A Winning Day at the Races!

September 27th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

 *Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,064/21,601 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,948/21,601. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

 *Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Fashion Victim 6-5               19 2nd $3.50
#2 Back to Gridlock 5-2             18 4th
#3 Citational 6-1                         18 3rd $3.50
#1 Cowgirl Charm 8-1                17 scratched 

Race 2:

#6 Forward Move 5-1                29
#13 Raging 3-1                           28 4th
#4 Korrongo 10-1                       27 scratched
#12 Irish Tenor 8-1                    27

Race 3:

#2 Giroovin 9-2                          30
#8 Secret Rules 5-1                   29 1st $16.00
#3 Dangerous Ride 9-2             28
#6 Master of Arms 6-1              28 2nd $6.80

Race 4:

#7 Cattani 4-1                            16 2nd $3.40
#9 Charming Jim 5-1                15 4th
#1 Judge Rules 7-2                    15
#4 Makeyourmoment 3-1        14

Race 5:

#8 Alexis Zorba (GB) 7-2        33 4th
#2 Dancing Rinca 4-1              32 3rd $2.90
#7 Final Verdict 2-1                 32 1st $8.00
#4 Cigarette Boat 7-2               31 2nd $4.90 Spr $172.40

Race 6:

#5 Praetor 2-1                          21 1st $4.50
#6 Classicist 3-1                      20 3rd $2.30
#4 Sovereignty 5-2                  19 2nd $2.80
#2 Spurgeon 6-1                      19 scratched

Race 7:

#4 Nolita 5-2                            28 4th
#1 Brown Suga Babe 3-1        27 1st $7.10
#3 Five to Two 9-2                  27 3rd $3.80
#7 Shehanah 12-1                   26

Race 8:

#6 City Man 8-5                       36 4th
#3 Dakota Gold 9-5                 35 2nd $3.70
#7 Jerry the Nipper 5-1          34 3rd $3.70
#4 Hush of a Storm 5-1          33 1st $8.50 Spr $114

Race 9:

#10 Soul Secret 4-1                16
#7 Early On 5-1                       16
#1 On a Summer Day 9-2      15
#3 Lotus Petal 7-2                   14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,2,3,1

Race 2:  6,13,4,12

Race 3:  2,8,3

Race 4:  7,9,1

Race 5:  8,2,7

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,13,4,12

Race 3:  2,8,3,6

Race 4:  7,9,1

Race 5:  8,2,7,4

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  2,8,3,6

Race 4:  7,9,1,4

Race 5:  8,2,7,4

Race 6:  5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  7,9,1

Race 5:  8,2,7

Race 6:  5,6

Race 7:  4

Race 8:  6,3

Race 9:  10,7,1 *7 scratched 10,1,3

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  8,2,7,4

Race 6:  5,6,4

Race 7:  4,1,3

Race 8:  6,3

Race 9:  10,7,1,3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  5,6,4,2

Race 7:  4,1,3,7

Race 8:  6,3

Race 9:  10,7,1,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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