August 17th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• August 16, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,768/19,533, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,956/19,533. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…

*Visit the Membership Page Thursday Evening or Friday to Purchase a “Saratoga Weekend Pass”…$26.99 for Full Access to Friday, Saturday, and Sunday’s Saratoga Picks/Plays…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Assertive Attitude 9-2           15
#7 Ride Up 6-5                              14 1st $4.10
#2 Sippican Shop 7-2                  13 2nd $4.30
#1 Mo Than Luck 8-1                  12

Race 2:

#1 Chili Flag (FR) 9-5                   33 2nd $3.50
#5 Pleasant Passage 4-1              32
#2 Sister Lou Ann 8-1                  31 3rd $3.40
#4 Not So Close 4-1                      30 1st $19.60

Dirt Selections

#7 Tizzy in the Sky 6-5
#4 Not So Close 4-1
#1a Toned Up 9-5
#6 Leave No Trace 3-1
#8 Pistol Liz Ablazen 8-1

Race 3:

#2 Barrage 5-1                             32 1st $8.70
#1 Citizen K 3-1                           31 3rd $3.50
#6 Agent Creed 5-2                     30 4th
#5 Fatima’s Blessing 8-1            30

Dirt Selections

#9 Wild Banker 4-5
#8 Zeebear 2-1
#6 Agent Creed 5-2
#2 Barrage 5-1

Race 4:

#5 Western Ghent 6-1                29 2nd $4.00
#6 V Mart 9-2                               28 4th
#1 Built to Last 7-2                     27 scratched
#4 Watasha 5-2                            27 1st $6.10

Race 5:

#3 Miz Mastery 6-1                     16 4th
#6 Accommodate Eva 5-1          15 3rd $2.80
#5 Leslie’s Loot 5-2                     15
#8 Hayes Bay 10-1                       14

Race 6:

#2 Ski Patrol 4-1                          30
#5 Burn Jakey Burn 15-1            28
#4 Image of Quality 8-1             28
#7 Forward Move 5-1                  27

Dirt Selections

#6 Ignited 8-1 3rd $3.60
#7 Forward Move 5-1
#10 King James 6-1 2nd $3.10
#8 Sugar Gray Leonard 3-1 1st $4.40
#12 Let Freedom Spring 5-1

Race 7:

#7 Mirabella 9-2                          18 3rd $3.40
#8 No Deli (IRE) 8-1                   17 2nd $7.00
#5 Sister Maha 8-1                      17 4th
#1 Tangential 4-1                        16 1st $8.00 Spr $837

Dirt Selections

#14 Rhiannon 3-1
#12 Miss Our Hero 7-2
#5 Sister Maha 8-1
#1 Tangential 4-1
#15 La Girvina 6-1

Race 8:

#7 Giroovin 2-1                             31 2nd $3.30
#5 Win for Gold 5-2                     30 1st $5.40 Ex $21.40
#1 Kunshan Bridge 3-1                29 3rd $2.70 Tri $49
#2 Pay Zone 10-1                          28

Race 9:

#6 Let’s Go Big Blue 5-2              33 2nd $3.00
#1 Ramblin’ Wreck 9-5                32 1st $3.80
#2 King of Comedy 5-2                32
#4 Willintoriskitall 15-1              31 3rd $4.20

Dirt Selections

Will adjust if necessary…

Race 10:

#7 Laurel Valley 7-2                      16
#5 Street Rod 9-2                          16
#1 Russi 6-1                                    15
#10 Screw Loose 6-1                     14

Dirt Selections

#12 Prince of Truth 4-1
#1 Russi 6-1
#1a Petrolo 6-1
#2 Twirling Vine 6-1
#8 Paschal Moon 12-1
#4 Vaunted 15-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,7,2,1 7

Race 2:  1,5 Dirt: 7,4 x

Race 3:  2,1,6 Dirt: 9,8,6 2

Race 4:  5,6,1 *1 scratched 5,6,4 4

Race 5:  3,6,5

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,5,2,4 Dirt: 7,4,1a/1,6 4

Race 3:  2,1,6,5 Dirt: 9,8,6,2 2

Race 4:  5,6,1,4 *1 scratched using 5,6,4,2 4

Race 5:  3,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  5,6,1,4 *1 scratched using 5,6,4,2 4

Race 5:  3,6,5,8

Race 6:  2,5,4,7 Dirt: 6,7,10,8

Race 7:  7,8 Dirt: 14,12

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  3,6,5

Race 6:  2,5,4,7 Dirt: 6,7,10,8

Race 7:  7,8,5 Dirt: 14,12,5

Race 8:  7

Race 9:  6,1

Race 10: 7,5 Dirt: 12,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  2,5,4,7 Dirt: 6,7,10,8

Race 7:  7,8,5 Dirt: 14,12,5

Race 8:  7,5

Race 9:  6,1,2,4

Race 10: 7,5,1,10 Dirt: 12,1/1a,2,8

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  7,8,5,1 Dirt: 14,12,5,1

Race 8:  7,5

Race 9:  6,1,2,4

Race 10: 7,5,1,10 Dirt: 12,1/1a,2,8

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.