September 1st, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• August 31, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,979/21,464 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,884/21,464. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Sunday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Montalcino 9-2                      19 1st $9.40
#8 Hurricane Nelson 7-5           18 3rd $2.20
#4 Cuando 3-1                             17 4th
#7 Duration 8-1                           16

Race 2:

#9 Opulent Restraint 2-1           20 1st $5.10 Dbl $32.80
#2 Love Tempo (IRE) 5-2           19 4th
#6 Good Long Cry 4-1                19 2nd $4.90
#1 Indeed 8-1                               18

Race 3:

#1 Cigarette Boat 7-2                  33
#6 Determined Effort 7-2           32 4th
#3 Yarrow 5-2                                31
#4 Alexis Zorba (GB) 5-1             30

Race 4:

#5 Cloud Forest 3-1                      30 3rd $2.80
#1 Refuah 8-1                                 29 scratched
#7 Waitlist 5-2                                28 2nd $3.60
#10 Ice Time 6-1                            28 4th

Race 5:

#5 Critical Threat 6-1                  29 1st $9.60
#2 Prince James 15-1                   28
#12 Nolo Contesto 9-2                 27
#7 Charlie Five O 5-1                    27 scratched 

Race 6:

#11 Adventurous Spirit 8-5         17 1st $6.30 Dbl $30.60
#1 Guile 6-1                                    16
#4 El Alacran 8-1                           15
#8 Comanche Peak (GB) 10-1      15

Race 7:

#3 Snowyte 5-2                             21 2nd $4.70
#10 Pure Beauty 15-1                  20
#1 Quickick 7-2                             19 1st $10.40
#9 Soothe 8-1                                19

Race 8:

#10 Capture the Flag 4-1           34 2nd $4.10
#3 Paros 7-2                                  33 1st $7.30 Ex $26.60
#2 Tidal Forces 3-1                      32
#8 Didinger 12-1                          31

Race 9:

#2 Mighty Madison 3-1               33 2nd $2.70
#1 St. Benedicts Prep 3-1            32 1st $6.00 
#7 Signal From Noise 6-1            31
#6 Cupid’s Heart 5-2                     31 scratched

Race 10:

#4 Seaver 3-1                                 32
#9 Big Prankster 12-1                  31
#7 Set 4-1                                       30
#2 Run Curtis Run 5-2                 30 4th

Race 11:

#7 Taking Candy 5-2                    36 2nd $3.40
#5 Running Bee 9-5                      35 1st $5.80 Ex $14.20
#3 Rebel Red (GB) 8-1                  34
#1 Fort Washington 9-2               33 3rd $3.40

Race 12:

#1 Tapit Trice 4-1                         42 *Best Bet 4th
#5 Pyrenees 8-1                            40 2nd $8.60
#7 Arthur’s Ride 4-5                    40
#3 Bright Future 10-1                  38

Race 13:

#8 Mama’s Middie 2-1                16
#5 Irie Man 4-1                             15 1st $8.30
#11 Ragazzo Diabolico 15-1      14
#2 Senegal 6-1                              14 3rd $4.10

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,8,4

Race 2:  9,2

Race 3:  1,6,3

Race 4:  5,1,7 *1 scratched using 5,7,10

Race 5:  5,2,12,7

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  9,2,6,1

Race 3:  1,6,3

Race 4:  5,1,7,10

Race 5:  5,2,12,7

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  1,6,3

Race 4:  5,1,7,10

Race 5:  5,2,12,7

Race 6:  11,1,4

Race 7:  3,10,1

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  5,1,7,10

Race 5:  5,2,12

Race 6:  11,1,4,8

Race 7:  3,10,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  5,2,12,7

Race 6:  11,1,4,8

Race 7:  3,10,1

Race 8:  10,3,2

Race 9:  2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $144 $369.25

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 11,1,4,8

Race 7:  3,10,1,9

Race 8:  10,3,2

Race 9:  2,1,7

$.50 Ticket:  $72 $71.62

Pick 5 (7-11):

Race 7:  3,10,1

Race 8:  10,3,2

Race 9:  2,1,7,6

Race 10: 4,9,7

Race 11:  7,5

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 6:

Race 8:  10,3,2

Race 9:  2,1

Race 10: 4,9,7

Race 11:  7,5

Race 12:  1

Race 13:  8,5

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 9:  2,1,7,6

Race 10: 4,9,7,2

Race 11:  7,5

Race 12:  1,5

Race 13:  8,5,11,2

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 10: 4,9,7,2

Race 11:  7,5,3,1

Race 12:  1,5,7

Race 13:  8,5,11,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.