September 2nd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• September 2, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,988/21,477 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,893/21,477. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Monday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Military Road 1-2                   19 3rd $2.10
#3 Elko County 7-2                      18 2nd $4.40
#6 Stop the Press 6-1                  17
#5 Daily Grind 9-2                       16 1st $16.20

Race 2:

#11 Disco Star 9-5 AE                  19 scratched 
#6 Forever to Go 4-1                    18 3rd $3.60
#2 Marvelous Madison 8-5         18 1st $4.10
#4 She’s Grand 8-1                       17
#7 Wild Mischief 6-1                    16 2nd $3.00

Race 3:

#4 Roman Goddess 8-5               28
#7 Spiritual Lady 6-1                   27 4th
#5 Jackson Avenue 8-1                26 2nd $10.20
#3 Try It Again 10-1                     26 1st $28.00

Race 4:

#2 Heard On Thestreet 5-2         28 1st $5.30
#1 Bonne Chance 7-2                   27
#6 Midnight Express 4-1             27 3rd $2.80
#4 Paschal Moon 8-1                    26

Race 5:

#3 Root Cause 4-1                        33
#2 Prerequisite 8-5                      33 1st $4.40
#7 Quarrel 6-1                               32
#1 Thegirlfromireland 8-1          31 2nd $6.30

Race 6:

#3 Omaha Pistol 3-1                    18 3rd $3.40
#4 Mozambique 6-1                     17
#9 One Vision 4-1                         16
#1 Hit the Post 5-1                        16 4th

Race 7:

#8 Daytona Gold 3-1                   17 scratched
#11 Rock Star Rebel 5-2 AE       16 2nd $4.90
#2 Solar Glare 4-1                        16 4th
#5 Dominican Pirate 12-1          15
#3 Friend Ofthe Devil 9-2          14

Race 8:

#9 Our Shot 6-1                            38 2nd $7.30
#8 Big Invasion 6-1                      37 1st $9.50 Ex $59
#6 Souper Quest 3-1                    36 3rd $3.30 Tri $198.48
#5 Arzak 7-5                                  36 4th Spr $347.40

Race 9:

#6 Dea Matrona (FR) 7-2            32 1st $8.80
#4 It’s Hot in Here (IRE) 5-2      31
#2 She’s Cool 12-1                       30 scratched
#1 Diamond Status 10-1             29

Race 10:

#7 Mentee 5-1                               33
#2 Ferocious 8-5                           32 2nd $2.60
#8 Chancer McPatrick 5-2          32 1st $10.80
#9 Incentive Pay 8-1                    31 3rd $3.90

Race 11:

#11 Child of the Moon 3-1         30 1st $4.80
#12 Beets 8-1                                29
#8 Venencia (FR) 4-1                   28 3rd $3.90
#9 Collaboration 6-1                   28

Race 12:

#6 Dance On Air 7-2                   16 4th
#2 Tour Jete 6-1                           15 1st $7.40
#10 Dancin Jane 8-1                   15 2nd $7.90
#8 Bomb Squad 5-1                     14 3rd $4.60 Spr $961

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,3

Race 2:  11,6,2,4 *11 scratched using 6,2,4,7

Race 3:  4,7,5

Race 4:  2,1

Race 5:  3,2,7

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  11,6,2,4 *11 scratched using 6,2,4,7

Race 3:  4,7,5,3

Race 4:  2,1

Race 5:  3,2,7,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $186.50

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  2,1

Race 5:  3,2,7,1

Race 6:  3,4,9,1

Race 7:  8,11,2,5 *8 scratched using 11,2,5,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  3,2,7,1

Race 6:  3,4,9,1

Race 7:  8,11,2 *8 scratched using 11,2,5

Race 8:  9,8,6,5

Race 9:  6,4

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  3,4,9,1

Race 7:  8,11,2,5 *8 scratched using 11,2,5,3

Race 8:  9,8,6,5

Race 9:  6,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 7:  8,11,2 *8 scratched using 11,2,5

Race 8:  9,8,6,5

Race 9:  6,4

Race 10: 7,2

Race 11:  11,12,8

Race 12:  6

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  9,8,6,5

Race 9:  6,4

Race 10: 7,2,8

Race 11:  11,12,8,9

Race 12:  6,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  6,4

Race 10: 7,2,8

Race 11:  11,12,8,9

Race 12:  6,2,10,8

$,50 Ticket:  $48 $134.75

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.