August 10th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,881/21,302 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,809/21,302. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#7 Thunder Roll 10-1 21 4th
#1 Innovator 2-1 20 2nd $2.80
#2 Sandman 7-2 20 1st $6.10
#6 Nantz 5-1 19

Race 2:

#2 Marche 7-2 19
#1 Hurricane Nelson 1-1 18 2nd $2.60
#4 Banned for Life 9-2 18 1st $8.70
#6 Tomorrow’s Wish 8-1 17

Race 3:

#3 The Bullion Bomber 7-2 31
#4 Secret Rules 9-5 30 3rd $2.50
#1 Cold as Hell 6-1 29 1st $12.60
#5 Disco Deano 5-1 28 4th

Race 4:

#10 Highway Harmony 8-5 29
#11 From Hello 7-2 AE 28
#2 Wish List 5-1 27
#3 Magic Eight Ball 6-1 27
#8 Evie Does It 4-1 26

Dirt Selections

#9 Miss Fashionista 6-1 2nd $2.10
#10 Highway Harmony 8-5 scratched
#4 Mim 20-1 4th
#3 Magic Eight Ball 6-1 scratched

Race 5:

#7 Spiritual Lady 5-2 26 1st $4.20
#5 Devil Blue Dress 2-1 25 2nd $3.40 Ex $18.20
#4 Dashing Della 6-1 24
#8 Til There Was You 6-1 23

Race 7:

#4 Royal Presence 7-2 20
#11 Clock Tower 6-1 AE 19
#1 Statesman 8-1 18
#8 Valuation Metric 3-1 18
#9 Governing Party 8-1 17

Dirt Selections

#4 Royal Presence 7-2 4th
#11 Clock Tower 6-1 AE 2nd $3.50
#1 Statesman 8-1 3rd $4.10
#12 The Boondocker 8-1
#8 Valuation Metric 3-1
#7 Tenacious Leader 6-1

Race 8:

#4 First Resort 7-2 31 2nd $8.40
#5 Touchy 5-2 30 4th
#1 Smoken Wicked 9-2 29 3rd $4.10
#2 Showcase 6-1 28 1st $8.70 Spr $842

Race 9:

#9 Grooms All Bizness 41
#2 Outlaw Kid 15-1 40
#6 Big Invasion 12-1 39
#4 Cogburn 1-2 39

Dirt Selections

#4 Cogburn 1-2 scratched
#12 Surveillance 9-2 1st $5.00
#13 Disarmed 8-1 4th
#5 Thin White Duke 30-1

Race 11:

#3 Got Thunder 5-1 29
#1 Poppy’s Pride 5-1 28
#7 Banyan Breeze 8-1 27
#2 Downtownchalybrown 3-1 27

Race 12:

#5 Star of Mystery (GB) 2-5 42
#3 Pipsy (IRE) 6-1 38
#4 Ever So Sweet (IRE) 12-1 37
#8 Kairyu (IRE) 10-1 35

Dirt Selections

#10 Halina’s Forte 2-1
#11 Value Area 9-2
#13 She’s Always Rosie 8-1
#12 Sunday Girl 10-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 7,1,2,6

Race 2: 2,1,4

Race 3: 3,4,1

Race 4: 10,11,2 Dirt: 9,10,4

Race 5: 7,5

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,1,4,6

Race 3: 3,4,1,5

Race 4: 10,11,2,3 Dirt: 9,10,4,3

Race 5: 7,5

$.50 Ticket: $64

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 4,11,1,8 Dirt: 4,11,1,12

Race 8: 4,5,1

Race 9: 9,2,6,4 Dirt: 4,12,13,5

Race 11: 3,1,7

Race 12: 5,3 Dirt: 10,11

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 4,5,1,2

Race 9: 9,2,6,4 Dirt: 4,12,13,5

Race 11: 3,1,7,2

Race 12: 5,3 Dirt: 10,11

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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