September 28th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• September 27, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,069/21,610 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,952/21,610. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

 *Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Thunder Roll 4-1                  19
#2 Aviator Gui 7-2                      18
#3 Battle Drum (FR) 9-2            17
#8 Dragoneer 5-1                        17

Dirt Selections

#5 Thunder Roll 4-1
#2 Aviator Gui 7-2 1st $4.10
#1 Sounds Like a Plan 6-1 4th
#8 Dragoneer 5-1 scratched
#9 Cyclone State 7-2 2nd $4.20

Race 2:

#9 Man of Mischief 2-1              17
#4 Shoot the Nickel 6-1             16 1st $15.80
#8 Chris’s Revenge 6-1               15
#6 Damage 15-1                           15

Race 3:

#1a Street Jam 9-5                      28 4th
#9 Backstretch Rose 3-1            27 3rd $2.60
#1 Belle of the Ball 9-5               26 scratched
#5 Progeny 5-2                             25 1st $5.60

Race 4:

#2 Crupi 2-1                                39 3rd
#1 Skippylongstocking 4-5      38 2nd $2.30
#3 Tapit Trice 5-2                       37 1st $6.80
#4 Masqueparade 10-1              35 4th

Race 5:

#2 Mighty Atlas 6-1                   33 1st $12.20
#5 Bourbon Chase 2-1               32 3rd $2.30
#4 Neural Network 3-1              31
#7 Shadow Dragon 7-2               30 2nd $4.00

Race 6:

#5 Truly Quality 6-1                 40 scratched
#7 Far Bridge 7-2                       39 1st $7.90 Dbl $76
#6 Silver Knott (GB) 2-1           39 3rd $2.20
#4 War Like Goddess 8-5          38 2nd $3.00

Race 7:

#6 Melle Mel 9-2                       16 4th
#9 Linda’s Jewel 8-1                 15
#10 Shadyside 12-1                  14 1st $37.60
#4 Carol Said No 8-1                14

Race 8:

#13 Disco Star 5-2 AE               17
#1 Miss C Banker 6-1                16
#4 Run Don’t Walk 10-1           15
#9 Fire Agate 5-1                        15
#5 Graceful Warrior 10-1          14

Dirt Selections

#11 Vehemente 9-2 scratched
#6 Alpine Giant 30-1 scratched
#9 Fire Agate 5-1 scratched
#15 Nina Kay 8-1 1st $20.20
#14 Lakeside 5-1 scratched

Race 9:

#2 Scotland 7-2                         37 2nd $3.50
#5 Comedy Town 5-2               36 scratched
#1 Seven’s Eleven 10-1            35
#4 Dean Delivers 4-1                34 3rd $2.50

Race 10:

#4 Drakon 15-1                        32
#9 Irish Prophet 6-1                31
#12 Irwin (IRE) 15-1                31
#11 Wonderful Justice 8-1      30

Dirt Selections

#14 Classic Legacy 2-1 scratched
#15 Floki’s Flight 9-5 1st $4.80
#2 Assume Nothing 20-1
#1 Create Trouble 6-1 4th
#10 Magical Ways 20-1 2nd $5.40

Race 11:

#5 Concord Green 4-1             31
#4 Zulu Kingdom (IRE) 8-5    31 1st $3.70
#8 Early Adopter (GB) 6-1      30 3rd $3.40
#2 Flying Mohawk 6-1             29

Race 12:

#8 Hours in a Day 4-1            16 2nd $5.00
#11 Beach Blanket 10-1         16
#9 Ramesses 6-1                      15
#6 Magical Road 6-1               14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,2,3,8 Dirt: 5,2,1,8 *8 scratched using 5,2,1,9

Race 2:  9,4,8

Race 3:  1a/1,9,5

Race 4:  2,1

Race 5:  2,5,4

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  9,4,8,6

Race 3:  1a/1,9

Race 4:  2,1,3

Race 5:  2,5,4

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  1a/1,9,5

Race 4:  2,1

Race 5:  2,5,4

Race 6:  5,7,6 *5 scratched using 7,6,4

Race 7:  6,9,10,4

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  2,1

Race 5:  2,5,4,7

Race 6:  5,7,6,4

Race 7:  6,9,10,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  2,5,4

Race 6:  5,7,6,4

Race 7:  6,9,10,4

Race 8:  13,1,4,9 Dirt: 15,13,1,4

Race 9:  2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  5,7,6,4

Race 7:  6,9,10,4

Race 8:  13,1,4,9 Dirt: 15,13,1,4

Race 9:  2,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 7:  6,9,10,4

Race 8:  13,1,4 Dirt: 15,13,1

Race 9:  2

Race 10: 4,9,12 Dirt: 14,15,2 *14 scratched using 15,2,1

Race 11:  5,4

Race 12:  8,11,9

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  13,1,4,9 Dirt: 15,13,1,4

Race 9:  2,5

Race 10: 4,9,12,11 Dirt: 14,15,2,1 *14 scratched using 15,2,1,10

Race 11:  5,4,8

Race 12:  8,11,9

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  2,5

Race 10: 4,9,12,11 Dirt: 14,15,2,1 *14 scratched using 15,2,1,10

Race 11:  5,4,8,2

Race 12:  8,11,9,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.