October 3rd , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• October 2, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9890/15034, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6651/15034. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Through the Belmont Fall Meet Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page weekdays, weekends will require the purchase of a One or Two Day /Weekend  Pass…

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*We got our Best Bet home Saturday , “Sail By” $26.60…

*Sunday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#4 Honey Cake (IRE) 2-1                31 3rd $2.40
#5 Flower Point 8-5                         30 1st $5.90
#3 Madeleine Must (FR) 9-5          29 2nd $3.40
#1 Sosua 6-1                                      28 4th

Race 2 :

#2 Wicked Happy 8-1                      16 scratched
#1 Freedomofthepress 1-1             16 4th
#4 Now Yus Cant Leave 7-2            15 1st $7.70
#8 Peacebethejourney 8-1              14 3rd $5.20

Race 3 :

#7 Forty Comets 3-1                         15 3rd $2.60
#2 Fenway 1-1                                    15 1st $3.30
#1 Sir William 12-1                           14 scratched
#4 Stonecoldwarrior 5-1                  13

Race 4 :

#3 Annapolis 6-5                                31 1st $3.30
#1 Portfolio Company 5-2                30 2nd $2.50
#4 Limited Liability 7-2                    30 3rd
#2 Midnight Worker 8-1                   29 scratched

Race 5 :

#9 Regal Empire 6-1                           16
#6 Wicked Fast 10-1                           15 3rd $6.50
#3 Dream of a Day 7-2                       14 2nd $6.60
#2 Tommy Bee 9-2                              14 1st $9.60

Race 6 :

#2 Dark Storm 5-1                              33
#3 Two Thirty Five 7-2                       32 4th
#7 American Dubai 5-2                      31 scratched
#4 Zoomer 5-1                                     30 1st $8.30

Race 7 :

#3 Alba’s Star 10-1                               29
#2 Coworth Park 9-2                            28
#6 Princess Fawzia 5-2                        27 1st $7.00
#11 Gambling Cat 6-1                          26 3rd $3.40

Race 8 :

#3 Sister Otoole 15-1                           34 4th
#6 Beautiful Lover 9-2                         33
#7 My Sister Nat (FR) 1-1                    33 1st $3.00
#1 Lovely Lucky 12-1                           32

Race 9 :

#6 Echo Zulu 3-5                                    34 1st $2.70
#7 Jester Calls Nojoy 5-1                      31
#8 Gerrymander 8-1                              30 2nd $5.80
#2 A Mo Ready 8-1                                 29 3rd $2.60

Race 10 :

#5 Judge N Jury 5-2                                33 1st $5.80
#6 River Dog 3-1                                     31 3rd $3.10
#9 Market Alert 12-1                              30 4th
#4 Saratoga Pal 8-1                                 29

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  4,5,3 5

Race 2 :  2,1,4 *2 scratched using 1,4,8 4

Race 3 :  7,2 2

Race 4 :  3,1 3

Race 5 :  9,6,3 x

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  2,1,4 *2 scratched using 1,4,8 4

Race 3 :  7,2,1 2

Race 4 :  3,1,4 3

Race 5 :  9,6,3 x

$.50 Ticket :  $40.50

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  9,6,3,2 2

Race 6 :  2,3,7 *7 scratched using 2,3,4 4

Race 7 :  3,2,6 6

Race 8 :  3,6,7 7

Race 9 :  6 6

Race 10 : 5 5

$1.00 Ticket :  $108 $574

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  2,3,7,4 4

Race 7 :  3,2,6 6

Race 8 :  3,6,7 7

Race 9 :  6 6

Race 10 : 5,6 5

$.50 Ticket :  $36 $101.37

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  3,2,6,11 6

Race 8 :  3,6,7 7

Race 9 :  6 6

Race 10 : 5,6,9,4 5

$.50 Ticket :  $24 $23.87

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.