A Winning Day at the Races!
December 21st, 2024 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,428/22,183 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,227/22,183. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…
*5 on top winners last Friday at Aqueduct…
*6 on top winners last Saturday at Gulfstream…
*Saturday’s Full Card Gulfstream & Fair Grounds Picks/Plays Below…
Gulfstream Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#8 Tiz Ready 3-1 18 2nd $4.60
#1 Blackfoot Daisy 5-1 17 1st $9.60 Ex $43.00
#4 Uncaptured Dove 7-2 16 4th
#9 Seminole Sally 12-1 16
Race 2:
#12 Refugiada 8-1 27 4th
#9 She Takes Cash 2-1 26 3rd $2.40
#7 Silent Melody 5-1 25
#1 Bomb Squad 3-1 25 1st $8.60
Race 3:
#8 Into Pleasure 7-2 19 1st $6.00
#9 Tucson 3-1 19 4th
#1 Senor Marcelo (IRE) 5-2 18
#2 Wistucky 4-1 17 2nd $3.40
Race 4:
#2 Intrepid Daydream 6-1 34 4th
#6 Socially Selective 4-1 33 2nd $3.00
#5 Launch 10-1 33 3rd $2.40
#7 Mystic Lake 2-1 32 1st $3.20
Race 5:
#9 Don’t Get Pickled 5-1 27 2nd $5.00
#3 Go Big Green 6-1 26
#1 Dontmesswithtess 9-2 26 3rd $3.00
#2 Cabernet 3-1 25 1st $9.40
Race 6:
#5 No More War 9-2 20 2nd $4.00
#10 Cipher 2-1 19
#11 Cyber Security 12-1 18 scratched
#4 Roger Roger 6-1 18 3rd $5.00
Race 7:
#8 Here’s the Kicker 8-5 29 scratched
#1 Personal Choice 7-2 28 2nd $2.80
#4 Arch Street 12-1 27
#3 Done Enough 5-2 27 3rd $2.60
Race 8:
#10 Arzak 2-1 37 2nd $3.80
#1 Masseto (GB) 12-1 36
#4 Reef Runner 10-1 35 3rd $4.80
#2 XY Speed 8-1 35
Race 9:
#1 Tuscan Sky 5-2 38
#6 Steal Sunshine 4-1 37 3rd $4.20
#3 Cape Trafalgar 6-1 36 4th
#2 Tumbarumba 8-5 35 2nd $3.20
Race 10:
#4 Major Dude 5-1 36 1st $6.40
#5 Win for the Money 5-2 35 3rd $2.80
#2 Grand Sonata 3-1 34 4th
#8 Fort Washington 8-1 33 2nd $9.20 Spr $826.60
Race 11:
#9 Golden Hostess (SAF) 8-1 35
#11 Breath Away (GB) 5-1 35
#7 Be Your Best (IRE) 6-1 34 1st $12.00
#8 Saffron Moon 6-1 33 scratched
Gulfstream Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 8,1,4
Race 2: 12,9,7,1
Race 3: 8,9,1
Race 4: 2,6,5,7
Race 5: 9,3,1
$.50 Ticket: $216
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 12,9,7,1
Race 3: 8,9,1
Race 4: 2,6,5,7
Race 5: 9,3,1,2
$.50 Ticket: $96 $93.90
Pick 6:
Race 6: 5,10,4
Race 7: 8,1 *8 scratched using 1,4,3
Race 8: 10,1,4,2
Race 9: 1,6
Race 10: 4,5,2
Race 11: 9,11,7
$.20 Ticket: $129.60
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 8,1 *8 scratched using 1,4,3
Race 8: 10,1,4,2
Race 9: 1,6,3,2
Race 10: 4,5,2
Race 11: 9,11,7
$.50 Ticket: $216
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 10,1,4,2
Race 9: 1,6,3,2
Race 10: 4,5,2
Race 11: 9,11,7,8
$.50 Ticket: $96
Fair Grounds Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Louisiana Wildlife 7-2 27 4th
