A Winning Day at the Races!

August 4th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,869/21,284 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,801/21,284. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*5 on top winners Friday at Saratoga

*Sunday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Ragtime 9-2                      19
#3 First Class Lady 5-2         19
#7 Ivory and Ebony 8-1        18
#1 Limes Don’t Lie 2-1         17

Race 2:

#5 Next 1-9                             44
#2 Masqueparade 6-1           37
#4 Time for Trouble 8-1       36
#3 Nimitz Class 15-1             34

Race 3:

#6 Colloquy 2-1                     29
#2 Kahala 8-1                         28
#4 Higher Quality 4-1          27
#1 Gun Maestro 8-1              27

Race 4:

#4 Flicker (GB) 12-1             17
#8 Kick a Buck 8-5                17
#2 Il Siciliano 9-2                 16
#11 John the Baptist 8-1     16

Race 5:

#6 In Our Time 5-2              30
#7 Linarite 10-1                    29
#11 Hurricane Debbie 3-1  28
#9 Tiffany Gold 3-1              28

Race 6:

#4 Twirling Lulu 7-2            17
#5 Early On 15-1                   16
#9 Saratoga Snow 8-1          15
#8 Yougottahavehope 9-2   15

Race 7:

#9 Ballerina d’Oro 5-2         19
#5 Chantico 6-1                    18
#4 Love Tempo (IRE) 3-1    17
#2 All Night Revival 8-1      17

Race 8:

#6 Billal 7-2                          33
#5 Cape Trafalgar 4-1         32
#8 Chattalot 5-1                   31
#7 Implementation 3-1      30

Race 9:

#8 White Sands 3-1             32
#9 The Queens M G 7-2      31
#2 Italian Soiree 9-2            30
#3 Atomic City 8-1               29

Race 10:

#7 St. Joe Louis (GB) 9-2    30
#8 Beary Funny 6-1             29
#3 Officer Derick 10-1         28
#1 Now and Later 7-2          28

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,3,7,1

Race 2:  5

Race 3:  6,2,4,1

Race 4:  4,8,2

Race 5:  6,7,11

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5

Race 3:  6,2,4,1

Race 4:  4,8,2,11

Race 5:  6,7,11,9

$.50 Ticket:  $32

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4,8,2,11

Race 5:  6,7,11,9

Race 6:  4,5,9,8

Race 7:  9,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  6

Race 6:  4,5,9,8

Race 7:  9,5,4

Race 8:  6,5,8

Race 9:  8,9 *8 scratched using 9,2

Race 10: 7,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  4,5,9,8

Race 7:  9,5,4,2

Race 8:  6,5,8

Race 9:  8,9 *8 scratched using 9,2

Race 10: 7,8,3,1

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  9,5,4

Race 8:  6,5,8,7

Race 9:  8,9,2 *8 scratched using 9,2,3

Race 10: 7,8,3,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 


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