July 20th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,795/21,157 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,748/21,157. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*$36.80 on top winner & Late Pick 4 for us Thursday…$509.75 on a $48 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga & Monmouth Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 Luca’s Mischief 6-1 19
#3 Clever Again 7-2 18 scratched
#7 Hands of Time 6-1 18 4th
#2 Without Caution 15-1 17 1st $28.40

Race 2:

#1a Self Isolation 7-5 28 2nd $2.80
#3 My First Love 4-1 28 3rd $2.70
#5 It Takes Heart 9-5 27 1st $4.60 Tri $21.60
#1 Starship Defiant 7-5 27 scratched

Race 3:

#1 King Puck 1-1 17 2nd $2.50
#8 Outtawaterbury 8-1 16
#2 Nano Man 6-1 15 1st $14.00
#4 He Has It All 3-1 15 4th

Race 4:

#4 On the Hill 5-1 29 2nd $3.40
#1 Silver Satin 2-1 28 1st $6.40 Ex $17.20
#3 Boss Tweed 4-1 28
#5 Fast Buck Freddy 6-1 27 scratched

Race 5:

#1 Xcellent Men 3-1 27 scratched
#3 Safalow’s Mission 2-1 26
#9 Assertive Attitude 10-1 26 4th
#8 Bobby the Tank 9-2 25 1st $6.90

Race 6:

#3 Masterof the Tunes 6-1 30 4th
#1 Reconcile 4-1 29
#6 Parola Sicura 5-2 28
#5 Girls Weekend 4-1 27

Race 7:

#6 Ranger Battalion 15-1 20
#10 Social Hour 6-1 19
#3 Dapper Moon 8-1 19 2nd $7.80
#5 Perfect Force 8-1 18 3rd $4.20

Race 8:

#7 Arro Smash 4-1 34
#5 Deer District 5-1 33
#3 Gun It 4-1 32 4th
#9 Midnight Trouble 10-1 31

Race 9:

#2 Major Dude 3-1 35 *Best Bet 1st $6.10
#6 Cash Equity (FR) 8-1 33 3rd $4.00
#3 Belouni (FR) 4-1 32
#9 Steady On 6-1 31

Race 10:

#2 Oversubscribed (GB) 5-2 33 2nd $3.30
#1 Gavea (GER) 15-1 32 4th
#3 Manama Gold 5-1 31
#4 Vive Veuve 8-1 31 3rd $5.80

Race 11:

#1 Candied 5-2 35
#3 Thorpedo Anna 1-2 35
#4 Leslie’s Rose 5-1 34
#5 Intricate 8-1 33

Race 12:

#1 Factor Analysis 7-5 19
#6 Vintage Vino 8-1 18
#5 El Rezeen 9-2 17
#8 The Jackal 6-1 17

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,3,7,2 *3 scratched using 4,7,2,1

Race 2: 1a/1,3,5

Race 3: 1,8,2

Race 4: 4,1,3

Race 5: 1,3 *1 scratched 3,9

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1a/1,3,5

Race 3: 1,8,2,4

Race 4: 4,1,3

Race 5: 1,3,9,8

$.50 Ticket: $72 $86.37

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 4,1,3,5

Race 5: 1,3,9,8

Race 6: 3,1,6

Race 7: 6,10,3,5

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 1,3,9 *1 scratched using 3,9,8

Race 6: 3,1,6,5

Race 7: 6,10,3,5

Race 8: 7,5,3,9

Race 9: 2

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 3,1,6,5

Race 7: 6,10,3,5

Race 8: 7,5,3,9

Race 9: 2,6

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 7: 6,10,3,5

Race 8: 7,5,3

Race 9: 2

Race 10: 2,1,3

Race 11: 1,3

Race 12: 1

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 7,5,3

Race 9: 2,6,3

Race 10: 2,1,3,4

Race 11: 1,3

Race 12: 1,6,5

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 2,6

Race 10: 2,1,3,4

Race 11: 1,3,4,5

Race 12: 1,6,5,8

$.50 Ticket: $64

Monmouth Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#12 Midnite Lumberjack 10-1 15 3rd $9.00
#1 I See You Lookin 3-1 15
#3 Different Flame 6-1 14 1st $11.80
#6 Money Magician 5-2 14

