A Winning Day at the Races!

January 4th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,494/22,288 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,282/22,288. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

Happy New Year to All!!

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Oaklawn Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Notmysteppingstone 7-5       14 1st $3.30
#6 Freedom Dreams 6-1              13 4th
#2 Kitty of War 9-5                       12 3rd
#3 Just Words 8-1                          11 scratched

Race 2:

#3 Heard On Thestreet 3-1        27 3rd $2.60
#6 Master of Arms 5-2                26 1st $8.20
#1 Abadin 2-1                               26
#2 Hatch 9-2                                 25 2nd $4.30

Race 3:

#3 Masmak 2-1                           34 2nd $2.80
#4 Winit 5-2                                33
#1 Kinetic Sky 3-1                      32 3rd $3.90
#2 Ouster 4-1                              31 1st $13.80

Race 4:

#6 Top of the Table 9-2             28 1st $6.50
#1 Poseidon’s Mist 8-1              27
#2 Spiritual Lady 6-1                 26
#4 Alcala 6-1                               26

Race 5:

#8 Roofer 3-1                              16
#6 Runamor 6-1                         15
#4 Tap It Easy 2-1                      15
#1 Lets Fight 5-1                        14 2nd $6.50

Race 6:

#2 Island Charlie 6-1                 17 3rd $4.00
#8 Trinity River 5-2                   16
#6 Sunday Gilt 3-1                     16 1st $8.80
#7 Asset Management 5-1        15 scratched

Race 7:

#4 Evaluation 9-5                      29
#5 Ariana Rye 9-2                      28 2nd $5.70
#3 Embraceable Gal 7-2            27 3rd $2.90
#8 Granadilla 6-1                       27

Race 8:

#8 McAfee 2-1                            32 scratched
#7 Studlydoright 5-2                 32 4th
#6 Cyclone State 7-2                  31 1st $8.10
#4 Omaha Omaha 8-1               30 2nd $5.40

Race 9:

#6 That’s Money 2-1                 27 1st $6.60
#10 Perfect Flight 8-1               26 3rd $3.60
#8 Thank You Jon 5-2               25 4th
#2 King Khali 10-1                     25

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,6,2

Race 2:  3,6,1

Race 3:  3,4

Race 4:  6,1,2,4

Race 5:  8,6,4

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,6,1,2

Race 3:  3,4

Race 4:  6,1,2,4

Race 5:  8,6,4,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  3,4,1,2

Race 4:  6,1,2,4

Race 5:  8,6,4

Race 6:  2,8,6

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 4:  6,1,2,4

Race 5:  8,6,4

Race 6:  2,8,6

Race 7:  4

Race 8:  8,7 *8 scratched using 7,6

Race 9:  6,10

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  8,6,4

Race 6:  2,8,6,7

Race 7:  4,5,3

Race 8:  8,7 *8 scratched using 7,6

Race 9:  6,10,8

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  2,8,6,7

Race 7:  4,5,3,8

Race 8:  8,7 *8 scratched using 7,6

Race 9:  6,10,8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Oaklawn Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 The Warden 6-5                     18
#5 Chief Liam 8-1                       17 1st $20.80
#1 Max Got Excited 6-1             16
#9 Bye Bye Miles 10-1                15

Race 2:

#10 Derby Date 12-1                  26 2nd $6.80
#9 Knicks Story 5-2                    26
#5 Martini Blu 7-2                      25 3rd $3.60
#7 Raymond 8-1                         24 1st $21.20

Race 3:

#10 Zoom 2-1                              17
#3 Waco 6-1                                 16 1st $22.20
#2 Momissioner 8-1                   15
#5 Bermuda Blitz 7-2                 15 2nd $4.60

Race 4:

#1 Synthesis 8-1                         30
#4 Payne 4-1                                29 1st $5.60
#12 Got Thunder 9-2                 28
#6 Briterdayzahead 3-1             28

Race 5:

#8 Burlsworth 3-1                     16 1st $7.60
#3 Viney 20-1                             16
#12 Mr. Butch 6-1                      15 4th
#1 Two Dollar Eddie 5-1           14 2nd $4.00

Race 6:

#8 Lat Long 3-1                         32 3rd $2.80
#6 Big City 5-2                           31 2nd $5.80
#3 One Giant Leap 5-1             30
#10 Goldbrick 9-2                      29

Race 7:

#9 Chatter 9-2                          29 3rd $2.80
#7 Shisospicy 4-5                     29 2nd $2.10
#2 G W’s Girl 6-1                      28 1st $12.80 Tri $84.20
#6 Battleshipper 8-1                27

Race 8:

#6 Gunflash 4-1                        33
#1 Attache 5-2                          33
#8 Goodasiwonswas 7-2          32
#10 Willie Bird 6-1                   31

Race 9:

#6 Hot Property 8-5                33
#1 Kale’s Angel 2-1                 32
#8 Coal Battle 9-2                    30
#5 Mo Quality 5-1                    29

Race 10:

#12 Sir Greylind 4-1               30
#4 Dance Some Mo 7-2          29
#1 Winston Wolf 5-1              29
#2 King Russell 6-1                 28

Oaklawn Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,5,1,9

Race 2:  10,9,5

Race 3:  10,3,2,5

Race 4:  1,4,12,6

Race 5:  8

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  10,9,5,7 7

Race 3:  10,3,2,5 3

Race 4:  1,4,12,6 4

Race 5:  8,3,12 8

$.50 Ticket:  $96 $776.90

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  8,6,3,10

Race 7:  9,7

Race 8:  6,1,8

Race 9:  6,1

Race 10: 12,4,1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  9,7,2,6

Race 8:  6,1,8,10

Race 9:  6,1

Race 10: 12,4,1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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