A Winning Day at the Races!

Monthly Archives: October 2018

October 22nd , 2018

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October 22nd , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

Check back Thursday evening for Friday’s Picks/Plays.

October 21st , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here on weekends through the Belmont Meet. For Full Card Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site two years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 68% of the time, and top choice is first or second 42% of the time. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Sunday’s Full Card Picks/Plays Below.

*Races 2 & 4 are off the turf , leaving picks as is.

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :        Strength Variable :

#5 Ajwibah 9-2                                 18
#1 Union Wise 4-1                           17
#7 Somebody 3-1                             16
#3 Moneigh Moproblems 7-5        16

Ajwibah had a decent effort in only dirt start, back to that surface today, top outfit, weak group.

Race 2 :

#4 Aspen Summer 9-5                     21
#1a Merger Arbitrage 5-2               20
#6 Dig Deeper 6-1                            19
#9 Stylishly 12-1                               17

Aspen Summer posted a big fig in debut when just missing down at Gulfstream this past winter, obviously something went awry ,filly has been on the bench since. Has to overcome the layoff, but clearly still the one to beat.

Race 3 :

#3 Point to Remember 8-5              29
#2 Sargeant Drive 8-1                       28
#4 Sanavi 5-2                                      26
#6 Zing Zang 5-1                                26

Point to Remember ran well in first start against winners last out, followed up that effort with a bullet move. In a race devoid of speed , in form colt my just find himself on an uncontested lead early.

Race 4 :

#1 Jot 6-1                                              19
#8 Saloon Girl 4-1                               18
#4 Antiguan Princess 20-1                16
#12 Mz Seb Pat 10-1                           16

Jot has been rained off the preferred surface twice, should get that elusive first try on turf today.

Race 5 :

#5 Enthusiastic Gal 3-1                       27
#1 Grandpa’s Arianna 6-1                   26
#8 Awsum Roar 8-5                               26
#9 It’s Two Hot Benny 10-1                 25

Enthusiastic Gal‘s best two career efforts have come over this course, sharp claiming conditioner spots them well, and his runners are always live.

Race 6 :

#4 Merlins Muse 12-1                           27
#1a Jazzy Juder 8-5                                27
#1 Samara 8-5                                         26
#6 Bella’s Game 9-2                               25

Merlins Muse back to claiming ranks after two allowance tries, when Donk reaches out for Johnny V they are well meant.

Race 7 :

#4 Carmine’s Honor 7-2                        27
#9 Nolinski 7-2                                        27
#2 Tiffany’s Vision 20-1                        25
#3 Altesino 5-1                                        25

Carmine’s Honor in good form for barn having a very productive meet.

Race 8 :

#3 New Money Honey 3-1                     38
#6 Inflexibility 7-2                                  37
#9 On Leave 6-1                                      36
#1 Rymska (FR) 9-2                                 36

New Money Honey gets the nod in a loaded Grade 3 Stake in which you could make a case for just about all of them. Filly is undefeated over this course.

Race 9 :

#6 Competitionofideas 5-2                    30
#4 Ferdinanda 4-1                                    29
#1 Goodbye Brockley 6-1                        28
#3 Filfila 5-1                                               26

Competitionofideas finally delivered as the public choice in a big way last out, keeps rolling for top connections.

Belmont Plays

Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  5,1,7,3

Race 2 :  4,1a

Race 3 :  3,2,4

Race 4 :  1,8,4 *1 is scratched adding 12 (8,4,12).

Race 5 :  5,1,8

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  4,1a

Race 3 :  3,2,4,6

Race 4 :  1,8,4,12

Race 5 :  5,1,8,9

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  4,1a/1

Race 7 :  4,9,2,3

Race 8 :  3,6,9,1

Race 9 :  6,4,1,3

$.50 Ticket :  $64

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

October 21st , 2018 Daily Picks

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October 21st , 2018 Stakes

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October 21st , 2018 Daily Comments

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October 21st , 2018 Today’s Plays

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October 20th , 2018 Daily Picks

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October 20th , 2018 Daily Comments

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October 20th , 2018 Today’s Plays

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