A Winning Day at the Races!

Monthly Archives: April 2018

April 9th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

Check Back Friday for Saturday’s Picks.

April 8th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

*Picks will only be available on weekends for the foreseeable future, and will be posted here on the Free Page.

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :         Strength Variable :

#1 Strong Side 4-5                            25
#2 The Chamo 3-1                            22
#4 Operator 7-2                                 20

Race 2 :

#4 Our Whim 5-2                             23
#1 Caoimhe 12-1                              22
#7 Gia Michael 9-2                           22
#6 Jacqueline D 8-5                          21

Race 3 :

#4 Picture Day 5-1                            29
#5 No Need to Appeal 5-2               28
#2 Startwithsilver 3-5                       28
#3 Royal Inheritance 6-1                  27

Race 4 :

#1 Atlantic Force 2-1                         26
#5 Daring Destiny 9-2                       23
#9 No Regrets 12-1                             21
#10 Love Your Buttons 3-1                21

Race 5 :

#4 Wishing Power 7-2                        17
#3 Frau Blucher 5-2                            15
#2 Straw Hat 4-1                                 14
#9 Speed Khaleesi 6-1                        12

Race 6 :

#5 War Canoe 5-2                                26
#4 Tiz R Bella 4-1                                25
#1 Vortex Road 3-1                              23
#3 Zenbennie 9-2                                 22

Race 7 :

#3 Getoffmyback 2-1                            28 *Best Bet
#1 Cause for Surprise 4-1                    25
#4 Major League 7-2                             24
#5 Holding Aces 3-1                              24

Race 8 :

#1 Mo Town 2-1                                     36
#6 Secretary At War 15-1                     33
#9 Fire Away 7-2                                    33
#11 Projected (GB) 5-2                         32

Race 9 :

#8 Missimpazi 7-2                                 24
#3 Jurere 3-1                                           23
#6 Aly’s All Out 5-1                               22
#9 Hot Possebility 15-1                         19

Keeneland Selections

Race 1 :           Strength Variable :

#3 Stillwater Cove 3-1                          17
#1 Analyze This Cat 3-1                       15
#5 Dragic 4-1                                          13
#12 Ixtepec Town 12-1                         10

Race 2 :

#6 Proud Dixie 10-1                              26
#7 Diamonds for Leah 5-2                    25
#4 Drop Dead Red 5-2                           25
#2 Ring Knocker 2-1                              24

Race 3 :

#8 Cafe Mischief 7-2                               18
#11 Toy Moon 3-1                                    17
#1 Luv This Lifestyle 7-2                         16
#3 Small Row Girl 8-1                              14

Race 4 :

#6 Snuck Out 5-1                                    24
#4 Persepolis 7-2                                     22
#5 Joy of Treasure 5-1                             21
#7 War Cabinet 4-1                                  19

Race 5 :

#9 Vacanzie Inn 9-2                                 23
#11 See the Bird 6-1                                 22
#7 Pomeroys Uprising 4-1                       20
#3 Prom Theme 5-1                                  18

Race 6 :

#2 Are You Kidding Me 7-2                      35
#4 Master Merion 12-1                             32
#5 Blacktype (FR) 3-1                                31
#11 Inspector Lynley 5-1                          30

Race 7 :

#5 Gas Station Sushi 4-1                          30
#3 Dream It Is 3-1                                      30
#4 Uppercut 4-1                                          29
#1 Happy Like a Fool 7-2                           28

Race 8 :

#2 Rushing Fall 7-5                                     36 *Best Bet
#9 Thewayiam (FR) 7-2                              32
#6 Dixie Moon 15-1                                     30
#1 Daddy Is a Legend 7-2                           30

Race 9 :

#4 Daddy’s Placer 2-1                                 22
#7 The Robert 6-1                                        21
#1 Clearly Super 3-1                                    21
#3 Potomac 8-1                                             18

