June 23rd, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• June 22, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,544/19,159, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,79/19,159. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our pick

*Early & Middle Pick 4’s for us last Thursday at Belmont…$582.50 on a $54 ticket…$668.50 on a $54 ticket…

*Closed out last Friday’s Belmont Card with Top Choice “Timely Conquest”, paying $47.40…

*Visit the Membership Page to Purchase a “Weekend Pass”…$22.99 for Full Access to Saturday’s Belmont/Ellis & Sunday’s Belmont Picks/Plays…

*Friday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 May Princess 7-2                      17 2nd $3.60
#3 Sorority Party 2-1                    16
#5 Cara’s Time 5-2                        15 1st $8.10
#1 Sun and Wind 4-1                    14 3rd $4.00

Race 2:

#2 Barrage 5-2                                30
#3 Catch That Party 7-5               29 1st $3.40
#6 Agent Creed 7-2                        28 2nd $4.00
#5 Battle Scars 8-1                         27 3rd $5.80

Dirt Selections

#6 Agent Creed 7-2
#1 Bossmakinbossmoves 15-1
#7 Son of an Ex 4-1
#2 Barrage 5-2

Race 3:

#5 Vita de Vito 5-1                         17
#8 Hollywoodland 4-1                   16
#6 Pitch Clock 7-2                           15 1st $4.40
#2 Spell On You 5-1                        15

Race 4:

#5 Juliana’s Rose 4-1                     26 4th
#3 La Aguililla 3-1                          25 3rd $3.70
#2 Chasing Daylight 9-5               25 2nd $3.20
#6 Into Happiness 6-1                   24 1st $7.00

Race 5:

#1 Antonio of Venice 7-2              18 3rd $2.40
#5 Works for Me 5-2                       17 1st $3.80
#3 A Knight’s Courage 20-1          16
#2 Mo Batten 6-1                            15

Race 6:

#8 Orange Freeze 3-1                      16 1st $4.30
#5 Lem Me Drink 6-1                       15 3rd $3.50
#2 Kara Para 6-1                               14
#3 Camcha 6-1                                  14 2nd $5.70

Dirt Selections

#2 Kara Para 6-1
#11 Dreaming of Carli 8-1
#1 My Cara Mia Mine 10-1

Race 7:

#3 Volkert 2-1                                   17 4th
#2 Foliage 4-1                                   15 1st $9.60
#5 Majestic Johnson 9-2                 15
#8 Run Smitty Run 12-1                  14

Dirt Selections

#6 Dads Good Runner 20-1
#10 Pressure 9-5
#8 Run Smitty Run 12-1
#11 Moving Pictures 7-2

Race 8:

#2 Amaretti 2-1                                30
#1 To a T 7-2                                      28
#3 Cupids Girl 8-1                            28
#1a Royal Poppy 7-2                         27

Race 9:

#13 Captain Party 3-1 AE                 17
#12 Stow On the Wold 7-2               16
#3 Gossiping Pando 12-1                  15
#1 Born Dancer 5-1                            14
#10 Tony O 8-1                                    14

Dirt Selections

#9 Factually Correct 8-1
#6 Chulligan 9-2
#16 Two Chuckles 10-1
#3 Gossiping Pando 12-1

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,3,5,1 5

Race 2:  2,3,6 Dirt:  6,1,7 3

Race 3:  5,8,6 6

Race 4: 5,3,2 x

Race 5:  1,5 5

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,3,6,5 Dirt:  6,1,7,2 3

Race 3:  5,8,6,2 6

Race 4:  5,3,2 x

Race 5:  1,5 5

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  5,8,6,2 6

Race 4:  5,3,2,6 6

Race 5:  1,5 5

Race 6:  8,5,2,3 Dirt: 2,11,1 8

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,3,2 x

Race 5:  1,5 5

Race 6:  8,5,2 Dirt: 2,11,1 8

Race 7:  3 Dirt: 6 x

Race 8:  2,1 *2 scratched using 1/1a,3

Race 9:  13,12,3 Dirt: 9,6,16

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  1,5,3,2 5

Race 6:  8,5,2 Dirt: 2,11,1 8

Race 7:  3,2 Dirt: 6,10 2

Race 8:  2,1/1a,3

Race 9:  13,12,3,1 Dirt: 9,6,16,3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  8,5,2,3 Dirt: 2,11,1 8

Race 7:  3,2,5 Dirt: 6,10,8 2

Race 8:  2,1/1a,3

Race 9:  13,12,3,1 Dirt: 9,6,16,3

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.