July 17th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,776/21,129 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,733/21,129. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Ziggle Pops (GB) 6-1
#2 Abaan 9-5
#7 Pickanumber (IRE) 2-1
#5 L’Imperator (FR) 3-1

Race 2:

#6 Fazools 2-1 19 scratched
#1 Fade to Grey 6-1 18 1st $8.90
#5 Refuse to Lose 4-1 18 4th
#3 Goodnight My Angel 8-1 17 3rd

Race 3:

#8 Ailani 15-1 18
#7 Bellacose 6-1 18 1st $14.80
#6 Practically Summer 7-2 17
#1 Vehemente 9-5 17 2nd $2.40

Race 4:

#8 Malu 2-1 28 1st $6.70
#1 Dashing Della 15-1 26 2nd $9.20 Ex $80.50
#5 Sharper Gal 5-2 26 3rd $2.50 Tri $220.48
#4 Jay’s Love 8-1 25 scratched

Race 5:

#2 Be Your Best (IRE) 7-2 34
#9 Olivia Maralda 8-5 33
#6 No Show Sammy Jo 5-1 32
#8 Breath Away (GB) 6-1 31

Dirt Selections

#5 Promiseher America 12-1 4th
#11 Ichiban 6-5 3rd
#10 Value Area 3-1 1st $6.20
#1 A Primera Vista 10-1 2nd $3.80

Race 6:

#2 Hue 4-1 16
#1 Lady Reigns 8-1 15
#5 Bobby Jean 12-1 14
#4 Precisely 5-2 14

Dirt Selections

#2 Hue 4-1 1st $5.90
#1 Lady Reigns 8-1
#12 Barstool Babe 7-2
#10 Sassy Allie 10-1 scratched
#7 Park Avenue Betty 15-1
#3 Belliqueux 15-1

Race 7:

#7 Obrigada 8-1 28
#8 Icy Reply 12-1 27
#4 She’s Awesome 6-1 27
#10 Theresasilverlinin 2-1 26 4th

Race 8:

#5 Cap Ferrat 9-2 29
#3 Soloshot 4-1 28
#2 Sohana 4-1 28
#9 Being Betty 6-1 27

Dirt Selections

#5 Cap Ferrat 9-2
#2 Sohana 6-1
#3 Soloshot 4-1
#1 Tour Jete 10-1
#4 My Shea D Lady 8-1

Race 9:

#10 Fantasy Performer 5-1 16
#6 Classic Cara 8-1 15
#9 Coquito 8-1 14
#4 The Taco Lady 6-1 14

Dirt Selections

#15 Maturity Date 4-5
#5 Looking for Ginny 12-1
#11 Blind Speed 20-1
#14 Summer Festival 15-1
#8 American Kestrel 6-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2: 6,1,5,3 *6 scratched using 1,5,3,2

Race 3: 8,7,6,1

Race 4: 8,1,5

Race 5: 2,9 Dirt: 5,11

Race 6: 2,1,5,4 Dirt: 2,1,12,10 *10 scratched using 2,1,12,7

$.50 Ticket: $192

Early Pick 4:

Race 3: 8,7,6,1

Race 4: 8,1,5,4

Race 5: 2,9 Dirt: 5,11

Race 6: 2,1,5,4 Dirt: 2,1,12,10 *10 scratched using 2,1,12,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 4: 8

Race 5: 2,9 Dirt: 5,11

Race 6: 2,1,5,4 Dirt: 2,1,12,10 *10 scratched using 2,1,12,7

Race 7: 7,8,4,10

Race 8: 5,3 Dirt: 5,2

Race 9: 10,6 Dirt: 15,5

$1.00 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 2,9,6,8 Dirt: 5,11,10,1

Race 6: 2,1,5,4 Dirt: 2,1,12,10 *10 scratched using 2,1,12,7

Race 7: 7,8,4,10

Race 8: 5,3 Dirt: 5,2

Race 9: 10,6,9 Dirt: 15,5,11

$.50 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 2,1,5,4 Dirt: 2,1,12,10 *10 scratched using 2,1,12,7

Race 7: 7,8,4,10

Race 8: 5,3,2 Dirt: 5,2,3 *3 scratched using 5,2,11

Race 9: 10,6,9 Dirt: 15,5,11

$.50 Ticket: $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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