Santa Anita Selections

Race 1 :              Strength Variable :

#4 Conquest Smartee 4-1                           26
#2 Surfside Sunset 5-1                                25
#9 Kopitar 7-2                                               24
#3 Rak City 6-1                                             22

Race 2 :

#5 Love a Honeybadger 3-1                        25
#6 Red Stich 2-1                                            25
#4 Lucky Student 5-2                                   24
#1 Pied N True 9-2                                        23

Race 3 :

#4 Borg 5-2                                                      25 *Best Bet
#2 Glorious Crown 3-1                                  22
#9 Awesome E K 6-1                                      20
#8 Lucky Staxx 6-1                                         19

Race 4 :

#8 South Boot Shirley 7-2                              22
#1 Super Patriot 4-1                                        21
#5 Clearly Gone 6-1                                        19
#2 Nothing But Heat 5-1                                18

Race 5 :

#2 Noble Nick 6-1                                            32
#3 Hoppertunity 2-5                                        31
#5 Twentytwentyvision 7-2                            29

Race 6 :

#3 Aquila 4-1                                                    29
#7 Call West 4-1                                               28
#5 Shivermetimbers 7-2                                 28
#1 Dia de Pago 4-1                                           28

Race 7 :

#10 Skelton Pass 4-1                                       28
#1 Tina’s Exchange 5-1                                   27
#2 Chief Hosa 5-1                                             25
#7 My Man Chuckles 8-1                                 24

Race 8 :

#9 Atomic Action 7-2                                      27
#8 Mesa Sky 4-1                                               26
#6 Omdurman 3-1                                            25
#2 Heir of Storm 6-1                                        23

Race 9 :

#10 Peach Cove (NZ) 4-1                                27
#4 Nine Point Nine 8-1                                   26
#2 Little Bit Lovely 7-2                                    25
#8 Lori’s Attitude 5-1                                       23

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

April 7th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

*Picks will only be available on weekends for the foreseeable future, and will be posted here on the Free Page.

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :           Strength Variable :

#4 Special Dividend 2-1                         27
#6 Exchanging Secrets 5-2                    26
#5 Soxy Ruby 7-2                                     25
#2 Slam Chowder 3-1                             24

Race 2 :

#1 Clear N Convincing 5-2                     26
#6 Azzedine (FR) 4-1                               24
#5 Tapit High 8-1                                     22
#7 Gravitating 3-1                                    22

Off-Turf :

#9 Ballard High 2-1
#1 Clear N Convincing 5-2
#7 Gravitating 3-1

Race 3 :

#4 Brimstone 7-2                                     26
#5 Pegasus Red 5-1                                  25
#8 Rossie Val 4-1                                      25
#6 Bass River Road 5-2                            24

Race 4 :

#6 Full Salute 3-1                                     28
#7 Toga Challenger 5-1                           28
#1 Morning Buzz 9-5                               27
#3 Adulator 9-2                                         26

Race 5 :

#1a Pursuing Justice 6-5                         21
#5 Lovely La La 3-1                                  20
#1 Spa Treatment 6-5                              20
#3 Caitriona 10-1                                      17

Race 6 :

#3 Midnight Disguise 8-5                       32
#5 Sara Street 7-2                                     30
#6 My Miss Lilly 5-1                                 30
#2 Virginia Key 15-1                                 27

Race 7 :

#1 Backsideofthemoon 8-1                      33
#4 Wild About Deb 5-1                             31
#7 Control Group 2-1                                30
#2 Discreet Lover 8-1                                28

Race 8 :

#2 Army Mule 5-2                                      36
#9 Skyler’s Scramjet 3-1                           34
#4 Do Share 5-1                                          32
#11 Awesome Slew 4-1                              32

Race 9 :

#4 National Flag 7-5                                  33 *Best Bet
#5 Engage 9-5                                             30
#2 A Different Style 6-1                            29
#6 Aveenu Malcainu 5-1                           29

