A Winning Day at the Races!
September 21st, 2024 Free Picks & Plays
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,037/21,559 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,932/21,559. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…
*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Parx Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#7 Rookie Card 6-5 20
#5 Comes a Time 7-2 19
#3 Fun to Tap 9-2 18
#2 Au Contraire 8-1 18
Race 2:
#8 Straight Arrow 9-2 33
#5 Vacation Dance 12-1 32
#2 Anaconda 7-2 32
#1a Barristan The Bold 8-1 31
Race 3:
#1 Jake Rocks 2-1 27
#8 Afternoon Heat 9-2 26
#9 Commerce Comet 4-1 25
#6 Bronx Bomber 20-1 25
Race 4:
#1 Unstable Prince 5-1 30
#8 Emirates Road 5-2 29
#6 Strapped 4-1 28
#2 Mr. Papagiorgio 10-1 27
Race 5:
#7 Gallant Greta 5-2 17
#8 Dancin Jane 8-1 16
#2 Bobby M’s Girl 3-1 16
#4 Bomb Squad 8-1 15
Race 6:
#9 Beary Funny 4-1 27
#7 Chalky Cat 2-1 26
#2 Paynter’s Prodigy 15-1 25
#4 York Tavern 8-1 25
Race 7:
#5 Probability 7-2 16
#2 Revivalism 15-1 16
#8 Man in Finance 10-1 15
#7 Caddiemaster 8-1 15
Race 8:
#2 Five Towns (GB) 6-1 34
#5 Alluring Angel (GB) 6-1 33
#6 Breath Away (GB) 8-1 32
#1 Ocean Club 7-2 32
Race 9:
#4 Out too Late (GB) 9-2 18
#2 Strife 4-1 17
#6 Await 12-1 16
#5 Shop Lifting 3-1 16
Race 10:
#9 Key Point 4-1 33
#10 Classify 4-1 32
#5 Chileno 6-1 32
#2 General Banker 10-1 31
Race 11:
#4 Rabaja 7-2 29
#7 Courtly Banker 5-2 28
#3 Fake Celebrity 7-2 27
#1 Ez Roll 8-1 27
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 7,5,3
Race 2: 8,5,2,1a/1
Race 3: 1,8
Race 4: 1,8,6
Race 5: 7,8,2
$.50 Ticket: $108
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 8,5,2,1a/1
Race 3: 1,8,9
Race 4: 1,8,6,2
Race 5: 7,8,2
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 5 (4-8):
Race 4: 1,8,6,2
Race 5: 7,8,2
Race 6: 9,7
Race 7: 5,2,8,7
Race 8: 2,5,6
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 4 (5-8):
Race 5: 7,8,2,4
Race 6: 9,7
Race 7: 5,2,8,7
Race 8: 2,5,6,1
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 6: 9,7
Race 7: 5,2,8,7
Race 8: 2,5,6,1
Race 9: 4
Race 10: 9,10
Race 11: 4,7
$1.00 Ticket: $128
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 5,2,8,7
Race 8: 2,5,6,1
Race 9: 4,2
Race 10: 9,10,5
Race 11: 4,7,3
$.50 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 2,5,6,1
Race 9: 4,2,6,5
Race 10: 9,10,5
Race 11: 4,7,3
$.50 Ticket: $72
Parx Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Sherman Fury 12-1 16
#14 Happyily Delusional 8-1 15
#11 Analog Jones 3-1 15
#10 Okverygood 4-1 14
Race 2:
#1 Bee Bluff 5-2 17
#8 Hippy Hippy Shake 8-1 16
#12 Paddy’ Gift 6-1 15
#5 Five a Side 7-2 15
Race 3:
#12 Retweet 9-2 32
#7 Crisper 7-2 31
#5 Capo 8-1 30
#2 Margin of Air 6-1 29
Race 4:
#5 Beyondexpectations 2-1 17
#7 The Boy’s Warrior 5-2 16
#6 Roxton 3-1 15
#4 Smile Maker 10-1 14
Race 5:
#4 Anabam 6-5 28
#8 Carousel Queen 8-1 26
#2 Tudox Dahlia 5-1 25
#3 Angel of Hope 9-2 24
Race 6:
#6 Morning Matcha 2-5 32
#5 Confirmed Star 5-1 29
#2 Foxy Junior 7-2 29
#1 Pachelbel 15-1 27
Race 7:
#11 Striker Has Dial 2-1 32
#2 Brzina 7-2 31
#10 Big Dreamer 9-2 30
#1 Bella Queen 12-1 29
Race 8:
#9 Next 1-5 43
#1 Magic Michael 9-2 34
#2 Dai Vernon 10-1 34
#6 Truculent 5-1 33
Race 9:
#4 Repo Rocks 4-1 37
#8 Film Star 5-1 36
#5 Adero 7-2 35
#3 Injunction 6-1 34
Race 10:
#6 Alogon 5-1 38
#8 Senbei 7-2 37
#4 Jean Valjean 9-2 36
#3 Souper Quest 5-2 36
Race 11:
#6 Practically Dark 8-1 34
#1 Bentornato 9-5 34
#5 Maximus Meridius 5-1 33
#3 Buccherino 4-1 32
Race 12:
#8 Mystic Lake 12-1 40
#1 Power Squeeze 4-1 39
#3 Tarifa 5-1 38
#6 Thorpedo Anna 4-5 38
Race 13:
#1 Doc Sullivan 12-1 36
#7 Dragoon Guard 9-5 35
#11 Stronghold 5-2 34
#5 Protective 8-1 33
Race 14:
#2 Gordian Knot 6-1 34
#3 Twisted Ride 5-1 33
#9 My Buddy B 6-1 32
#1 Veeson 8-1 31
Parx Plays
Early Pick 4:
Race 1: 2,14,11,10
Race 2: 1,8,12,5
Race 3: 12,7
Race 4: 5,7,6
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 4 (2-5):
Race 2: 1,8,12,5
Race 3: 12,7,5,2
Race 4: 5,7,6
Race 5: 4,8,2,3
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 5,7,6
Race 5: 4,8,2,3
Race 6: 6,5
Race 7: 11,2,10,1
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 4 (6-9):
Race 6: 6,5,2
Race 7: 11,2
Race 8: 9,1
Race 9: 4,8,5,3
$.50 Ticket: $24
Pick 4 (8-11):
Race 8: 9,1
Race 9: 4,8,5
Race 10: 6,8,4,3
Race 11: 6,1,5
$.50 Ticket: $36
Pick 5:
Race 10: 6,8,4,3
Race 11: 6,1,5,3
Race 12: 8,1,3,6
Race 13: 1,7,11
Race 14: 2,3
$.50 Ticket: $192
Pick 4 (11-14):
Race 11: 6,1,5,3
Race 12: 8,1,3,6
Race 13: 1,7,11
Race 14: 2,3,9,1
$.50 Ticket: $96
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
Information and content on this website is for entertainment and information use only. Any reliance made on such information is at the sole discretion and risk of the user.
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