September 15th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• September 15, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,019/21,533 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,918/21,533. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 All Night Revival 7-2             19 4th
#6 Pediatric Princess 4-1           18
#5 Lavender Disaster 5-2           17 1st $3.30
#1 Snipsnippitysnip 6-1             17 3rd $3.90

Race 2:

#8 Wild Mama 8-1                     20 1st $12.20
#5 Faith 6-1                                19
#3 Decree and Declare 5-1       18 4th
#4 Complex Gal 4-1                   18

Race 3:

#2 Iridescent 8-5                       29 2nd $2.80
#5 Bold Ambition 4-1               28 4th
#1 For Some Reason 2-1           27 1st $7.30
#6 Sonofaship 6-1                      27

Race 4:

#3 Bank Frenzy 2-1                    32 2nd $3.40
#2 Nelson Avenue 6-1                31 1st $21.40 Ex $35
#1 Costa Terra 5-2                      30 3rd $2.60 Tri $82.48
#5 Lost in Rome 10-1                 29

Race 5:

#4 Naughty Destiny 2-1            16 3rd $2.80
#12 Barefoot Disco 9-2 AE        15 2nd $6.10
#6 Corri Felice 6-1                      15
#10 Lady Meringue 8-1              14 scratched
#2 Russalite 15-1                         14

Race 6:

#8 Call Me Harry 3-1                  33 1st $9.20
#7 Locke and Key 7-2                  32 3rd $3.20
#9 Cable Ready 20-1                   31
#3 Clear Conscience 8-1             30

Race 7:

#4 Condiment Girl 5-2               27
#5 Mon Petit Chou 2-1               26 1st $5.50
#8 My First Love 6-1                   25 4th
#3 Everlys Girl 12-1                     25 3rd $4.50

Race 8:

#10 Gaslight Dancer 7-2            30 1st $7.40
#5 Palace View (IRE) 4-1           29
#2 Java Buzz 9-2                          28 2nd $3.90
#3 Nano Man 8-1                         27

Race 9:

#4 Time Stone 3-1                       17
#3 Jitterbug 6-1                            16 2nd $6.20
#7 Shade of Pale 5-1                    15 1st $16.40
#11 Goodnight My Angel 8-1     15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,6,5,1

Race 2:  8,5,3,4

Race 3:  2,5,1

Race 4:  3,2,1

Race 5:  4,12

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  8,5,3,4

Race 3:  2,5,1

Race 4:  3,2,1

Race 5:  4,12,6,10 *10 scratched using 4,12,6.2

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  2,5,1,6

Race 4:  3,2,1,5

Race 5:  4,12,6,10 *10 scratched using 4,12,6.2

Race 6:  8,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  3

Race 5:  4,12,6,10 *10 scratched using 4,12,6.2

Race 6:  8,7

Race 7:  4,5

Race 8:  10,5,2

Race 9:  4,3,7

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  4,12,6,10 *10 scratched using 4,12,6.2

Race 6:  8,7

Race 7:  4,5,8

Race 8:  10,5,2

Race 9:  4,3,7

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  8,7,9,3 8

Race 7:  4,5 5

Race 8:  10,5,2,3 10

Race 9:  4,3,7,11 7

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $253

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.