August 7th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• August 5, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,869/21,284 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,801/21,284. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Hold Hard (IRE) 5-1
#8 Hidden Path 12-1
#2 Zarak the Brave (FR) 1-1
#6 Walk The Warrior (IRE) 10-1

Race 2:

#8 Will Not Be Swayed 8-5       19 2nd $2.10
#4 Gerlin’s Empire 8-1              18 4th
#7 Tiz Purple 4-1                        17 1st $13.00
#2 Thankfully 4-1                       17 scratched 

Race 3:

#4 Rider’s Special 7-2               30
#1 Own the Field 2-1                29 1st $7.60
#8 Mr. Papagiorgio 10-1           28
#2 Master of Arms 9-2              27 4th

Race 4:

#2 Victors Valiant 8-1               32
#5 Unit Economics (GB) 6-5    32
#3 Abadin 12-1                           31
#1 Itsallcomintogetha 5-2        30

Dirt Selections

#3 Abadin 12-1
#10 Classic Legacy 8-5 1st $3.30
#8 Pirate 8-1 3rd $3.10
#9 Fromanothamutha 5-2 2nd $6.10
#12 Seeking Unity 4-1
#11 Cool Operator 12-1

Race 5:

#3 Lady Milagro 4-1                 34
#5 Unsung Melody 6-1             33
#2 All That Magic 5-2               32
#7 Hollywood Walk 3-1            31

Dirt Selections

#3 Lady Milagro 4-1 3rd $3.30
#5 Unsung Melody 6-1 1st $5.10
#6 Speedy Traveler 6-1 4th
#8 Everyoneloveslinda 4-1 2nd $3.90

Race 6:

#8 Grammy Girl 4-1                 28
#1 Moonlit Weekend 6-1         27
#10 Backstretch Rose 6-1        27
#3 Blenheim Baby 8-1              26

Race 7:

#5 Royal King 8-1                     29
#7 Aaraj 9-2                               28
#2 Paschal Moon 10-1             28
#8 Unclecharliesgift 8-1          27

Race 8:

#6 Cupid’s Heart 9-5               34
#3 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 7-2        33
#5 Bustin Bay 8-1                     32
#2 Sterling Silver 7-5               32

Race 9:

#1a Adventurous Spirit 1-1     18
#1 Steadfast Resolve 1-1          17
#3 El Alacran 8-1                       16
#6 Riverwalk 4-1                        15

Dirt Selections

#5 Bounteous 8-1
#13 Crusading 6-1
#11 Bearings 8-5
#1a Adventurous Spirit 1-1
#4 Guile 20-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2:  8,4,7,2

Race 3:  4,1,8,2

Race 4:  2,5,3 Dirt: 3,10,8

Race 5:  3,5 Dirt: 3,5

Race 6:  8,1,10

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 3:  4,1

Race 4:  2,5,3,1 Dirt: 3,10,8,9

Race 5:  3,5,2 Dirt: 3,5,6

Race 6:  8,1,10,3

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 4:  2,5 Dirt: 3,10

Race 5:  3,5,2 Dirt: 3,5,6

Race 6:  8,1

Race 7:  5,7,2

Race 8:  6 *6 scratched using 3

Race 9:  1a/1 Dirt: 5

$1.00 Ticket:  $36

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  3,5,2,7 Dirt: 3,5,6,8

Race 6:  8,1,10

Race 7:  5,7,2

Race 8:  6,3 *6 scratched using 3,5

Race 9:  1a/1 Dirt: 5

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  8,1,10,3

Race 7:  5,7,2,8

Race 8:  6,3,5,2

Race 9:  1a/1 Dirt: 5

$.50 Ticket:  $32

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.