
A Winning Day at the Races!
June 5th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,087/23,219 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,740/23,219. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…
Saratoga Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Blinging It Back 3-1 28 2nd $2.50
#5 Romeo 9-5 28 3rd $2.20
#4 Mercilesanihilator 4-1 27
#3 Mythical 8-5 27 1st $5.70
Race 2:
#1 Magnum’s Microbrst 10-1 17 4th
#3 Share Repurchase 6-1 16 scratched
#5 Fire’s Out 9-2 15
#2 New Attitude (IRE) 8-1 15
Race 3:
#3 Sassy C W 8-5 28 1st $2.90
#6 Vernon Valley 2-1 27 3rd $2.10
#2 Gena B 2-1 27 2nd $3.40
#4 Ticket to Ride 10-1 26
Race 4:
#4 Tales of The Heart 3-1 29 4th
#9 La Salvadorena 9-2 28 2nd $5.40
#7 Sol Hope 4-1 27
#11 Bundchen 8-1 26
Race 5:
#5 Nonna Lynne 7-2 16 2nd
#12 Hello Beauty 3-1 AE 16 scratched
#9 Trulli Magic 8-1 15
#7 On a Summer Day 4-1 15
#10 Heavenly Girl 5-1 14
Race 6:
#8 Velvet Vortex 2-1 30 1st $3.80
#9 Donor Advised 9-2 29
#4 Limes Don’t Lie 8-1 28 3rd $3.20
#2 Table Flirt 5-1 27 2nd $6.50
Race 7:
#1 Pandora’s Gift (IRE) 3-1 37
#4 Danse Macabre 9-2 36
#2 Future Is Now 2-1 35 2nd $4.30
#6 Pipsy (IRE) 6-1 34 1st $12.40
Race 8:
#8 Film Star 7-2 34 4th
#4 Willy D’s 9-2 33 1st $5.10
#3 Classic Catch 9-2 33 2nd $3.80
#9 Wild Vine 8-1 32
Race 9:
#7 Depiction 10-1 36
#2 Intellect (FR) 5-1 35 2nd $4.00
#6 Sherlock’s Jewel 8-1 34
#8 Donegal Momentum 5-1 33 1st $8.60
Race 10:
#11 Raghba 15-1 17
#3 Green Jobs 6-1 17
#9 Smartest 9-2 16
#1 Queens Fable (IRE) 5-1 15
Saratoga Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 2,5,4,3
Race 2: 1,3,5,2 *3 scratched using 1,5,2,7
Race 3: 3,6
Race 4: 4,9,7
Race 5: 5,12,9 *12 scratched using 5,9,7
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 1,3,5,2 *3 scratched using 1,5,2,7
Race 3: 3,6
Race 4: 4,9,7,11
Race 5: 5,12,9,7 *12 scratched using 5,9,7,10
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 3,6,2
Race 4: 4,9,7
Race 5: 5,12,9,7 *12 scratched using 5,9,7,10
Race 6: 8,9
Race 7: 1,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $108
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 4,9,7,11
Race 5: 5,12,9,7 *12 scratched using 5,9,7,10
Race 6: 8,9,4,2
Race 7: 1,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 5: 5,12,9,7 *12 scratched using 5,9,7,10
Race 6: 8
Race 7: 1,4,2
Race 8: 8
Race 9: 7,2,6,8
Race 10: 11,3,9,1
$1.00 Ticket: $192
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 8,9
Race 7: 1,4,2,6
Race 8: 8,4,3
Race 9: 7,2,6,8
Race 10: 11,3,9,1
$.50 Ticket: $192
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 1,4,2,6
Race 8: 8,4
Race 9: 7,2,6,8
Race 10: 11,3,9,1
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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