November 9th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,241/21,900 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,085/21,900. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 Salamis 2-1 20 4th
#3 Georgia Magic 3-1 19 scratched
#6 Tux 3-1 18 1st $9.50
#2 Peak Performer 4-1 18

Race 2:

#2 Mariachi 3-1 34 2nd $5.00
#6 Awesome Native 4-1 33 3rd $2.80
#3 Reddington 7-2 33
#1 Alpine Thunder 9-2 32

Race 3:

#6 Spring Magic 5-2 29 2nd $3.50
#7 Irish Jackson 5-1 28 4th
#2 Street Jam 7-2 27
#8 Spiritual Lady 6-1 27 1st $17.60

Race 4:

#8 Lu’s Redemption 9-5 16 3rd $2.20
#5 When Your Strange 20-1 15
#9 Watch Over Me 4-1 15
#7 Dream On Cara 5-1 14 2nd $4.60

Race 5:

#6 Right to Vote 12-1 33 4th
#2 Cugino 5-2 33 2nd $3.40
#3 Deterministic 2-1 32 1st $5.50
#7 Royal Majesty (GB) 7-2 32 3rd $2.90 Spr $193.40

Race 6:

#7 Funny Uncle 3-1 30
#4 Kick a Buck 7-2 29
#11 Miztertonic 9-2 28 3rd $4.10
#6 Outtawaterbury 12-1 28

Race 7:

#9 Magnificent Mile 5-2 31 1st $7.10
#6 Sorority Prank 4-1 30
#1 Vinsanity 6-1 29
#2 Best Bet 9-2 28

Race 8:

#9 Senbei 5-2 39
#1 Son of a Birch 20-1 38
#5 Outlaw Kid 5-1 37
#6 Alogon 9-2 36 1st $5.20

Race 9:

#2 Integration 2-1 41 1st $4.50
#5 Limited Liability 5-1 40 2nd $3.70 Ex $12.40
#9 Rebel Red (GB) 8-1 39 3rd $3.60 Tri $52
#4 City Man 10-1 38

Race 10:

#1 Bella Luna Mia 12-1 16
#8 Trulli Magic 7-2 15
#7 Tower Twenty Two 10-1 15
#11 Backwater 8-1 14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,3 *3 scratched using 4,6

Race 2: 2,6,3

Race 3: 6,7,2

Race 4: 8,5,9,7

Race 5: 6,2,3

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,6,3,1

Race 3: 6,7,2,8

Race 4: 8,5,9,7

Race 5: 6,2,3

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 8,5,9,7

Race 5: 6,2,3,7

Race 6: 7,4

Race 7: 9,6,1,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 6,2,3

Race 6: 7,4

Race 7: 9,6,1

Race 8: 9,1,5

Race 9: 2

Race 10: 1,8 *8 scratched using 1,7

$1.00 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 7,4,11,6

Race 7: 9,6,1

Race 8: 9,1,5,6

Race 9: 2,5

Race 10: 1,8,7 *8 scratched using 1,7,11

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 9,6

Race 8: 9,1,5,6

Race 9: 2,5,9,4

Race 10: 1,8,7,11 *8 scratched using 1,7,11,16

$.50 Ticket: $64

Churchill Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Tapit Quick 3-1 18
#5 Vino Frizzante 7-2 17 2nd $3.80
#3 Mo for Us 2-1 17 3rd $2.94
#7 Queenoftheuniverse 10-1 16

Race 2:

#6 Summer of Mischief 3-1 30
#1 Rosie’s Halo 4-1 29 scratched
#9 Rose Palace 6-1 28 1st $20.12
#7 Awesome Annmarie 5-1 27 3rd $3.44

Race 3:

#6 Sir Gallivant 3-1 17
#11 Instant Replay 7-2 16 1st $6.64
#4 Vino Dominus 5-1 15 scratched
#7 Capo Luca 6-1 15 4th

Race 4:

#3 Summonyourcourage 5-2 18
#5 Shortstop 9-5 17 4th
#6 Hangin in There 7-2 16 3rd $3.30
#2 Geno’s Myth 5-1 15 2nd $6.84

Race 5:

#7 Piensa 4-1 18 2nd $3.84
#4 Lebowski 10-1 17 4th
#12 Maui Strong 9-2 16 1st $12.60
#11 Stiglets 15-1 16

Race 6:

#5 Colormecairo 8-1 29 4th
#2 Vinobello 3-1 29 1st $5.34
#6 Candy Doll 6-1 28 scratched
#3 Cararra 5-2 28 scratched

Race 7:

#2 Game Warden 6-1 33
#1 Parchment Party 9-2 32
#5 Kinetic 4-1 31 1st $8.78
#10 Mackman 5-1 30

Race 8:

#5 Mystic Pleasure 2-1 35 2nd $3.66
#3 Spirit Wind 9-5 34 3rd $2.10
#2 Upper Case 4-1 33 1st $11.24 Tri $54.68
#6 Accomplished Girl 6-1 32 4th Spr $101.80

Race 9:

#9 World Record 3-1 38 scratched
#3 Horace Mann 6-1 37 1st $13.90
#2 Rocket Can 9-2 36 4th
#5 Gilcrease 15-1 35 scratched

Race 10:

#5 Masteroffoxhounds 12-1 40
#8 Battle of Normandy 6-1 39 1st $10.32
#7 Wonderful Justice (GB) 12-1 38
#4 Reckoning Force 3-1 38 2nd $5.02

Race 11:

#8 Antique Silver 5-1 29 1st $11.48
#3 Lil Gin N Class 2-1 28 2nd $3.06 Ex $33.32
#10 Mila Junes 10-1 27 3rd $4.38 Tri $178.64
#1 Thestral 3-1 27

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,5,3

Race 2: 6,1,9,7

Race 3: 6,11,4 *4 scratched using 6,11,7

Race 4: 3,5

Race 5: 7,4,12

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 6,1,9,7

Race 3: 6,11,4,7

Race 4: 3,5

Race 5: 7,4,12,11

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 3,5

Race 5: 7,4,12,11

Race 6: 5,2,6,3

Race 7: 2,1,5,10

Race 8: 5,3

$.50 Ticket: $128

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 7,4,12,11

Race 6: 5,2,6,3

Race 7: 2,1,5,10

Race 8: 5,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 6: 5,2,6,3

Race 7: 2,1,5

Race 8: 5

Race 9: 9,3 *9 scratched using 3,2

Race 10: 5,8,7,4

Race 11: 8,3,10,1

$.20 Ticket: $76.80

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 2,1,5,10 5

Race 8: 5,3,2 2

Race 9: 9,3,2 3

Race 10: 5,8,7,4 8

Race 11: 8,3 8

$.50 Ticket: $144 $5,235.45

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 5,3

Race 9: 9,3,2,5

Race 10: 5,8,7,4

Race 11: 8,3,10,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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