August 16th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• August 15, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,765/19,524, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,956/19,524. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…

*Wednesday’s Saratoga Full Card Picks & Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1a Speights Dance 10-1             17
#6 Once an Eagle 3-1                    16
#9 Grab the Glory 5-1                   16
#5 Run for Your Honey 9-2          15

Dirt Selections

#1a Speights Dance 10-1 scratched
#2 Bernietakescharge 6-1 1st $18.00
#5 Run for Your Honey 9-2 2nd $4.10 Ex $39.80
#6 Once an Eagle 3-1 3rd $3.00 Tri $165.48

Race 2:

#2 Don’t Tell Amy 3-1                16 3rd
#1 Dark Princess 2-1                   15 scratched
#6 Thestral 9-5                             14 1st $3.50
#5 Tres Chic (ARG) 6-1               13 scratched

Race 3:

#1 Suspended Campaign 6-5    28 4th
#7 Its Cold in Dehere 4-1           27 3rd
#6 Vitaemi 9-2                             27 scratched
#2 Timed Out 7-2                        26 scratched

Race 4:

#10 Proud Foot 5-1                     29
#8 Three Girls 6-1                       28
#5 World Traveler 7-2                 28
#1 Rum Runner Ready 8-1         27

Dirt Selections

#10 Proud Foot 5-1 2nd $3.30
#12 Shigeko 10-1 4th
#6 Need Some Money 12-1 1st $7.20
#11 Will Be Famous 6-1 3rd $4.60 Spr $632

Race 5:

#10 Unleash the Power 3-1         30
#4 Shinsun 4-1                              29 4th
#2 Lord Flintshire 8-1                  28 3rd $5.30
#1 Splendid Summer 10-1           28

Dirt Selections

#12 Chileno
#7 Jarreau 7-2
#8 Ghostlyprince 10-1
#11 Fight Fiercely 7-2

Race 6:

#7 Cupid’s Heart 9-5                   32 scratched
#8 Portage 7-2                               31 2nd $4.20
#3 Sa Foradada 8-1                      30 4th
#2 Mursal 15-1                              30 scratched

Race 7:

#7 South Street 1-1                      31
#9 Happy Bob 8-1                         29 2nd $6.70
#3 Freeze Pop 4-1                         28 scratched
#6 Boys Code 20-1                        27 3rd $5.90

Race 8:

#5 Silver Skillet 2-1                      30 1st $8.50
#7 Orange Freeze 5-1                   29 2nd $5.70 Ex $33
#4 Bernt Again 15-1                      28 3rd $5.00 Tri $220.48
#9 Snowy Evening 10-1                28

Dirt Selections

#11 Ichiban 5-2
#5 Silver Skillet 2-1
#10 Amanda’s Folly 9-5
#4 Bernt Again 15-1

Race 9:

#10 Beautifully Wicked 30-1       16
#8 Army of Thoughts 12-1           16
#1 Galatrona 5-1                            15
#4 Red Butterfly 7-2                       15

Dirt Selections

#11 Marley’s Ghost 2-1
#12 Knockzcatoffzfence 6-1
#8 Army of Thoughts 12-1
#2 Showemyourheels 2-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1a/1,6,9,5 Dirt: 1a/1,2,5,6 2

Race 2:  2,1 *1 scratched using 2,6 6

Race 3:  1,7 x

Race 4:  10,8,5 Dirt: 10,12,6 6

Race 5:  10,4,2 Dirt: 12,7,8 x

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,1,6 6

Race 3:  1,7,6 x

Race 4:  10,8,5,1 Dirt: 10,12,6,11 6

Race 5:  10,4,2 Dirt: 12,7,8 x

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  1,7 x

Race 4:  10,8,5,1 Dirt: 10,12,6,11 6

Race 5:  10,4,2,1 Dirt: 12,7,8,11 x

Race 6:  7,8,3,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  10,8,5,1 Dirt: 10,12,6,11 6

Race 5:  10,4,2,1 Dirt: 12,7,8,11 x

Race 6:  7,8 *7 scratched using 8,3

Race 7:  7

Race 8:  5 Dirt: 11

Race 9:  10,8,1,4 Dirt: 11,12,8,2 *2,8 scratched using 11,12,10,1/1a

$1.00 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  10,4,2,1 Dirt: 12,7,8,11 x

Race 6:  7,8,3

Race 7:  7,9,3

Race 8:  5,7 Dirt: 11,5

Race 9:  10,8,1,4 Dirt: 11,12,8,2 *2,8 scratched using 11,12,10,1/1a

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  7,8,3,2

Race 7:  7,9,3

Race 8:  5,7 Dirt: 11,5

Race 9:  10,8,1,4 Dirt: 11,12,8,2 *2,8 scratched using 11,12,10,1/1a

$.50 Ticket:  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.