Race 10 :

#8 Restoring Hope 4-1                             32
#4 Old Time Revival 6-1                          31
#5 Enticed 6-5                                            31
#3 Evaluator 20-1                                      28

Race 11 :

#2 Astounding 2-1                                    30
#7 Buddy’s Tiz 8-1                                     27
#1 Nigel’s Destiny 6-1                               26
#9 Strut N Stomp 5-1                                 25

Off-Turf :

#11 Karma Delight 2-1
#13 Battle of Evermore 3-1
#1 Nigel’s Destiny 6-1
#2 Astounding 2-1

Aqueduct Plays :

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  4,6,5

Race 2 :  1,6,5 Off-Turf : 9,1,7

Race 3 :  4

Race 4 :  6,7,1

Race 5 :  1a/1,5,3

$.50 Ticket :  $40.50

Late Pick 5 :

Race 7 :  1,4,7

Race 8 :  2,9,4

Race 9 :  4

Race 10 : 8,4,5

Race 11 : 2,7,1 Off-Turf : 11,13,1

$.50 Ticket :  $40.50

Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  2,9,4,11

Race 9 :  4,5

Race 10 : 8,4,5,3

Race 11 : 2,7,1,9 Off-Turf : 11,13,1

$.50 Ticket : $64

Keeneland Selections

Race 1 :          Strength Variable :

#2 Pulling G’s 5-2                               28
#4 En Hanse 2-1                                  27
#1 Cashel Rock 5-2                             26
#6 Louisiana Brown 8-1                     24

Race 2 :

#2 Wholehearted 3-1                           25
#1 Soulshine 5-2                                   24
#3 Shezappealing 6-1                           23
#5 Tweeting 2-1                                     23

Race 3 :

#4 Rizzoli 3-1                                         26
#11 Electric Forest 7-2                         24
#3 Killag Katie 5-1                                 23
#10 East Moon 9-2                                 22

Race 4 :

#3 Crosswalk 3-1                                  27
#5 Prolific 8-1                                        25
#8 Elusive Mischief 6-1                        23
#6 Global Citizen 8-1                            22

Race 5 :

#2 Galileo Gal (IRE) 6-1                        26
#7 Phantom Opening 6-1                     25
#11 So Charming 6-1                             25
#6 Evasive Storm 5-1                             24

Off-Turf :

#9 Coco Channel 8-1
#7 Phantom Opening 6-1
#6 Evasive Storm 5-1

Race 6 :

#3 Westwood 5-1                                      34
#10 First Premio 12-1                              32
#2 Behavioral Bias 6-1                             32
#6 Limousine Liberal 6-5                        32

Race 7 :

#2 Commute 5-1                                        36
#7 Will Call 8-1                                          35
#9 Big Handsome 6-1                                34
#13 Disco Partner 5-2                               34

Race 8 :

#10 Ami’s Mesa 6-1                                   37
#11 American Gal 4-1                               36
#2 Lewis Bay 7-2                                         34
#7 Berned 20-1                                            31

Race 9 :

#1 Monomoy Girl 4-5                                34 *Best Bet
#2 Eskimo Kisses 2-1                                 31
#6 Ipanema Beach 20-1                             30
#5 Andina Del Sur 6-1                                30

Race 10 :

#4 Kanthaka 10-1                                         33
#2 Sporting Chance 10-1                            31
#11 Good Magic 2-1                                     31
#12 Flameaway 6-1                                      30

Race 11 :

#5 Preacher Power 7-2                               25
#2 Snap Hook 7-2                                        24
#6 Course Correction 4-1                           23
#4 Vegas Kitten 3-1                                     22

Off -Turf :

#6 Course Correction 4-1
#7 Courage and Honor 12-1
#13 Special Forces 10-1

Keeneland Plays :

