June 22nd, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• June 21, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,538/19,150, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,787/19,150. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our pick

*Early & Middle Pick 4’s for us last Thursday at Belmont…$582.50 on a $54 ticket…$668.50 on a $54 ticket…

*Closed out last Friday’s Belmont Card with Top Choice “Timely Conquest”, paying $47.40…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Mount Up 6-5                     19 1st $2.80
#6 Coalville 4-1                        18 2nd $4.70
#2 Treaty Obligation 3-1        18 3rd $2.10
#3 Big Night Out 9-2               17 4th

Race 2:

#4 Chasing the Crown 3-1     34 3rd $2.20
#5 Easter (FR) 5-2                    33 1st $6.10
#1 Verbal 8-5                             32 2nd $3.10 
#3 Duke of Hazzard (FR) 4-1  31 4th

Dirt Selections

#7 Constitutionlawyer 3-5
#6 Sky and Sand 10-1

Race 3:

#6 Greatest Love 4-5               27 1st $3.50
#4 Vallarand 6-1                       26 2nd $6.20 Ex $20
#5 Raffinity 2-1                        25 4th
#3 Gringotts 12-1                     24 3rd $2.70

Race 4:

#9 Act of Congress 7-2            28 1st $6.20
#7 Brisky Frolic 5-1                  27 4th
#5 Saratoga Gaze 8-1               26 scratched
#4 Boss of All 10-1                    26 3rd $3.80

Dirt Selections

#3 Bella Principessa 5-2
#7 Brisky Frolic 5-1
#11 Baby Sox 5-1
#6 Try It Again 15-1

Race 5:

#5 Culprit 5-2                            20 4th
#4 Dark Vintage (IRE) 7-2       19 3rd $3.70
#3 Noted 3-1                              18 2nd $5.40
#6 Weekend Concerto 6-1       17 scratched

Dirt Selections

#3 Noted 3-1
#9 Rock Star Boy 7-2
#5 Culprit 5-2
#1 Mayor Jack 15-1

Race 6:

#4 Nova Rags 8-5                       34 2nd $2.10
#5 Colonel Bowman 7-5           34 scratched
#2 Secret Rules 6-1                    32 3rd
#1 Cees Get Degrees 7-2           31 1st $5.40 e

Race 7:

#6 Daufuskie Island 5-2           33 1st $4.30
#4 Unique Unions 7-2               32 3rd $2.90
#1 Big Engine 2-1                      32 2nd $2.90
#3 Thrill of It 6-1                       31

Race 8:

#8 Big Brass Bed 9-5                   31
#5 Lifelovenlaughter 6-1           30
#4 Root Cause 2-1                       29
#3 Fast Kimmie 12-1                   28

Dirt Selections

#6 Quarrel 5-1
#8 Big Brass Bed 9-5
#7 Tap It Up 15-1
#1 Stephanie’s Charm 12-1

Race 9:

#8 Steelersfanforlife 15-1          27
#3 Hilliard 2-1                              27
#4 Splendid Summer 7-2            26
#10 Cumberland Blues 10-1      25

Dirt Selections

#10 Cumberland Blues 10-1
#12 Blu Grotto 9-5
#5 Fingal 10-1
#7 Life and Light 20-1

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,6,2 1

Race 2:  4,5,1 Dirt: 7,6 5

Race 3:  6 6

Race 4:  9,7,5,4 Dirt: 3,7,11,6 9

Race 5:  5,4,3 Dirt: 3,9,5

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,5,1,3 Dirt: 7,6 5

Race 3:  6,4,5 6

Race 4:  9,7,5,4 Dirt: 3,7,11,6 9

Race 5:  5,4 Dirt: 3,9

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  6,4,5 6

Race 4:  9,7,5,4 Dirt: 3,7,11,6 9

Race 5:  5,4,3,6 Dirt: 3,9,5,1

Race 6:  4,5 *5 scratched using 4,2

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 4:  9,7,5,4 Dirt: 3,7,11,6 9

Race 5:  5,4,3 Dirt: 3,9,5

Race 6:  4,5 *5 scratched using 4,2

Race 7:  6,4

Race 8:  8 Dirt: 6

Race 9:  8,3,4 Dirt: 10,12,5

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  5,4,3 Dirt: 3,9,5

Race 6:  4,5 *5 scratched using 4,2

Race 7:  6,4,1

Race 8:  8,5,4 Dirt: 6,9,7

Race 9:  8,3,4,10 Dirt: 10,12,5,7

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  4,5 *5 scratched using 4,2

Race 7:  6,4,1,3

Race 8:  8,5,4,3 Dirt: 6,9,7,1

Race 9:  8,3,4,10 Dirt: 10,12,5,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.