August 29th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,957/21,428 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,868/21,428. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#9 Papa’s Nico Boy 8-1 16
#3 Replevin 8-1 15 2nd $5.90
#8 Correlation 5-2 15 scratched
#5 Jus Too Fly 7-2 14 1st $4.60

Race 2:

#4 Mon Petit Chou 6-1 27 2nd $3.60
#1 Awesome Annmarie 6-1 26 3rd $3.20
#7 Goldcrest 5-2 26 1st $4.60 Tri $74
#3 She Caught My Eye 3-1 25

Race 3:

#1 Evaluation 1-1 30
#5 Nolita 9-2 28 2nd $6.00
#2 Cruise to Catalina 7-2 27 1st $8.90
#7 Sweet Anniversary 4-1 26 4th

Race 4:

#4 Call Protection 7-2 17 1st $5.80
#5 Sandborn 4-1 16 4th
#1 Hurricane Express 5-1 15
#7 Steadfast Resolve 4-1 15 2nd $4.70

Race 5:

#4 It Takes Heart 6-1 28 4th
#8 Shesalittle Edgy 8-5 28
#3 Backed by Gold 10-1 27
#1 Hazardous Humor 8-1 26 2nd $9.50

Race 6:

#8 Noble Confessor 2-1 19
#9 T Kraft 3-1 18 4th
#3 Fiddling Felix 9-2 17
#7 Contrabandist 6-1 16

Race 7:

#4 Vintage Vino 9-2 18 2nd $4.60
#1 Right to Vote 8-1 17 1st $11.00 Ex $46
#2 Wheelhouse 9-2 17
#9 Inherent Promise 4-1 16 4th

Race 8:

#1a Afternoon Heat 8-5 29
#1 Chateau 8-5 28 4th
#9 Charging Aero 6-1 27 1st $26.80
#8 Emerald Forest 9-2 27

Race 9:

#1 Jaa Mode 3-1 29
#10 Bob John Ray 7-2 28
#9 Bad Larry 8-1 27
#8 Noonzio 5-1 27

Race 10:

#8 Cavallo Bay (GB) 3-1 32
#2 Without Caution 7-2 31
#7 Zulu Kingdom (IRE) 4-1 30
#3 Test Score 6-1 29

Race 11:

#2 Creditworthy 8-5 20
#10 Time and Tide 9-2 19
#6 Speed Figures 5-1 18
#3 Summer in Erin 6-1 18

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 9,3,8,5

Race 2: 4,1,7,3

Race 3: 1

Race 4: 4,5,1

Race 5: 4,8,3

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,1,7,3

Race 3: 1,5

Race 4: 4,5,1,7

Race 5: 4,8,3,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 4,5,1,7

Race 5: 4,8,3,1

Race 6: 8,9

Race 7: 4,1,2,9

Race 8: 1a/1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 4,8,3,1

Race 6: 8,9,3,7

Race 7: 4,1,2,9

Race 8: 1a/1,9

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 6: 8,9,3

Race 7: 4,1,2

Race 8: 1a/1

Race 9: 1,10

Race 10: 8,2

Race 11: 2,10

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 4,1,2,9

Race 8: 1a/1,9,8

Race 9: 1,10

Race 10: 8,2,7

Race 11: 2,10,6

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 1a/1,9

Race 9: 1,10,9,8

Race 10: 8,2,7,3

Race 11: 2,10,6,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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