December 7th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,370/22,095 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,185/22,095. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*$40.70 on top winner for us last Thursday at Churchill Downs…

*6 on top winners last Friday at Churchill Downs…

*6 on top winners last Saturday at Churchill Downs…

*Early and Middle Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Churchill Downs…

*$554.77 on a $96 ticket…$1,523.85 on a $128 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Munny Grab 5-2 31
#3 Malu 9-5 30 2nd $2.90
#5 Clover Street 6-1 29 3rd $3.10
#4 Call Her Bluff 2-1 28 1st $6.30

Race 2:

#11 Trinity River 6-5 16 scratched
#1 Total Silence 7-2 15 2nd $3.80
#6 Man From Malta 20-1 15
#4 Monte Avi 10-1 14

Race 3:

#2 A Bourbon for Toby 7-2 19 3rd $2.80
#9 Timely Decision 6-1 18 4th
#7 Treaty of Rome 2-1 17 1st $5.10
#1 Derz Smart 9-2 17

Race 4:

#1 Tizzy in the Sky 3-1 34 1st $8.20
#3 Occult 5-2 33 2nd $2.90 Ex $19.60
#7 Ain’t Broke 5-1 32 scratched
#4 Movie Moxy 6-1 32 3rd $6.20 Tri $101

Race 5:

#5 Al’s Ruby 2-1 29 1st $4.60 Dbl $19.60
#2 First Class Cat 9-2 28
#11 P Mutter Pickle 8-1 27 3rd $3.50
#9 Nolita 10-1 27 4th

Race 6:

#1 Army Gal 4-1 17 scratched
#2 Oklahoma Smoke 5-2 16 1st $4.60 Dbl $14.40
#3 Unwoke 10-1 15 Pk 3 $64.00
#6 Currane 8-1 15

Race 7:

#1 Tux 3-1 31 3rd $5.20
#5 Keewaydin 6-5 30
#4 Studlydoright 9-2 29 4th
#2 Aviator Gui 6-1 28 2nd $8.00

Race 8:

#8 Beauty Reigns 9-2 30
#1 Muhimma 4-5 30 1st $2.80
#5 Michelle 20-1 29
#4 Carmen’s Candy Jar 12-1 28

Race 9:

#11 Post Time 7-2 41 3rd $2.70
#7 Locked 9-2 39 1st $6.30
#1 Book’em Danno 4-1 39
#6 Law Professor 15-1 38 scratched

Race 10:

#6 Treaty Obligation 8-1 34 1st $13.20
#8 Quick to Accuse 4-1 33 2nd $3.40 Ex $56.00
#4 Commuted 7-2 33
#9 Magnificent Mile 12-1 32 4th

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,3,5,4

Race 2: 11,1 *11 scratched using 1,6

Race 3: 2,9,7,1

Race 4: 1,3

Race 5: 5,2,11,9

$.50 Ticket: $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 11,1,6,4

Race 3: 2,9,7,1

Race 4: 1,3

Race 5: 5,2,11,9

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 1,3,7,4

Race 5: 5,2,11,9

Race 6: 1,2,3,6

Race 7: 1,5

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 5,2

Race 6: 1,2 *1 scratched using 2,3

Race 7: 1,5

Race 8: 8,1

Race 9: 11,7,1

Race 10: 6,8,4

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 1,2,3,6

Race 7: 1,5

Race 8: 8,1,5

Race 9: 11,7,1

Race 10: 6,8,4

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 1,5

Race 8: 8,1,5,4

Race 9: 11,7,1,6

Race 10: 6,8,4,9

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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