October 2nd , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• October 1, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9884/15023, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6650/15023. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Through the Belmont Fall Meet Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page weekdays, weekends will require the purchase of a One or Two Day/Weekend Pass…

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Saturday’s and Sunday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page this weekend once again…

*Saturday’s Full card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#9 Mucho Sunshine 12-1               27
#2 Litterbox 6-1                               27 2nd $7.00
#7 Profusion 3-1                              26 3rd $2.90
#3 Eucharist 7-2                               26

Race 2 :

#2 Radiant Gem 4-1                         18 3rd $3.20
#4 Rosebug 5-2                                  17 2nd $2.90
#7 Sirius Princess 5-1                       16 scratched
#3 Dream Streak 7-2                         16

Race 3 :

#3 Electric Youth 3-1                        28
#7 Suspended Campaign 5-2           27 1st $8.40
#4 Air Cavalry 6-1                              26
#8 Amity Island 5-1                           25 2nd $6.40

Race 4 :

#1 Sail By 8-1                                      32 *Best Bet (Videos Below)1st $26.60
#6 McKulick 1-1                                  31 3rd $2.10
#4 Kinchen (IRE) 5-2                         30 2nd $4.60
#3 Hail To 7-2                                      29

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-1f-Rz8OV3BYxcTSoAG5Nv4DHQ0X5gYB/view?usp=sharing

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Jymvh0D4pDHFiH8R9EvY1ufjDdZx0Q9Z/view?usp=sharing

Race 5 :

#5 Vindictive 7-5                                 33
#3 You’re to Blame 5-2                       31 1st $11.00
#1 Backsideofthemoon 6-1                30 2nd $9.20
#7 Air Attack 10-1                                29

Race 6 :

#6 Hype House 9-2                             19
#8 Missy Greer 8-1                             18 2nd $6.00
#3 Mischievous Kiss 3-1                    18 1st $4.70
#4 No Labels 5-1                                 17

Race 7 :

#6 Fingal 12-1                                      29
#7 Albie 9-2                                          28
#4 Life On Top 4-1                               27
#9 Lord Flintshire 6-1                         27 4th

Race 8 :

2nd

Race 9 :

#2 Backtohisroots 3-1                          35 4th
#7 Pulsate 7-2                                        34 2nd
#1 Piedi Bianchi 20-1                           32 scratched
#3 Arrest Me Red 5-1                            31 1st

Race 10 :

#5 Code of Honor 5-2                           42 4th
#3 Art Collector 3-1                              41 1st
#2 Maxfield 7-5                                      40 2nd
#1 Dr Post 6-1                                         38 3rd

Race 11 :

#11 Hot Doctor 7-2                                 15
#10 Sportini 4-1                                      14
#14 The Great Gazoo 4-1 AE                14
#5 Out of the Breech 10-1                     13
#1 Boom Boom Kaboom 8-1                 12

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  9,2,7,3 x

Race 2 :  2,4,7,3 x

Race 3 :  3,7 7

Race 4 :  1,6 1

Race 5 :  5 x

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  2,4,7,3 x

Race 3 :  3,7,4,8 7

Race 4 :  1,6,4 1

Race 5 :  5,3,1 3

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 5 (4-8) :

Race 4 :  1,6,4,3 1

Race 5 :  5 x

Race 6 :  6,8,3 3

Race 7 :  6,7,4 x

Race 8 :  5,1 x

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Pick 6 :

Race 6 :  6,8,3 3

Race 7 :  6,7,4 x

Race 8 :  5,1,2 x

Race 9 :  2

Race 10 : 5,3,2

Race 11 :  11,10

$1.00 Ticket :  $162

Late Pick 5 :

Race 7 :  6,7,4,9 x

Race 8 :  5,1,2 x

Race 9 :  2,7

Race 10 : 5,3,2

Race 11 :  11,10,14

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  5,1,2 x

Race 9 :  2,7,1 *1 scratched using 2,7,3

Race 10 : 5,3,2

Race 11 :  11,10,14

$.50 Ticket :  $40.50

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.