December 17th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,708/17,898, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 8,109/17,898. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Oaklawn Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 North Pole 2-1 15 3rd $2.50
#3 Tiger Town Boy 9-5 13 4th
#9 Sean the Hammer 8-1 12
#8 Growth Mindset 8-1 10

Race 2:

#2 Handsome Cat 4-1 29 3rd $3.80
#3 Digital Future 3-1 28
#7 Leddy 9-2 27
#6 Scilly Cay 5-2 27 1st $15.00

Race 3:

#6 Let Her Inspire U 4-5 32 4th
#5 Venti Valentine 7-2 31 1st $6.90
#1 Spungie 4-1 30 3rd $4.10
#3 Know It All Audrey 9-2 30 2nd $7.40 Spr $390

Race 4:

#8 Saint Eros Girl 9-2 28 1st $5.50
#4 Charley Rude 2-1 27 4th
#2 True Empress 7-2 26
#5 Devilly 12-1 25

Race 5:

#6 Sheriff Bianco 7-5 33 1st $3.20 Dbl $12.00
#8 Jester’s Song 15-1 31
#7 Twelth Man 5-1 30 3rd $2.70
#2 Mauritius 8-1 29

Race 6:

#3 Tapit Trice 2-1 19 1st $5.40 Pk $40.40
#7 Abstract 10-1 19
#2 Summer Cause 3-1 18 3rd $2.40
#6 Slip Mahoney 7-2 17 2nd $3.40

Race 7:

#3 Forces Sweetheart 9-2 28
#1 Les Bon Temps 8-5 28 1st $4.40
#10 Fema Funds 10-1 27
#4 Midtown Lights 7-2 26 2nd $3.60

Race 8:

#3 Perfect Munnings 5-1 34
#8 Dr. Blute 7-2 33
#5 Barese 5-2 33
#1 Market Alert 8-1 31

Race 9:

#11 Vacation Dance 3-1 32
#8 Lifetime of Chance 6-1 30
#9 Rambling Wreck 12-1 30
#3 Playingwithmatches 20-1 29

Race 10:

#4 Joyful Ghost 5-2 12
#1a M.C. Double R 3-1 11
#8 Weyhill Farm Rd 9-2 10
#7 Two Chuckles 6-1 9

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,3,9,8 x

Race 2: 2,3,7 x

Race 3: 6,5 5

Race 4: 8,4,2 8

Race 5: 6,8 6

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,3,7,6 6

Race 3: 6,5,1,3 5

Race 4: 8,4,2,5 8

Race 5: 6,8 6

$.50 Ticket: $64 $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 8,4,2 8

Race 5: 6,8,7 6

Race 6: 3,7,2,6 3

Race 7: 3,1,10 1

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 6:

Race 5: 6 6

Race 6: 3,7,2,6 3

Race 7: 3,1,10,4 1

Race 8: 3,8,5

Race 9: 11,8

Race 10: 4,1a/1

$1.00 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 3,7,2,6 3

Race 7: 3,1,10,4 1

Race 8: 3,8,5

Race 9: 11,8

Race 10: 4,1a/1,8 *8 scratched using 4,1a/1,7

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 3,1,10,4 1

Race 8: 3,8,5,1

Race 9: 11,8,9

Race 10: 4,1a/1,8,7

$.50 Ticket: $96

Oaklawn Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Keen Contender 4-1 12 3rd $9.00
#1 Doozy Batz 4-5 11
#7 Rowdy Daisy 5-1 10 4th
#6 Alita 9-2 10 scratched

Race 2:

#10 St Andrews 3-1 28 2nd $4.00
#9 Penetrator 7-2 27
#6 Hanks 12-1 26 3rd $7.40
#11 Ottoman Empire 8-1 26 4th

Race 3:

#4 Leader of Men 5-2 29 2nd $3.00
#5 Flatout Winner 3-1 28 3rd $2.60
#1 Coach Adams 7-2 27 scratched
#7 Flowers for Lisa 4-1 26

Race 4:

#3 Without a Song 10-1 17
#5 Town Branch 5-2 16 2nd $3.60
#4 Sinner’s Sin 9-2 15 1st $8.20
#8 Ev’s Sherman 7-2 15 4th

Race 5:

#3 Wartime Hero 9-5 27
#12 Primer Dimer 7-2 26
#4 Optimus Kat 9-2 25
#2 Driven One 8-1 24

Race 6:

#2 Invulnerable 7-2 29
#8 Hit Show 2-1 29
#1 Day Trade 15-1 28
#6 Protege 5-2 28

Race 7:

#2 Carribean Caper 5-2 34
#1 Ari Oakley 5-1 33
#8 I’m the Boss of Me 8-1 32
#7 Pretty Birdie 3-1 31

Race 8:

#9 Disc Jockey 9-2 33
#1 Barber Road 4-5 32
#7 Winterwood 8-1 31
#3 U S Navy Cross 6-1 30

Race 9:

#1 Last Samurai 9-2 35
#4 Bal Harbour 5-2 34
#3 Run Classic 8-5 34
#7 King Fury 6-1 33

Race 10:

#9 One Way Or Another 6-5 27
#11 Choctaw Charlie 6-1 26
#2 Lightning Hart 15-1 25
#6 Mocha Kiss 15-1 24

Oaklawn Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,1,7,6 x

Race 2: 10,9,6,11 x

Race 3: 4,5 x

Race 4: 3,5,4 4

Race 5: 3,12,4

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 10,9,6,11 x

Race 3: 4,5,1 x

Race 4: 3,5,4,8 4

Race 5: 3,12,4

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 2,8,1,6

Race 7: 2,1,8,7

Race 8: 9,1

Race 9: 1,4,3

Race 10: 9,11

$.50 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 2,1,8,7

Race 8: 9,1,7,3

Race 9: 1,4

Race 10: 9,11,2,6

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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