June 28th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,178/23,370 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,810/23,370. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 5 for us last Friday at Aqueduct …$650.25 on a $128 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#6 Stolen Base 4-1 31 1st $7.60
#3 Slip Mahoney 8-1 30 scratched
#5 Notah 7-2 29 2nd $6.00 Ex $44.20
#4 Bergen 3-1 28 3rd $2.90 Tri $108.48

Race 2:

#1 Mutaawid 6-1 34 1st $9.20 Dbl $36.20
#3 English Conqueror 3-1 33 scratched
#2 Bourbon Day 5-2 33 4th
#5 Catch a Wave 2-1 32 2nd $2.80

Race 3:

#1 Twenty Six Black 5-2 35 4th
#5 Senbei 2-1 34 1st $4.90
#2 Run Curtis Run 5-1 33 3rd $4.10
#3 Bold Journey 8-5 32 2nd $6.10 Spr $101

Race 4:

#7 Fully Booked 6-1 19
#2 Interceptor 2-1 18 1st $7.80
#3 Barb 7-2 18 2nd $2.40
#1 Vow of Secrecy 4-1 17 scratched

Race 5:

#1a Street Swagg 3-1 30 scratched
#4 Silo Ridge 3-1 29 scratched
#7 Tabeguache 5-2 29 3rd $2.10
#5 J J’s Joker 6-1 28 4th

Race 6:

#7 Fireballin 3-1 30 3rd $3.60
#5 Sir Kartrite 9-5 29
#4 Tarpaulin 5-1 28
#6 Trust Fund 9-2 28 1st $6.60

Race 7:

#9 Feral’s Joy 3-1 29 scratched
#1 Doomed 7-2 28 4th
#10 Gene and Jude 5-1 27
#7 Mo Kreesa 6-1 27 1st $6.70

Race 8:

#3 Sir Oscar 7-5 18 2nd $2.40
#6 Moe Eighty Eight 6-1 16 3rd $2.40
#4 Terminal Velocity 12-1 15 1st $16.20 Tri $86.48
#7 Before the Wind 6-1 15 4th Spr $308

Race 9:

#4 Danneel 9-2 27
#1 Rodeo Star 10-1 26 3rd $5.50
#3 Harlan’s Bond 4-1 25
#9 Dolce Sera 5-1 25

Race 10:

#7 Rohan 6-1 28 3rd $5.10
#3 Barnstorming 3-1 27 1st $4.90
#5 Hard Par 6-1 27
#4 Royal Browne 2-1 26

Race 11:

#12 Oat Coutour 3-1 AE 16
#8 The Commish 7-2 16
#11 Orie 4-1 AE 15
#9 Dead Aim 30-1 15
#3 Nyikos 8-1 14
#7 Maybern 5-1 13

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 6,3,5,4

Race 2: 1,3,2,5

Race 3: 1,5

Race 4: 7,2,3

Race 5: 1a/1,4,7 *4 scratched using 1a/1,7,5

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,3,2,5

Race 3: 1,5,2,3

Race 4: 7,2,3,1

Race 5: 1a/1,4 *4 scratched using 1a/1,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 1,5,2,3

Race 4: 7,2,3

Race 5: 1a/1,4,7 *4 scratched using 1a/1,7,5

Race 6: 7,5

Race 7: 9,1,10 *9 scratched using 1,10,7

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 7,2,3

Race 5: 1a/1,4,7 *4 scratched using 1a/1,7,5

Race 6: 7,5

Race 7: 9,1,10,7 *9 scratched using 1,10,7,8

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick (5-9):

Race 5: 1a/1,4,7 *4 scratched using 1a/1,7,5

Race 6: 7,5,4,6

Race 7: 9,1,10 *9 scratched using 1,10,7

Race 8: 3,6

Race 9: 4,1,3

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 6:

Race 6: 7,5

Race 7: 9,1 *9 scratched using 1,10

Race 8: 3

Race 9: 4,1,3

Race 10: 7,3

Race 11: 12,8,11 *12 scratched using 8,11,9

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 9,1,10,7 *9 scratched using 1,10,7,8

Race 8: 3,6

Race 9: 4,1,3,9

Race 10: 7,3,5,4

Race 11: 12,8,11 *12 scratched using 8,11,9

$50 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 3,6

Race 9: 4,1,3,9

Race 10: 7,3,5,4

Race 11: 12,8,11,9 *12 scratched using 8,11,9,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