#7 Yockey’s Drivethru 4-1 26 1st $8.20
#5 Givemeasecond 6-1 25 2nd $11.20
#3 Alvarado Cat 3-1 25
Race 2:
#8 Undercover Girl 5-2 26 1st $4.40
#2 Broadway Pearl 4-1 25 3rd $2.40
#3 Front and Silver 3-1 24 2nd $3.00 Tri $32.40
#4 Country Belle 8-1 24 4th Spr $133.40
Race 3:
#10 My Boy Tony 7-2 30 scratched
#1 American Hope 6-1 29 1st $7.00
#3 Sand Pipes 9-2 28 2nd $3.00 Ex $17.00
#11 News At Nine 12-1 27 3rd $11.60 Tri $243
Race 4:
#6 Countthebrave 3-1 29
#4 Tough Catch 8-5 28 1st $2.80
#3 Doroteo 6-1 27 2nd $4.00
#2 Indian Cat 8-1 26 3rd $5.40
Race 5:
#7 Whata Moon 3-1 29 2nd $3.00
#1 Her Laugh 9-5 28 scratched
#4 Simply Joking 6-1 27 1st $7.60 Ex $21.60
#2 Sycamore Shoals 7-2 27 4th
Race 6:
#1 Lute Warm 5-2 33
#3 Stir Crazy 9-5 32 1st $5.60
#2 Callie’s Grit 7-2 31 4th
#6 Autism Community 6-1 30 3rd $5.20
Race 7:
#5 Admiral Dennis 9-5 32 4th
#3 Magnitude 2-1 31 2nd $3.40
#2 Render Judgement 4-1 30 3rd $7.20
#1 Built 7-2 29 1st $9.80
Race 8:
#7 One Timer 3-1 36 scratched
#6 Minnesota Ready 4-1 35 2nd $4.00
#4 Panther Island 6-1 34 3rd $2.80
#1 Mischievous Rogue 9-2 33 scratched
Race 9:
#1 Track Phantom 3-1 36 4th
#2 Kinetic 9-2 35 2nd $3.20
#7 Saudi Crown 9-5 34 1st $4.20
#6 Velocitor 5-1 32
Race 10:
#3 Swiftsure 3-1 35 4th
#2 Gigante 9-5 34 1st $3.80
#1 Idratherbeblessed 9-2 33 2nd $8.80
#6 Another Mystery 4-1 32 3rd $3.40 Spr $226
Race 11:
#4 Golden Gamble 5-2 30
#5 California Sunset 9-2 29
#7 Paris Lily 8-1 28
#6 Amarth 7-2 28
Race 12:
#5 Yinzer 6-1 20
#12 Cromwell 8-1 19
#9 Seattle Road 8-1 19
#4 Pretty Capable 15-1 18
Fair Grounds Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 2,7,5,3
Race 2: 8,2,3
Race 3: 10,1,3 *10 scratched using 1,3,11
Race 4: 6,4
Race 5: 7,1,4 *1 scratched using 7,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $108 $360.45
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 8,2,3,4
Race 3: 10,1,3,11
Race 4: 6,4
Race 5: 7,1,4,2 *1 scratched using 7,4,2,6
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (4-8):
Race 4: 6,4,3,2
Race 5: 7,1 *1 scratched using 7,4
Race 6: 1,3,2
Race 7: 5,3
Race 8: 7,6,4,1
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 4 (5-8):
Race 5: 7,1,4,2 *1 scratched using 7,4,2,6
Race 6: 1,3,2,6
Race 7: 5,3
Race 8: 7,6,4,1
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 7: 5,3
Race 8: 7,6,4,1
Race 9: 1,2,7
Race 10: 3,2
Race 11: 4
Race 12: 5,12,9
$1.00 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 5:
Race 8: 7,6,4,1
Race 9: 1,2,7
Race 10: 3,2
Race 11: 4,5,7,6
Race 12: 5,12,9,4
$.50 Ticket: $192
Late Pick 4:
Race 9: 1,2,7,6
Race 10: 3,2
Race 11: 4,5,7,6
Race 12: 5,12,9,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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