A Winning Day at the Races!

August 29th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,423/23,783 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,976/23,783. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*Thank you for all the well wishes!!…Dealing with a significant health issue, got quite a scare…Will post Picks when up to it…

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks & Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Tax Implications 4-5            34 1st $2.70
#3 Fun With Flags (IRE) 3-1     33 3rd $2.90
#6 Poca Mucha 5-1                     32
#5 Tour Jete 8-1                           31

Race 2:

#2 Steer Clear 9-5                       20 1st $5.70
#4 Academia 7-2                          19
#1 Fancy Footwork 6-1               18 4th
#5 Immaculate Moon 3-1           18

Race 3:

#3 Northern Invader 4-1            38 3rd $2.30
#5 Donegal Momentum 2-1       37 1st $8.50
#2 Program Trading (GB) 8-5    36 2nd $2.10
#1 Major Dude 3-1                       35 scratched

Race 4:

#4 Killy Start 5-2                          28 1st $6.30
#5 It Takes Heart 3-1                   27
#8 Whistler’s Style 4-1                26 2nd $4.90
#6 Equus 15-1                                26

Race 5:

#8 Speedstre 10-1                          19
#2 Party in the Army 4-1              18 2nd $6.20
#12 Power Speed 5-2                     18
#11 Top Player 6-1                         17

Race 6:

#2 Always Practical 5-2                 28 scratched 
#8 Sailaway 5-1                               27 scratched 
#6 Best Impression 8-1                  27 3rd $3.00
#1 Florida Flower 4-1                     26 1st $6.50

Race 7:

#5 Brooklyn Styles 5-1                   20
#1 Eske Castle (IRE) 8-5                 19 scratched
#10 Green Screen 8-1                     19 4th
#9 Copa de Plata 6-1                       18

Race 8:

#1a Miss Picky 3-1 AE                     19 1st $8.80
#1 Always Ready 3-1                        18 scratched 
#10 Gin Joint 10-1                            17
#7 Concurrently 5-1                         17
#2 She Feels Stunning 5-2              16

Race 9:

#4 Light the Way 8-1                       36 2nd $9.30
#3 Discreet Mischief 7-2                 35
#1 El Grande O 4-1                           34
#5 Baby Yoda 2-1                              34 1st $4.70

Race 10:

#2 Margaux Treasure 6-1               29 4th
#4 Capital Gal 7-2                            28 scratched
#10 Second Chance 20-1                 27
#7 Cara’s Dreamweaver 4-1            27

Race 11:

#7 Les Reys (FR) 8-1                        37
#5 Dynamic Pricing (IRE) 9-5        36 1st $5.60
#6 Proctor Street 7-2                        35 3rd $2.30
#9 Ribaltagaia 8-1                             33 scratched 

Race 12:

#2 Key Actress 3-1                             19
#1 Channel Check (GB) 7-2              18
#10 Via Veneto 9-2                             18
#4 Bourbon Milk Punch 8-1              17

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,3

Race 2:  2,4,1,5

Race 3:  3,5,2

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  8,2,12,11

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,4,1,5

Race 3:  3,5,2,1

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  8,2,12,11

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  3,5,2,1

Race 4:  4,5,8

Race 5:  8,2,12,11

Race 6:  2,8,6 *2,8 scratched using 6,1,4

Race 7:  5,1/1a

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4,5,8

Race 5:  8,2,12

Race 6:  2,8,6,1 *2,8 scratched using 6,1,4,9

Race 7:  5,1/1a,10,9

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  8,2,12,11

Race 6:  2,8,6,1 *2,8 scratched using 6,1,4,9

Race 7:  5,1/1a,10

Race 8:  1a/1,10,7

Race 9:  4,3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  2,8,6,1 *2,8 scratched using 6,1,4,9

Race 7:  5,1,10,9

Race 8:  1a/1,10,7,2

Race 9:  4,3,1

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 6:

Race 7:  5,1/1a

Race 8:  1a/1

Race 9:  4,3,1

Race 10: 2,4 *4 scratched using 2,10

Race 11:  7,5,6

Race 12:  2,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  1a/1,10,7,2

Race 9:  4,3,1

Race 10: 2,4,10,7 *4 scratched using 2,10,7,3

Race 11:  7,5,6

Race 12:  2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  4,3,1,5

Race 10: 2,4,10,7 *4 scratched using 2,10,7,3

Race 11:  7,5,6

Race 12:  2,1,10

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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