April 7th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

• April 7, 2025
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,856/22,854 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,568/22,854. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Late Pick 5 for us Saturday at Aqueduct…$961 on a $72 ticket…

*Late Pick 4 for us Saturday at Aqueduct…$417.25 on a $72 ticket…

*Middle Pick 4 for us yesterday at Aqueduct…$1,096.50 on a $64 ticket…

*Late Pick 5 for us yesterday at Aqueduct…$469.50 on a $64 ticket…

*Monday’s Full Card Keeneland Picks/Plays below…

Keeneland Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Chatterfield 20-1                  15
#8 Pinky Finger 7-5                   15 1st $4.16
#10 Red Speedo 8-1                   14
#3 Monster 4-1                           13 4th

Race 2:

#6 Spaliday 5-2                          33
#3 Pin Up Betty 4-1                   32
#1 Mission of Joy 7-2                 31
#5 Scarlet Poppy (IRE) 6-1       31

Dirt Selections

#8 Peignoir 10-1 1st $3.40
#2 Amber Cascade 12-1 2nd $2.68
#3 Pin Up Betty 4-1

Race 3:

#2 Velvet Vortex 5-2                32 4th
#3 Shoot It True 9-5                32
#5 Beauty Reigns 12-1            30 2nd $8.90
#4 Naive Melody 15-1             29 scratched 

Race 4:

#12 Gum 8-1                              19
#7 Green Jobs 6-1                     19
#1 Straight Forward 8-1          18
#13 Hideaway 7-2 AE               18
#10 Rather Distinct 5-1           17

Dirt Selections

#13 Hideaway 7-2 AE 3rd $2.38
#12 Gum 8-1 scratched 
#1 Straight Forward 8-1
#2 Vice 15-1 2nd $9.96
#7 Green Jobs scratched 

Race 5:

#9 Kapoor 7-2                          20 3rd $2.52
#11 Unwavering Trust 5-2     19 1st $3.18
#1 Debt Free 4-1                      18
#3 Ivory and Ebony 10-1        18 2nd $3.96

Race 6:

#3 American Hope 12-1         33
#7 El Rezeen 6-1                      32
#11 Intellect (FR) 7-2              32
#9 Evade (FR) 4-1                     31

Dirt Selections

#13 Archie the Giza AE 15-1
#4 Wico (IRE) 8-1 3rd $2.78
#12 Winters Lion 30-1 4th
#8 This Is Uscar 20-1 1st $8.90
#2 Georgie W 8-1 2nd $3.96

Race 7:

#2 Colloquial 6-5                     36 1st $2.70
#1 Gunmetal 3-1                      33 scratched
#8 Rolando 8-1                         32 4th
#5 Gate to Wire 9-2                 32 scratched

Race 8:

#9 Tom’s Magic 12-1              33
#2 Reagan’s Wit 4-1                32 4th
#8 Scipio 6-1                             32 2nd $8.20
#7 Test Score 8-1                      31 1st $21.48

Dirt Selections

#11 Mi Bago 3-1
#3 Golden Afternoon 15-1
#13 Barricade 8-1 AE
#16 Valentinian 4-1 AE
#15 Pretty Capable 8-1

Race 9:

#3 Supa Speed 4-1                   33 *Best Bet 4th
#4 Muhimma 9-5                     32 3rd $2.30
#2 La Cara 9-2                          30 1st $20.16
#5 Running Away 3-1              29

Race 10:

#11 Golden Irish 7-2               28
#7 Carolina Smokeshow 6-1  27
#13 Zaghruta 5-1 AE               27
#6 Bread to Run 9-2                 26
#8 Bindi 5-1                               26

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,8,10,3

Race 2:  6,3,1 Dirt: 8,2,3

Race 3:  2,3

Race 4:  12,7,1,13 Dirt: 13,1,2,11

Race 5:  9,11,1

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,3,1,5 Dirt: 8,2,3

Race 3:  2,3

Race 4:  12,7,1,13 Dirt: 13,1,2,11

Race 5:  9,11,1,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  9,11 11

Race 6:  3,7,11,9 Dirt: 13,4,12,8 8

Race 7:  2 2

Race 8:  9,2,8,7 Dirt:  11,3,13,16 7

Race 9:  3,4,2 2

Race 10: 11,7,13,6 *13 scratched using 11,7,6,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  3,7,11,9 Dirt: 13,4,12,8 8

Race 7:  2 2

Race 8:  9,2,8,7 Dirt: 11,3,13,16 7

Race 9:  3,4,2 2

Race 10: 11,7,13,6 *13 scratched using 11,7,6,8

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  2,1 *1 scratched using 2,8 2

Race 8:  9,2,8,7 Dirt: 11,3,13,16 7

Race 9:  3,4,2,5 2

Race 10: 11,7,13,6 *13 scratched using 11,7,6,8

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.