August 8th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,874/21,292 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,803/21,292. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Route Sensation 5-2 17 scratched
#7 Trail of Gold 5-1 16 1st $9.10
#4 Endless Vow 9-2 16 2nd $5.90 Ex $61.50
#5 Bubbe Dearest 6-1 15 4th

Race 2:

#2 Prospero (IRE) 4-1 19
#6 Passive Management 7-5 18 2nd $2.50
#3 Legitimize 3-1 18 1st $9.50
#1 Stop the Press 6-1 17 3rd $3.10

Race 3:

#6 Looms Boldly 3-1 34 1st $7.20
#1 Ocean’s Reserve 6-1 33
#5 Rotknee 8-5 33
#3 Light Man 9-2 32 3rd $4.60

Race 4:

#1 Eighty West 5-2 17 1st $3.90 Dbl $20
#4 Friday Surprise 7-5 17 2nd $2.50
#2 Play the Gray 12-1 16 4th
#7 Tapwrits Temper 8-1 15 3rd $3.90 Spr $131

Race 5:

#6 Be Your Best (IRE) 5-2 36 3rd $2.80
#1 Aspen Grove (IRE) 1-1 35 1st $3.70
#5 Dreaming of Mo 8-1 33
#3 Avenue Niel (IRE) 6-1 32 2nd $4.90

Race 6:

#9 Mean Eileen 9-2 19
#1 Rematch 3-1 19
#3 Pop Idol 5-2 18
#8 And One More Time 6-1 18

Dirt Selections

#9 Mean Eileen 9-2 2nd $6.40
#3 Pop Idol 5-2 4th
#7 Moonlight Promises 8-1 3rd $3.30
#5 Radio Goo Goo 20-1
#1 Rematch 3-1

Race 7:

#2 I’m Thinking 5-2 17
#6 Bourbon Serengeti 3-1 16
#8 The Taco Lady 6-1 15
#1 Street View 8-1 15

Race 8:

#9 Radical Right 7-2 33
#5 Lark’s Mischief 5-2 32
#4 Dangerous Ride 12-1 31
#6 Rithm Nic 6-1 31

Race 9:

#4 Latest Edition 8-1 30
#7 Marco T. 7-2 29
#3 Strictly Taboo 5-2 29
#1 Fancypants Juliana 6-1 28

Dirt Selections

#4 Latest Edition 8-1
#5 Weekend Rags 5-1
#2 Queens Dancer 30-1
#9 Bank On Anna 9-2
#8 Mz Big Bucks 4-1

Race 10:

#7 Sizzle 6-1 29
#6 Busy Morning 5-1 28
#4 Sweet Dutchess 7-2 27
#3 Turf Rocket 4-1 26

Dirt Selections

#8 Ninja Abarrio 8-1
#5 Dream Central 15-1
#3 Turf Rocket 4-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,7,4,5 7

Race 2: 2,6,3 3

Race 3: 6,1,5 6

Race 4: 1,4 1

Race 5: 6,1 1

$.50 Ticket: $72 $400

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,6,3,1 3

Race 3: 6,1,5 6

Race 4: 1,4 1

Race 5: 6,1 1

$.50 Ticket: $24 $65.12

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 1,4,2,7

Race 5: 6,1

Race 6: 9,1,3

Race 7: 2,6

$.50 Ticket: $24

Pick 6:

Race 5: 6,1

Race 6: 9,1,3

Race 7: 2,6

Race 8: 9,5

Race 9: 4,7,3

Race 10: 7,6

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 9,1,3 Dirt: 9,3,7

Race 7: 2,6,8,1

Race 8: 9,5

Race 9: 4,7,3 Dirt: 4,5,2

Race 10: 7,6,4 Dirt: 8,5,3

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 2,6,8,1

Race 8: 9,5

Race 9: 4,7,3,1 Dirt: 4,5,2,9

Race 10: 7,6,4,3 Dirt: 8,5,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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