Race 2:

#8 Wickline 2-1 31
#1 Atomic Tone 3-1 30 4th
#3 Awesome City 6-1 29 2nd $6.20
#5 Kamui 5-2 28

Race 3:

#9 Fatima’s Blessing 6-1 29 2nd $6.60
#8 Cabinet Pik 30-1 28
#1 Veterans Beach 6-1 28
#5 Winning Factor 6-1 27

Race 4:

#7 Running Right by U 3-1 27
#6 Hello Pop 10-1 26 scratched
#1 Optical Bijou 10-1 25 2nd $15.60
#9 Dr. Doyle 7-2 25 4th

Race 5:

#3 Olivia Maralda (IRE) 7-2 36
#5 Maman Joon (IRE) 4-1 35
#7 Beaute Cachee (FR) 3-1 34 1st $11.20
#1 Delahaye 7-2 34 3rd $2.60

Race 6:

#1 Kathleen O. 10-1 34
#6 Idiomatic 3-5 34 1st $2.20
#3 Just Katherine 8-1 33 scratched
#5 Misty Veil 4-1 32 scratched

Race 7:

#6 Coco Crush 8-1 30
#2 Miss San Gabriel 8-1 29 2nd $5.20
#5 Lady Madonna 7-2 28 3rd $2.60
#1 Definite Diva 15-1 28

Race 8:

#8 Dilger (IRE) 7-2 31
#3 The Monopoly Man 6-1 30
#5 Tiger Moon 3-1 30
#2 Colloquy 5-1 29 scratched

Race 9:

#4 Alogon 6-1 37 scratched
#8 Nothing Better 3-1 36 1st $9.40
#5 Arzak 5-2 35 3rd $2.10
#6 Extendo 5-1 34 4th

Race 10:

#1 Stage Raider 6-1 35
#3 Highland Falls 6-5 34 2nd $2.40
#8 Tapit Trice 2-1 33 1st $7.60
#5 Khozeiress 15-1 32 4th

Race 11:

#4 Adhamo (IRE) 8-1 39
#5 Fort Washington 8-1 38
#7 Dataman 10-1 37
#6 Running Bee 8-1 37

Race 12:

#3 Tuscan Sky 9-2 38
#7 Mindframe 9-5 37 2nd $2.40
#1 Dornoch 5-2 37 1st $8.80
#5 Fierceness 5-2 36 scratched

Race 13:

#8 Guildenstern (IRE) 4-1 29
#2 Ready to Fly 7-2 28
#1 Late Call 6-1 27
#4 Mickey Shillelagh 6-1 27

Race 14:

#9 Fancy Azteca 2-1 30
#1 Coolcalm Collected 4-1 29
#7 D’ tiger Lily 12-1 28
#5 Spouty’s Girl 8-1 27

Monmouth Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 12,1,3,6

Race 2: 8,1

Race 3: 9,8,1,5

Race 4: 7,6,1,9

Race 5: 3,5,7

$.50 Ticket: $192

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 8,1

Race 3: 9,8,1,5

Race 4: 7,6,1,9

Race 5: 3,5,7,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 3,5,7,1

Race 6: 1,6,3

Race 7: 6,2,5

Race 8: 8,3,5

Race 9: 4,8,5

$.50 Ticket: $162

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 1,6,3,5

Race 7: 6,2,5,1

Race 8: 8,3,5

Race 9: 4,8,5

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 8: 8,3,5

Race 9: 4,8,5

Race 10: 1,3,8

Race 11: 4,5,7,6

Race 12: 3,7,1

Race 13: 8,2

$.20 Ticket: $129.60

Pick 4 (9-12):

Race 9: 4,8,5,6

Race 10: 1,3,8

Race 11: 4,5,7,6

Race 12: 3,7,1

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 10: 1,3,8

Race 11: 4,5,7,6

Race 12: 3,7,1,5

Race 13: 8,2,1

Race 14: 9,1 *1 scratched using 9,7

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 11: 4,5,7,6

Race 12: 3,7,1,5

Race 13: 8,2,1,4

Race 14: 9,1 *1 scratched using 9,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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