July 18th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,781/21,137 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,737/21,137. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#6 Cinderella’s Cause 8-5 31 2nd $3.70
#3 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 9-5 30 1st $6.30 Ex $24.80
#1 Racing Colors 9-2 29 4th
#4 Saratoga Kisses 6-1 28 3rd $5.40 Spr $235

Race 2:

#1 She’s Always Rosie 8-5 30 2nd $2.60
#8 Six Pack Senorita 6-1 29
#3 Oh My Mia 4-1 28 scratched
#2 Roman Goddess 6-1 28 3rd $2.90

Race 3:

#2 Super Lucky Lady 3-1 29 3rd $2.60
#1 Bella Voce 10-1 28
#9 Tipsy Runner 5-2 28 1st $8.20
#6 Boss of All 6-1 27 2nd $4.90

Race 4:

#2 Courtly Banker 6-1 30 2nd $4.70
#5 The Big Torpedo 4-5 30 1st $3.00 Ex $14.80
#4 Fidelightcayut 7-2 29 3rd $2.10 Tri $27.60
#1 Six Fortyfive 8-1 28

Race 5:

#6 Tommy Two Socks 6-1 30 4th
#7 Iridescent 5-2 29 2nd $3.30
#1 Stingy 10-1 28 3rd $3.60
#4 Cool Operator 9-2 28 scratched

Race 6:

#3 Gathered 8-1 19
#10 Brindi (IRE) 7-2 19
#9 Moon Gate 4-1 18 3rd $3.60
#1 Flirting With Time 6-1 184th

Race 7:

#1 Refuah 12-1 29
#3 Furious Anger 12-1 28
#6 Own the Field 4-1 28 3rd $3.10
#7 Reserve Currency 3-1 27 1st $9.30

Race 8:

#3 Catskill Humor 10-1 29
#7 Highway Harmony 4-1 29 scratched
#8 Miss Pretender 7-2 28 4th
#2 Sweet Dutchess 9-2 28 1st $13.00

Race 9:

#1 Proctor Street 8-1 31 1st $36.80
#5 Grayosh 9-2 30 2nd $4.70 Ex $201
#6 Dancing Dean 8-1 29
#9 Mixologist 4-1 28

Race 10:

#10 Braca 8-1 17 *Best Bet 3rd $3.40
#3 Hey Toby 3-1 15 1st $5.00
#7 Tomschickenfingers 6-1 15 4th
#6 Saka Shocka 4-1 14

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 6,3

Race 2: 1,8,3,2

Race 3: 2,1,9

Race 4: 2,5,4

Race 5: 6,7,1,4

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,8,3,2

Race 3: 2,1,9,6

Race 4: 2,5,4

Race 5: 6,7,1

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 2,5,4

Race 5: 6,7,1,4

Race 6: 3,10,9

Race 7: 1,3,6,7

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 5: 6,7

Race 6: 3,10,9,1

Race 7: 1,3,6,7

Race 8: 3,7,8 *7 scratched using 3,8,2

Race 9: 1,5

Race 10: 10

$1.00 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 3,10,9,1

Race 7: 1,3,6,7

Race 8: 3,7,8 *7 scratched using 3,8,2

Race 9: 1,5,6

Race 10: 10,3

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 1,3,6,7 7

Race 8: 3,7,8,2 2

Race 9: 1,5,6,9 1

Race 10: 10,3 10

$.50 Ticket: $64 $509.75

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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