April 27th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,940/22,992 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,639/22,992. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*6 on top winners last Saturday at Keeneland …

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Khafre 3-1 28 1st $8.50
#2 O P Firecracker 8-5 27 2nd $3.10 Ex $18.60
#6 Retail Man 12-1 26 4th
#4 Commandperformance 5-1 26

Race 2:

#2 Fortuna Mia 9-2 29
#5 Briland 7-5 29 4th
#1 Army Gal 5-2 28 2nd $5.00
#3 Twirling Beauty 5-1 27

Race 3:

#4 Runandscore 2-1 30 3rd $3.30
#2 Waralo 4-1 28 4th
#6 Stewie 4-1 28 2nd $3.60
#1 Messi the Magician 20-1 27

Race 4:

#5 Smooth Breeze 5-2 29 1st $4.90
#9 Pay the Juice 4-1 28 3rd $4.30
#6 Royal Browne 5-1 28
#4 Courtly Banker 6-1 27 4th

Dirt Selections

#9 Pay the Juice 4-1
#7 Willintoriskitall 10-1
#1 I’m Solo N in Love 15-1

Race 5:

#1 Floy Joy 15-1 17
#12 Bodegas 12-1 16
#7 Mommy’s Turn 5-1 15
#2 Perugia 5-2 15

Dirt Selections

#12 Bodegas 12-1
#15 Lollipops 7-2
#2 Perugia 5-2 1st $4.70
#7 Mommy’s Turn 5-1 scratched
#6 Sunshine Lily 12-1 2nd $4.50

Race 6:

#4 Top Spin Ace 5-1 18 4th
#8 Dear Moon 7-2 18 2nd $4.00
#6 Kay Cup 5-2 17 1st $3.40
#5 Munnings Express 4-1 17 3rd $2.60 Spr $77.40

Race 7:

#7 Cornucopian 3-5 36 2nd
#3 Garamond 5-1 34 1st $7.70
#4 Keewaydin 9-2 33 scratched
#5 Sand Devil 6-1 32 scratched

Race 8:

#5 Opulent Restraint 5-1 33 2nd $3.80
#2 Laurelin (IRE) 2-1 32 1st $6.90 Ex $20.00
#9 Virgin Colada 5-2 32 3rd $2.40 Tri $52.00
#7 Love Cervere 6-1 31 scratched

Dirt Selections

#10 Bernieandtherose 8-5

Race 9:

#9 Leon Blue 2-1 16
#11 Cousin Ed 5-1 15
#3 Rhyton 9-2 15
#6 Nothingbutnitro 30-1 14

Dirt Selections

#15 Mozambique 5-2 scratched
#7 No Problem 8-1
#5 Eighty Gold 20-1
#9 Leon Blue 2-1 1st $7.50
#16 Kings and Queens 8-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,2

Race 2: 2,5,1,3

Race 3: 4,2,6

Race 4: 5,9,6 Dirt: 9,7,1

Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,5,1

Race 3: 4,2,6

Race 4: 5,9,6 Dirt: 9,7,1

Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3: 4,2,6,1

Race 4: 5,9,6,4 Dirt: 9,7,1

Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6

Race 6: 4,8,6

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 4: 5,9 Dirt: 9,7

Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6

Race 6: 4,8,6

Race 7: 7

Race 8: 5,2 Dirt: 10

Race 9: 9,11 Dirt: 7,5

$1.00 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6

Race 6: 4,8,6,5

Race 7: 7,3

Race 8: 5,2,9 Dirt: 10

Race 9: 9,11,3 Dirt: 7,5,9

$.50 Ticket: $144 $365.50

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 4,8,6,5

Race 7: 7,3

Race 8: 5,2,9,7 Dirt: 10

Race 9: 9,11,3,6 Dirt: 7,5,9,16

$.50 Ticket: $64 $64.12

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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