bronx Bomber 5-1 25 3rd $3.80
#6 Thank You Jon 2-1 24 4th

Race 2:

#1 Bold Journey 7-2 35 4th
#4 Just Beat the Odds 7-5 34 2nd $2.30
#5 Surveillance 2-1 34 1st $7.40
#3 Ridgewood Runner 10-1 32

Race 3:

#4 Zeebear 9-5 27 3rd $2.20
#6 Whenlovetakesover 5-2 26 1st $7.40
#3 Perfect Flight 4-1 25
#2 Big Rich 6-1 24 4th

Race 4:

#4 She’s Complicated 1-1 16 1st $6.60
#6 Parade Ring (IRE) 4-1 15 4th
#2 Persuasive 15-1 13
#5 Wake Up Lauren 6-1 12 2nd $8.00

Race 5:

#4 Elysian Meadows 3-1 32 3rd $2.80
#2 Ten Cent Town 3-1 31 2nd $4.80
#1 Caldo Candy 9-5 31 4th
#3 Concorde Spirit 5-1 30

Race 6:

#1 Timaeus 7-2 29
#4 Scat Tu Tap 4-1 28 3rd $3.10
#3 Flat On 5-2 28
#1a Always Be Smart 7-2 27 scratched

Race 7:

#4 Headline Numbers 4-1 33 1st $4.90
#5 Fade to Grey 5-2 32 scratched
#1 Alpine Princess 4-5 32 2nd $2.10
#2 Catherine Wheel 6-1 30 scratched

Race 8:

#2 Quick Hammer 3-1 30 1st $6.50 Dbl $18.40
#7 High Tide 5-1 29 3rd $3.80
#1 Flat Out Flying 7-5 29 4th
#4 Allure of Money 15-1 27

Race 9:

#2 Antonio of Venice 7-2 33 scratched
#1 Master of Arms 4-1 32 2nd $3.50
#5 Quick to Accuse 7-5 32 3rd $2.20
#3 Eliminate 8-1 31 1st $20.80 Tri $208.48

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,4,3,6

Race 2: 1,4,5

Race 3: 4,6

Race 4: 4,6

Race 5: 4,2,1

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,4,5

Race 3: 4,6

Race 4: 4,6,2,5

Race 5: 4,2,1

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3: 4,6

Race 4: 4,6,2,5

Race 5: 4,2,1,3

Race 6: 1/1a,4,3

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 6:

Race 4: 4

Race 5: 4,2,1

Race 6: 1/1a,4,3

Race 7: 4,5,1

Race 8: 2,7

Race 9: 2,1,5 *2 scratched using 1,5,3

$1.00 Ticket: $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 4,2,1

Race 6: 1/1a,4,3

Race 7: 4,5,1

Race 8: 2,7,1

Race 9: 2,1,5 *2 scratched using 1,5,3

$.50 Ticket: $121.50

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 1/1a,4,3

Race 7: 4,5,1,2

Race 8: 2,7,1

Race 9: 2,1,5,3

$.50 Ticket: $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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