A Winning Day at the Races!

December 16th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66%  of the time 11,704/17,889, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 8,105/17,889. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Paxsational 9-2                        18 4th
#3 Venge 2-1                                  17 3rd $5.40
#1 Clubhouse 7-5                          17
#6 Kool Kathmandu 6-1               16 1st $16.60

Race 2:

#1a Blue Paynt 9-5                        29 scratched
#2 Mon Petit Chou 5-2                 29
#1 Chaysenbryn 9-5                      28 4th
#5 Chloe Rose 6-1                          27

Race 3:

#5 Cees Get Degrees 8-5                30 1st $3.80
#2 Outasite 9-2                                28
#3 Upper Level 6-1                          27 3rd $5.20
#4 Cousin Andrew 7-2                    26 2nd $3.20

Race 4:

#5 First Deputy 5-2                         26 2nd $4.00
#8 Son of Darkness 5-1                   25
#1 Musical America 4-1                  25 3rd $3.30
#2 Reux (GB) 10-1                            24

Race 5:

#7 Mischievous Molly 8-1               17
#8 Miss Fashionista 4-1                   16
#1 Cairo Sugar 8-1                            15 scratched
#9 The Splendid One 10-1               14 3rd $4.30

Race 6:

#1 Bon Adieu 6-1                               18
#9 Shinfull 5-2                                    17 1st $7.60
#3 Photon 2-1                                     15
#8 Voleuse 4-1                                    14 3rd $3.50

Race 7:

#1 Funny Joke 3-1                              29 3rd
#2 Printrack 2-1                                  29
#8 Buckingham Prince 6-1                28 scratched
#7 Catching Cupid 5-1                       28

Race 8:

#1 My Sweet Wife 5-1                        28 2nd $5.50
#8 Sweet Surprise 10-1                      27 1st $10.80 Ex $59.50
#4 Jane Grey 1-1                                  27
#3 Caironi 9-2                                      26 scratched

Race 9:

#6 Knowing You 8-1                           18 *Best Bet scratched
#1a Honest Banker 10-1                    16 1st $33.20
#9 Kara Para 5-2                                  15 4th
#5 Slow Down Summer 9-2               15 2nd $4.70

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,3,1 x

Race 2:  1a/1,2 x

Race 3:  5,2,3 5

Race 4:  5,8,1 x

Race 5:  7,8,1 x

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1a/1,2 x

Race 3:  5,2,3,4 5

Race 4:  5,8,1 x

Race 5:  7,8,1,9 x

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  5,2,3,4 5

Race 4:  5,8,1,2 x

Race 5:  7,8,1,9 x

Race 6:  1,9,3 9

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,8,1 x

Race 5:  7,8,1,9 x

Race 6:  1,9,3 9

Race 7:  1,2

Race 8:  1,8,4

Race 9:  6

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  7,8,1,9 x

Race 6:  1,9,3 9

Race 7:  1,2

Race 8:  1,8,4,3

Race 9:  6,1a/1,9

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  1,9,3,8 9

Race 7:  1,2

Race 8:  1,8,4,3

Race 9:  6,1a/1,9,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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