November 23rd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,305/21,994 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,134/21,994. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*6 on top winners Last Sunday at Aqueduct …$7.60…$4.00…$8.30…$2.70… $35.20…$10.80

*Early & Late Pick 5/4’s & Pick 6 for us as well last Sunday at Aqueduct…

*Pick 6 $4,302 on a $81 ticket…

*Early Pick 5 $598.25 on a $108 ticket…Late Pick 5 $841.75 on a $144 ticket…

*Early Pick 4 $133 on a $48 ticket…Late Pick 4 $203.50 on a $64 ticket…

*Early Pick 5 for us yesterday at Aqueduct…$295.25 on a $54 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Bank Frenzy 1-1 34
#4 Classic Legacy 3-1 33
#3 Seeking Unity 8-1 32
#1a Magnolia Midnight 9-2 30

Race 2:

#6 Super Chief 3-1 28
#1 Poppy’s Pride 7-5 28
#2 Cold as Hell 2-1 27
#3 Fiery Heart 8-1 26

Race 3:

#3 Petrolo 6-1 29
#2 Kolomio 5-1 28
#6 Rock the Weekend 15-1 27
#4 Liberty Central 6-5 26

Race 4:

#7 King Phoenix 3-1 16
#3 Run With Honor 2-1 16
#1 Lucky Dragon 4-1 15
#8 Gunman Jayvo 20-1 14

Race 5:

#12 Volatile Situation 7-2 17
#1 Roofer 10-1 16
#4 Sir Kartrite 4-1 16
#10 Skytown 5-1 15

Race 6:

#7 Mr. Swagger 8-1 27
#3 Styner 7-2 27
#8 Cumberland Blues 5-2 26
#1a Ski Country 3-1 25

Race 7:

#3 Khali Magic 7-2 30
#4 Brown Suga Babe 4-1 29
#2 Sunday Girl 9-2 28
#1 Golden Rocket 6-1 28

Race 8:

#3 Doc Sullivan 5-2 34 *Best Bet
#6 Antonio of Venice 2-1 33
#8 General Banker 7-2 32
#5 Light Man 9-2 31

Race 9:

#3 Hey Maggie 8-1 15
#10 Ah Ca Ira 10-1 15
#9 Notmysteppingstone 6-1 14
#7 Lightning Mama 9-2 13

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,4

Race 2: 6,1,2

Race 3: 3,2,6,4

Race 4: 7,3,1

Race 5: 12,1,4,10

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 6,1,2

Race 3: 3,2,6,4

Race 4: 7,3,1,8

Race 5: 12,1,4,10

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3: 3,2,6,4

Race 4: 7,3

Race 5: 12,1,4,10

Race 6: 7,3,8,1a/1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 4: 7,3

Race 5: 12,1,4,10

Race 6: 7,3,8

Race 7: 3

Race 8: 3

Race 9: 3,10,9,7

$1.00 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 12,1,4,10

Race 6: 7,3,8,1a/1

Race 7: 3,4

Race 8: 3,6

Race 9: 3,10,9,7

$.50 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 7,3,8,1a/1

Race 7: 3,4,2,1

Race 8: 3,6

Race 9: 3,10,9,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Churchill Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#8 Ranch Life 4-1 15
#9 Mezcalifornia 7-2 14
#4 Alltail 10-1 13
#1 Red Royalty 6-1 12

Race 2:

#8 Awesome Annmarie 6-5 28
#6 Ghostly Night 4-1 27
#1 Lil Town Sis 8-1 26
#3 Blaze On 9-2 25

Race 3:

#3 Now and Later 3-1 29
#6 Mo Rhodes 5-2 28
#7 My Friend Louie 8-1 27
#5 Sagittarius 6-1 27

Race 4:

#7 Added Mischief 10-1 16
#3 Levee Was Dry 4-1 15
#6 Vdaytothetenacious 6-1 14
#8 Zapping Strike 8-1 14

Race 5:

#6 My Brazilian Girl 7-2 19
#9 Smokin Hot Blonde 8-1 18
#8 High Shot 4-1 18
#5 Ripassare 3-1 17

Dirt Selections

#4 Just a Coed 12-1
#16 Shezalittlestinker 7-2
#8 High Shot 4-1
#1 Feeling Beachy 12-1

Race 6:

#5 Banishing 7-2 33
#2 Banjo Chris 9-2 32
#9 Wico (IRE) 4-1 31
#8 Underhill’s Tab 5-1 31

Race 7:

#7 Sea Vista 5-2 19
#9 Tomasello 12-1 18
#1 Tartarian 15-1 17
#2 Yinzer 8-1 17

Race 8:

#2 Pigalle 9-2 34
#4 Two Sharp 2-1 33
#8 Fancy 6-1 32
#7 Oeuvre 6-1 31

Race 9:

#9 Banned for Life 7-2 33
#11 Agoo 4-1 32
#7 Rowdy Riot 15-1 31
#3 Attache 3-1 30

Race 10:

#3 Dashman 5-2 33
#9 Evade (FR) 7-2 32
#8 Herchee 3-1 32
#4 Ak Sar Ben Derby 10-1 31

Race 11:

#7 Golden Gamble 7-2 19
#3 Girl Math 2-1 19
#4 Seraphia 3-1 18
#5 Calamity 4-1 17

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 8,9,4,1

Race 2: 8,6,1,3

Race 3: 3,6

Race 4: 7,3,6

Race 5: 6,9,8

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 8,6,1,3

Race 3: 3,6

Race 4: 7,3,6,8

Race 5: 6,9,8,5 Dirt: 4,16,8,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 7,3,6,8

Race 5: 6,9,8,5 Dirt: 4,16,8,1

Race 6: 5,2

Race 7: 7,9,1,2

Race 8: 2,4

$.50 Ticket: $128

Pick 6:

Race 6: 5,2,9

Race 7: 7,9,1,2

Race 8: 2,4

Race 9: 9,11

Race 10: 3,9,8

Race 11: 7,3

$.20 Ticket: $57.60

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 7,9,1,2

Race 8: 2,4,8

Race 9: 9,11,7,3

Race 10: 3,9

Race 11: 7,3,4

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 2,4

Race 9: 9,11,7,3

Race 10: 3,9,8,4

Race 11: 7,3,4,5

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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