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,4,1,6

Race 2 :  2,1,3,5

Race 3 :  4,11,3

Race 4 :  3

Race 5 :  2,7,11 Off-Turf : 9,7,6

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  3,10,2,6

Race 7 :  2,7,9,13

Race 8 :  10,11,2

Race 9 :  1

Race 10 : 4,2,11,12

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Pick 4 (7-10) :

Race 7 :  2,7,9,13

Race 8 :  10,11,2,7

Race 9 :  1,2

Race 10 : 4,2,11,12

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 4 (8-11) :

Race 8 :  10,11,2,7

Race 9 :  1,2

Race 10 : 4,2,11,12

Race 11 : 5,2,6,4 Off-Turf : 6,7,13

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Santa Anita Selections

Race 1 :         Strength Variable :

#6 Whirling 5-2                                    21
#1 Zusha 3-1                                         20
#7 Mela Jones 4-1                                18
#5 Now Blessed 7-2                             17

Race 2 :

#5 Scat Big Dad 12-1                            18
#4 Implicitly 6-1                                   17
#3 Courtship 12-1                                 16
#2 Holly Blame 8-1                               15

Race 3 :

#6 Taniko 3-1                                       26
#4 Trustworthy 7-2                              25
#3 Curly’s Waterfront 12-1                23
#8 Super Duper Cooper 7-2                23

Race 4 :

#8 Show It N Moe It 9-5                       26
#7 Blessed Lady 12-1                            25
#3 One Fast Broad 5-2                          24
#4 Smiling Tigress 4-1                          22

Race 5 :

#5 Ms Bad Behavior 5-2                      32
#3 Treasuring (GB) 10-1                      29
#2 Lexington Grace (IRE) 8-1             28
#7 Retro 10-1                                         27

Race 6 :

#4 Take the One O One 8-5                 31
#3 Heck Yeah 7-5                                   30
#1 Rewired 12-1                                     28
#8 Psycho Dar 6-1                                  28

Race 7 :

#2 Mesut 3-1                                           29
#7 Cascade Rock (IRE) 6-1                   28
#3 Sawyer’s Hill 5-2                               27
#1 Accountability 8-1                            27

Race 8 :

#5 Stone Hands 4-1                               28
#2 Conqueror 7-2                                   28
#1 Sheer Flattery 6-1                             27
#9 Midnight Pleasure 20-1                   26

Race 9 :

#6 Justify 4-5                                            38 *Best Bet
#3 Bolt d’Oro 6-5                                     35
#1 Instilled Regard 5-1                           31
#7 Core Beliefs 20-1                                30

Race 10 :

#5 Thundering Sky 5-1                           37
#4 Midnight Crossing (IRE) 6-1            36
#1 Instant Reflex 20-1                            34
#6 Enola Gray 3-1                                    34

Race 11 :

#3 Midnight Bisou 6-5                            36
#9 Thirteen Squared 9-2                         34
#6 Exuberance 12-1                                 32
#7 Spectator 3-1                                       31

Race 12 :

#2 Pantsonfire (IRE) 5-2                         31
#6 Dalsaros 8-1                                         30
#1 Laseen (IRE) 3-1                                  30
#5 Majestic Angel 8-1                              29

Race 13 :

#10 Easter Man 5-2
#6 Uptown Sandy Girl 6-1
#9 Quick Sand AA 3-1
#3 RB Nash 7-2

Santa Anita Plays :

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  6,1,7,5

Race 2 :  5,4,3,2

Race 3 :  6,4

Race 4 :  8,7,3

Race 5 :  5

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Late Pick 5 :

Race 8 :  5,2,1,9

Race 9 :  6

Race 10 : 5,4,1,6

Race 11 :  3,9

Race 12 :  2,6,1

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Late Pick 4 :

Race 9 : 6,3

Race 10 : 5,4,1,6

Race 11 :  3,9,6,7

Race 12 :  2,6,1,5

$.50 Ticket :  $64

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.