Churchill Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 I C Light 7-2 17 4th
#6 Track Legend 3-1 16 scratched
#1 Prince of Light 6-1 15
#2 The Standard 9-2 15 3rd $4.04

Race 2:

#4 Kavanaugh 4-1 18
#7 Streetcar 10-1 18
#1 Rule Seventy Six 8-1 17 3rd $4.22
#3 Sardis 3-1 16 2nd $5.08

Race 3:

#6 Fountain Lake 3-1 31 3rd $2.28
#4 Shangrala Road 5-2 30
#8 Excite 2-1 29 2nd $4.22
#3 So Sandy 10-1 29 1st $23.90

Race 4:

#10 Classic Car Wash 4-1 32
#4 El Magnifico 3-1 31 1st $5.88
#1 Pure Class 12-1 31 scratched
#3 Gunner Bay 5-1 30 2nd $5.70

Race 5:

#3 Lambo 3-1 30 3rd $2.46
#4 Thirty Two Chunk 4-1 29 2nd $4.94
#8 Honest Al 5-1 29 scratched
#1 Incursion 12-1 28 1st $12.16 Tri $171

Race 6:

#8 Pretty in a Dress 6-1 19
#9 Lost and Found 10-1 18 2nd $4.36
#14 Temperate 4-1 18 3rd $3.28
#2 Speighter Woman 7-2 17

Race 7:

#4 Gin Gin 7-2 36 4th
#1 Royal Spa 4-1 35 2nd $2.94
#3 Thorpedo Anna 3-5 35 1st $2.70
#2 Save Time 20-1 34

Race 8:

#5 Lush Lips (GB) 9-5 33 1st $5.24
#6 Vixen 2-1 32 3rd $2.52
#2 Something Stronger 10-131
#4 Princess Attitude 10-1 30 2nd $10.74

Race 9:

#1 Dr. Venkman 5-2 35 2nd $3.48
#3 Booth 2-1 35 4th
#8 Durante 8-1 34 3rd $3.94
#2 Three Technique 10-1 33

Race 10:

#8 Fort Washington 6-1 39
#4 Mercante 5-2 38 scratched
#7 Brilliant Berti 3-1 38 1st $6.08
#2 Lagynos 6-1 37 3rd $3.04

Race 11:

#1 First Mission 4-1 41 3rd $2.70
#2 Mindframe 7-2 40 1st $5.76
#5 Mystik Dan 3-1 39 4th
#4 Sierra Leone 5-2 38 2nd $3.06

Race 12:

#1 Reagan’s Wit 3-1 34
#8 Freedom’s Not Free 7-2 33
#10 Anegada 12-1 32
#3 Tiztastic 5-2 32

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,6,1,2 *6 scratched using 4,1,2,8

Race 2: 4,7,1,3

Race 3: 6,4,8

Race 4: 10,4,1 *1 scratched using 10,4,3

Race 5: 3,4

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,7,1,3

Race 3: 6,4,8

Race 4: 10,4,1,3 *1 scratched using 10,4,3,2

Race 5: 3,4,8 *8 scratched using 3,4,1

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 10,4,1,3 *1 scratched using 10,4,3,2

Race 5: 3,4,8 *8 scratched using 3,4,1

Race 6: 8,9,14,2

Race 7: 4,1,3

Race 8: 5,6

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 3,4,8 *8 scratched using 3,4,1

Race 6: 8,9,14,2

Race 7: 4,1,3

Race 8: 5,6

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 5 (6-10):

Race 6: 8,9,14,2

Race 7: 4,1,3

Race 8: 5,6

Race 9: 1,3,8,2

Race 10: 8,4,7 *4 scratched using 8,7,2

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 6:

Race 7: 4,1,3

Race 8: 5,6

Race 9: 1,3,8,2

Race 10: 8,4,7 *4 scratched using 8,7,2

Race 11: 1,2,5,4

Race 12: 1,8

$.20 Ticket: $115.20

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 5,6

Race 9: 1,3,8,2

Race 10: 8,4,7,2

Race 11: 1,2,5,4

Race 12: 1,8

$.50 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 1,3

Race 10: 8,4,7,2

Race 11: 1,2,5,4

Race 12: 1,8,10,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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