A Winning Day at the Races!

December 13th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,390/22,123 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,199/22,123. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#8 Looks First 5-2                   15 1st $6.50
#7 Millie Jean 2-1                    14
#5 My Angel 4-1                      13 4th
#4 Political Spin 4-1               12 3rd $4.40

Race 2:

#6 Principe d’Oro 5-2             29 1st $6.70 Dbl $30.60
#4 Frizzante 4-1                       28 2nd $4.30 Ex $31.80
#3 Striking Sparks 9-5             27 3rd $2.40 Tri $83.00
#1 Cumberland Blues 6-1       27

Race 3:

#3 Midnight Trouble 6-1         33 4th
#2 Floki’s Flight 6-5                 32 2nd $2.50
#4 Runnin’ Ray 9-2                   31 1st $7.20
#5 Magnolia Midnight 8-1      30

Race 4:

#5 Stronsino 5-2                       18 1st $9.60
#8 Exploration 9-5                    17
#3 Luca On Point 6-1               16
#4 Sounds Like Fun 15-1         15 scratched

Race 5:

#2 Heavenly Light 8-5              16 1st $3.10 Dbl $15.20
#3 Vague 6-1                               15
#7 Luckforyou 9-2                     14 3rd $2.70
#6 Linda’s Jewel 5-1                  14 2nd $3.70

Race 6:

#4 Sugar Gray Leonard 20-1    28
#8 Thank You Jon 8-5                28 3rd $2.40
#1 Beary Funny 3-1                    27 1st $6.20
#5 Whenlovetakesover 20-1     26 4th

Race 7:

#2 Catchphrase 9-5                   18 2nd $2.40
#3 Mulkey 5-2                             17 scratched
#9 Sky Runner 12-1                   16
#1 Good Mission 8-1                 15

Race 8:

#1a Jake Rocks 9-5                    27 4th
#2 Uncle George 3-1                 26 1st $9.20
#6 Banyan Breeze 4-1               25
#9 Union Lights 20-1                25 3rd $6.40

Race 9:

#1a All Class 5-2                         31 scratched
#5 Caldwell Luvs Gold   3-1      30 1st $4.80
#3 Reliable Lady 8-1                   29
#1 Save Us Melania 5-2              28 2nd $2.80

Race 10:

#3 Professor Grace 8-1              15
#10 Light Thoughts 10-1          14
#4 Frankie Hiccups 7-2              13
#2 Shake On It 10-1                   13

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  8,7 8

Race 2:  6,4,3 6

Race 3:  3,2,4 4

Race 4:  5,8 5

Race 5:  2,3,7 2

$.50 Ticket:  $54 $266.25

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,4,3,1 6

Race 3:  3,2,4 4

Race 4:  5,8 5

Race 5:  2,3,7,6 2

$.50 Ticket:  $48 $71.50

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  5,8

Race 5:  2,3,7,6

Race 6:  4,8,1,5

Race 7:  2,3,9,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  2

Race 6:  4,8,1

Race 7:  2,3 *3 scratched using 2,9

Race 8:  1a/1,2

Race 9:  1a/1,5

Race 10: 3,10,4 *10 scratched using 3,4,5

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  4,8,1,5

Race 7:  2,3,9,1

Race 8:  1a/1,2

Race 9:  1a/1,5

Race 10: 3,10,4,2 *10 scratched using 3,4,5,9

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  2,3 *3 scratched using 2,9

Race 8:  1a/1,2,6,9

Race 9:  1a/1,5,3

Race 10: 3,10,4,2 *10 scratched using 3,4,5,9

$.50 Ticket:  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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