July 4th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,203/23,413 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,826/23,413. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

Happy Fourth of July!!

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Miss Mottley 3-1 31
#4 Awesome Czech 5-2 30
#8 Betula (GB) 10-1 29
#5 Vino Rouge 7-2 29

Race 2:

#4 My Sweetheart 2-1 29
#5 Miss Magical 4-1 28
#2 Kingsolver 3-1 27
#6 Simone 9-2 26

Race 3:

#6 War Stride 8-5 34
#1 Acoustic Ave 4-1 33
#2 Over and Ollie 7-2 32
#4 Shadow Dragon 4-1 31

Race 4:

#4 Orgonite 10-1 19
#8 Dirand (IRE) 3-1 18
#6 Your Lordship (GB) 4-1 18
#2 Roger Roger 6-1 17

Race 5:

#6 Ranger Battalion 7-5 27
#7 Frantic 9-2 26
#5 Awesome Empire 5-1 26
#4 Tiote 7-2 25

Race 6:

#1 Irish Goodbye 3-1 17
#6 Minorinconvenience 7-2 16
#3 Mo Dodgy 8-1 15
#7 Santinni 5-1 15

Race 7:

#1a Rebellious Type 2-1 19
#2 Apalta 7-2 18
#5 Subito 8-1 18
#3 Shadow Banking 3-1 17

Race 8:

#4 Zulu Kingdom (IRE) 6-5 34
#5 Reagan’s Wit 7-2 33
#10 Strate Cash 10-1 32
#6 Uncatalyzed (GB) 8-1 31

Race 9:

#1 Tank 12-1 33
#6 Final Gambit 5-2 33
#5 Test Score 4-1 32
#4 New Century (GB) 3-1 31

Race 10:

#7 Antiquarian 4-1 41
#8 Awesome Aaron 7-2 40
#4 Locked 8-5 39
#5 Bendoog 12-1 38

Race 11:

#2 Our Shot 10-1 36
#1 Mischievous Angel 6-1 35
#6 Works for Me 4-1 34
#7 Felix 5-1 33

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,4,8,5

Race 2: 4,5,2

Race 3: 6,1,2

Race 4: 4,8,6,2

Race 5: 6,7

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,5,2,6

Race 3: 6,1,2,4

Race 4: 4,8,6,2

Race 5: 6,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 6,1,2

Race 4: 4,8,6,2

Race 5: 6,7,5,4

Race 6: 1,6

Race 7: 1a/1,2

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 4,8,6,2

Race 5: 6,7,5,4

Race 6: 1,6,3,7

Race 7: 1a/1,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 6,7,5,4

Race 6: 1,6,3

Race 7: 1a/1,2,5,3

Race 8: 4,5

Race 9: 1,6,5

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 6:

Race 6: 1,6,3,7

Race 7: 1a/1,2

Race 8: 4

Race 9: 1,6,5

Race 10: 7,8,4

Race 11: 2,1,6

$1.00 Ticket: $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 1a/1,2,5,3

Race 8: 4,5

Race 9: 1,6,5,4

Race 10: 7,8,4

Race 11: 2,1,6,7

$.50 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 4,5

Race 9: 1,6,5,4

Race 10: 7,8,4,5

Race 11: 2,1,6,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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