August 3rd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• August 3, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,860/21,273 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,795/21,273. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*5 on top winners yesterday at Saratoga…

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#9 Asbury Park (GB) 9-2              20
#8 Assertiveness 7-2                     19
#4 Reach for the Rose 3-1            18
#3 Insubordination (IRE) 6-1      18

Dirt Selections

#8 Assertiveness 7-2 4th
#4 Reach for the Rose 3-1 1st $3.70
#2 Dew 20-1 3rd

Race 2:

#8 Friend Ofthe Devil 10-1          17
#3 Probability 5-2                          16
#5 Killybegs Kid 12-1                    15
#9 King’s Leap 6-1                         15

Race 3:

#3 Batucada 9-5                             31 scratched
#1 Deck of Cards 2-1                     30 1st $3.10
#5 Cinderella’s Cause 6-1            29 2nd $3.90
#7 I’m Buzzy 10-1                          28

Race 4:

#10 Midnight Concerto 3-1        29
#1 Red Burgundy 7-2                   28
#2 Dusk 8-1                                    27
#4 She Takes Cash 8-1                 27

Dirt Selections

#12 Call Her Bluff 2-1
#7 Elliptic 8-1
#3 Silent Melody 9-2
#4 She Takes Cash 8-1

Race 5:

#6 Classicist 3-1                           20
#5 Uncaged 6-1                             19
#3 Tiger Twenty Four 12-1         18
#1 C K Wonder 10-1                     18

Race 6:

#9 Antietam 4-1                           21
#6 Ripped 15-1                             20
#4 Praetor 5-2                              19
#2 Contrabandist 5-1                  19

Race 7:

#3 Legend of Time (GB) 7-2      35
#4 Diego Velazquez (IRE) 2-1   34
#8 White Palomino 8-1              33
#2 Cugino 3-1                               32

Race 8:

#4 Ways and Means 7-5             36
#1 Emery 5-2                               34
#2 Denim and Pearls 7-2           33
#5 My Mane Squeeze 5-1          32

Race 9:

#5 Big Everest (GB) 4-1             38
#9 More Than Looks 2-1           37
#2 Forever Souper 6-1               36
#4 Irish Aces 5-1                         35

Race 10:

#8 Grooms All Bizness 8-1       39
#6 Cogburn 4-5                           39
#3 Dancing Buck 12-1               38
#7 Big Invasion 12-1                  37

Race 11:

#1 Post Time 20-1                      41
#11 Arthur’s Ride 8-1                40
#3 National Treasure 9-5          40
#7 Crupi 15-1                               39

Race 12:

#5 Audacious 5-1                       33
#2 Striker Has Dial 5-2             32
#7 St. Benedicts Prep 4-1         31
#8 Nikitis 8-1                              31

Race 13:

#10 Reckoning Force 9-2         34
#1 Freedom Trail 7-2                33
#3 Capture the Flag 12-1         32
#4 Beuys (IRE) 6-1                     31

Dirt Selections

#15 Drake’s Passage 4-5
#14 Phileas Fogg 9-2
#5 Cyber Ninja 12-1
#12 Magical Ways 15-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  9,8,4,3 Dirt: 8,4,2

Race 2:  8,3,5,9

Race 3:  3,1 *3 scratched using 1,5

Race 4:  10,1 Dirt: 12,7

Race 5:  6,5,3

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  8,3,5,9

Race 3:  3,1 *3 scratched using 1,5

Race 4:  10,1,2,4 Dirt: 12,7,3,4

Race 5:  6,5,3,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  3,1,5 *3 scratched using 1,5,7

Race 4:  10,1,2,4 Dirt: 12,7,3,4

Race 5:  6,5

Race 6:  9,6,4,2

Race 7:  3,4

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  10,1 Dirt: 12,7

Race 5:  6,5,3,1

Race 6:  9,6,4,2

Race 7:  3,4

$.50 Ticket:  $32

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  6,5,3,1

Race 6:  9,6,4,2

Race 7:  3,4

Race 8:  4,1

Race 9:  5,9,2,4

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  9,6,4,2

Race 7:  3,4,8,2

Race 8:  4,1

Race 9:  5,9,2,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (7-11):

Race 7:  3,4,8,2

Race 8:  4,1,2

Race 9:  5,9,2,4

Race 10: 8,6

Race 11:  1,11,3

$.50 Ticket:   $144

Pick 6:

Race 8:  4

Race 9:  5,9,2

Race 10: 8,6,3,7

Race 11:  1,11,3,7

Race 12:  5,2

Race 13:  10,1 Dirt: 15,14

$1.00 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 5:

Race 9:  5,9,2,4

Race 10: 8,6,3 *3 scratched using 8,6,7

Race 11:  1,11,3,7

Race 12:  5,2,7

Race 13:  10,1 Dirt: 15,14

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 10:  8,6

Race 11:  1,11,3,7

Race 12:  5,2,7,8

Race 13:  10,1,3,4 Dirt: 15,14,5,12

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.