A Winning Day at the Races!

April 29th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,288/18,780, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8598/18,780. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Jessica’s Ride 10-1                 16 2nd $12.40
#2 Short Shift 8-1                        15 3rd $4.70
#1 Bon Adieu 4-1                         15
#6 Miss Stones 5-2                      14 1st $5.10

Race 2:

#7 Royalty Interest (FR) 2-1      30
#5 Queen Picasso (GB) 3-1         29
#6 Juniper’s Moon 4-1                 28
#3 Hang the Moon 8-1                 27

Dirt Selections

#8 Downtown Mischief 7-5 2nd $2.30
#10 Balpool 5-2 1st $5.80
#2 Lady Beth 7-2 scratched
#1 Unified Alliance 15-1 4th
#9 Crypto Mama 10-1 3rd

Race 3:

#10 Quick Power Nap 3-2          27
#6 Mispelled Mooon 5-2            26
#8 Audit Committe 15-1            25
#3 Act of Congress 5-1                25

Dirt Selections

#7 Jet Set Juliet 6-1
#12 Our Rosie Diamonds 6-1
#5 Mostly Harmless 8-1 4th
#8 Audit Committee 15-1
#4 Lady Mine 10-1

Race 4:

#4 Echo in Eternity 3-1              18 4th
#6 Angelique 9-5                         17 1st $3.10
#7 Shaman Princess 7-2             16
#1 Danseur d’Oro 4-1                 15 2nd $3.20

Race 5:

#5 Shadow Sphinx 3-5                31
#4 Original 7-2                             28
#9 Front Man 12-1                       27
#2 Standup 12-1                           26

Dirt Selections

#1a Mount Travers 8-1 scratched
#6 Two Thirty Five 12-1 1st $5.40
#1 Healing 8-1 2nd $3.10
#3 Sailor Speed 50-1 scratched
#7 Goldini 20-1 3rd $3.90

Race 6:

#9 My Sea Cottage (IRE) 8-5      32
#6 Sugar Gray Leonard 5-1         31
#7 King James 7-2                         30
#4 Starrystarryknight 8-1            29

Dirt Selections

#11 Cumberland Blues 8-1
#1a Majestic Tiger 10-1
#12 Built to Last 4-1
#10 Always Charming 9-2
#14 McCrakens Ghost 5-1

Race 7:

#9 Dee’s Speedstre 7-2                 27
#4 Star Attitude 8-1                      26
#2 Mo Rewards 2-1                        26
#1 Ginnsu Warrior 5-1                  25

Race 8:

#2 Zandon 4-5                                37
#9 Lastchanceatglory 15-1           33
#5 King Kumbalay 20-1                 32
#1 Uncle Moonlight 10-1              31

Race 9:

#3 Dads Good Runner 5-2            16
#1 Steady Progress 4-1                  15
#2 Dakota’s Destiny 12-1              14
#10 Break the Ice 12-1                   14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,2,1,6 6

Race 2:  7,5 Dirt: 8,10 10

Race 3:  10,6 Dirt: 7,12

Race 4:  4,6,7

Race 5:  5,4 Dirt: 1a/1,6

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,5 Dirt: 8,10 10

Race 3:  10,6,8,3 Dirt: 7,12,5,8

Race 4:  4,6

Race 5:  5,4,9,2 Dirt: 1a/1,6,3,7

$.50 Ticket:  $32

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  10,6,8,3 Dirt: 7,12,5,8

Race 4:  4,6,7,1

Race 5:  5,4 Dirt: 1a/1,6

Race 6:  9,6,7,4 Dirt: 11,1a/1,12,10 *1a,10 scratched using 11,12,14

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  4,6,7,1

Race 5:  5 Dirt: 1a/1

Race 6:  9,6,7 Dirt: 11,1a/1,12 *1a scratched using 11,12,14

Race 7:  9,4,2

Race 8:  2,9 *2,9 scratched using 1,6

Race 9:  3,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  5,4,9,2 Dirt: 1a/1,6,37

Race 6:  9,6,7 Dirt: 11,1a/1,12 *1a scratched using 11,12,14

Race 7:  9,4,2

Race 8:  2,9 *2,9 scratched using 1,6

Race 9:  3,1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  9,6,7,4 Dirt:  11,1a/1,12,10 *1a,10 scratched using 11,12,14

Race 7:  9,4,2,1

Race 8:  2,9 *2,9 scratched using 1,6

Race 9:  3,1,2,10

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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